Reggie Bartlett
Banned
In a Confederate victory scenario, one preferably before 1863, an 1862 victory likely. There comes several things that come in hand with the arrival of the Boll Weevil.
For the sake of argument, the CSA consists of the core 11 states, plus Kentucky, the Indian Territory and Arizona Territory, nothing else. However there are CS hopes or expansion into Mexico in the future.
Let's take a look at what the situation down south of the Rio Grande looks like:
In 1862, which we will use as the POD, at this time the Conservative and French backed Maximilian's forces had taken most of Mexico. In 1863 Mexico's Federalist president Benito Juarez made his escape to Chihuahua City and later to Union-held El Paso, Texas in OTL. A Confederate victory in the Civil War by the end of 1862 puts Juarez in a very bad situation. The states of Sonora and Chihuahua, states that have had been the center of prior Confederate interest and had somewhat of a Federalist presence, now have the new Confederate States of America sitting on the other side of the Rio Grande, the Conservatives and the French coming from the South and to the immediate east they have one French-backed Confederate supporter, Santiago Vidaurri. A Confederate victory could increase the longetivity of the British and Spanish support in the invasion.
Santiago Vidaurri
But the focus of this is going to be the Boll Weevil infestation, that did come from what used to be Vidaurri's territory in Nuevo Leon y Tamaulipas. During the Civil War, Vidaurri offered to join the CSA, Davis refused but sent agents there for future reference. After a quick Confederate independence in 1862, Davis may take him up on it. After Juarez is crushed in Chihuahua, the French will essentially have control of the country, creating a Second Mexican Empire with Maximilian in charge. What many users make the mistake of, I believe, is that they take it that the US-backed Juarez Mexico is in power. In this instance, it is not the case, Juarez is either dead or in prison.
Why Nuevo Leon y Tamaulipas? Well, those states have always had a tenuous relationship with Mexico City. In 1840, these states launched a prior revolution against Mexico's central authority: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_the_Rio_Grande
A lot of old sores from that war still simmered in Northern Mexico during the French intervention. Also, Nuevo Leon, Chihuahua and Sonora were also the biggest cotton producing states in the country. Making it a centerpiece of Confederate interest. Not only for good cotton production, but access to a Pacific Coast at Guaymas, Sonora. The conditions are favorable for a trade of territory.
In OTL 1892, a Boll Weevil infested cotton bale from Mexico crossed over into Brownsville, Texas and spread across the south within 20 years.
A Confederate victory could posit, that this may actually happen EARLIER. In a CSA where the southern economy was never destroyed and had an extra 15-30 years of development, the one crop essentially blood-tied to slavery in the South would be absolutely destroyed overnight in some places.
For the sake of argument, the CSA consists of the core 11 states, plus Kentucky, the Indian Territory and Arizona Territory, nothing else. However there are CS hopes or expansion into Mexico in the future.
Let's take a look at what the situation down south of the Rio Grande looks like:
In 1862, which we will use as the POD, at this time the Conservative and French backed Maximilian's forces had taken most of Mexico. In 1863 Mexico's Federalist president Benito Juarez made his escape to Chihuahua City and later to Union-held El Paso, Texas in OTL. A Confederate victory in the Civil War by the end of 1862 puts Juarez in a very bad situation. The states of Sonora and Chihuahua, states that have had been the center of prior Confederate interest and had somewhat of a Federalist presence, now have the new Confederate States of America sitting on the other side of the Rio Grande, the Conservatives and the French coming from the South and to the immediate east they have one French-backed Confederate supporter, Santiago Vidaurri. A Confederate victory could increase the longetivity of the British and Spanish support in the invasion.
Santiago Vidaurri
But the focus of this is going to be the Boll Weevil infestation, that did come from what used to be Vidaurri's territory in Nuevo Leon y Tamaulipas. During the Civil War, Vidaurri offered to join the CSA, Davis refused but sent agents there for future reference. After a quick Confederate independence in 1862, Davis may take him up on it. After Juarez is crushed in Chihuahua, the French will essentially have control of the country, creating a Second Mexican Empire with Maximilian in charge. What many users make the mistake of, I believe, is that they take it that the US-backed Juarez Mexico is in power. In this instance, it is not the case, Juarez is either dead or in prison.
Why Nuevo Leon y Tamaulipas? Well, those states have always had a tenuous relationship with Mexico City. In 1840, these states launched a prior revolution against Mexico's central authority: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_the_Rio_Grande
A lot of old sores from that war still simmered in Northern Mexico during the French intervention. Also, Nuevo Leon, Chihuahua and Sonora were also the biggest cotton producing states in the country. Making it a centerpiece of Confederate interest. Not only for good cotton production, but access to a Pacific Coast at Guaymas, Sonora. The conditions are favorable for a trade of territory.
In OTL 1892, a Boll Weevil infested cotton bale from Mexico crossed over into Brownsville, Texas and spread across the south within 20 years.
A Confederate victory could posit, that this may actually happen EARLIER. In a CSA where the southern economy was never destroyed and had an extra 15-30 years of development, the one crop essentially blood-tied to slavery in the South would be absolutely destroyed overnight in some places.