The industrial workers are in no position to communicate or co-ordinate with the Bolsheviks: with the Fifth Congress of the Soviets wiped out, Bolshevik military and political C2 (command and control) which they were totally dependent on for seizing and then maintaining power, is entirely gone.Ah, I think here's the bottom line of our disagreement.
I think that statement is utterly false. There certainly was a strong and well-organised group around which had a vested interest in restoring or reinvigorating the vanquished Bolsheviks over any White or Green rule, at least at this point in time:
INDUSTRIAL WORKERS.
The workers' soviet and councils were militarily puny: the Czechoslovak Legion and their Right SR allies overthrew Bolshevik rule in the Urals in short order, and they were quickly overthrown in the Baltics and Belarus by the German Army. The workers didn't really have much of a military force of their own, unlike the Right and Left SRs and the Germans.They were not only around in the Urals and Petrograd and the Baltics. They're a strong force in Belarus (Vitebsk, Smolensk) and in Russian cities around Moscow, too: Tver, Vladimir, Kaluga, Tula.
Huh? The industrial workers in the Urals voted SR. Hardly a glowing indication of Bolshevik power!(Looking at the results of the December 1917 Constituent Assembly elections gives you a general idea where which group was how powerful.)
In May 1918, Stalin, Sokolnikov and many of the Bolsheviks were openly supporting a resumption of the war with Germany. The Mensheviks, recognizing that actively resisting Germany was futile, advocated guerrilla/partisan warfare.They had Bolshevik cells on the grounds who are not all dead, and beyond that, they have unions that were, mostly, not pro-Menshevik and pro-war.
And there is an underlying reason why industrial workers flocked to the Bolsheviks, and why they fought in the Civil War for them.
By 1920-1921, the same industrial workers had turned against the Reds. Had the Gulf of Finland thawed early in 1921 or the mutiny had started earlier, the 'Greens' (mostly industrial workers now) would have overthrown the Reds.It has little to do with all the semantics about proletarian self-rule (the SRs and Mensheviks can talk that, too) and a lot more to do with bread.
"Surplus requisitionings" are very unpopular with the peasantry, but when you called the same thing "getting grain into the cities and processed into cheap bread for the fighting workers" then it was, understandably, very popular with urban industrial workers.
(4) Maybe, *pace* Swain, 1920-21 wasn't too late for the "Reds" to be overthrown by the "Greens"? The situation in February 1921 looked like that of exactly four years earlier, with strikes in Moscow and Petrograd, and some soldiers refusing to fire on the strikers. Under these circumstances, as Orlando Figes writes, the Bolsheviks "could not wait for it [the Kronstadt uprising] to peter out. Revolts in other cities, such as Kazan and Niznhyi Novgorod, were already being inspired by it. The ice-packed Gulf of Finland, moreover, was about to thaw and this would make the fortress, with the whole of its fleet freed from the ice, virtually impregnable." (*A People's Tragedy*, p. 762) http://www.rulit.me/books/a-people-s-tragedy-the-russian-revolution-1891-1924-read-232715-281.html So an interesting POD would be the Gulf of Finland thawing a little early that year. Or if it be objected that changes in the weather are considered ASB, we could have the mutiny start a few weeks later...
You can't reasonably expect Red power to last long once their entire leadership/organization have bayonets rammed through their skulls, any more than White or Green power lasted beyond the execution of their leadership, or German power lasted beyond their defeat. The support of the industrial workers will be no more of a panacea than the support of the middle classes or the rural peasantry.I'm not trying to legitimise Bolshevik terror and the subsequent communist dictatorship, mind you. I'm just cautioning you against underestimating the fundament on which Red power rested.
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