Boldly Going: A History of an American Space Station

I see what we missed. Figure 34 on page 17 of the report clearly shows that the "door" and mating interface for the pressurized, inflated tunnel is actually mounted outside the tank on the other side of the "inspection" hatch. There would be insulation between the hatch and door. So once you strip away the outer 'covering' and cut away the inspection hatch, you the remove the insulation you have an operable hatch with attachment face all ready to go.
Yeah, my understanding is there's a vestibule between the end door (and possibly the airlock-end door) and the tank wall, with insulation between. The inner door is removed or left open, and then the outer door which is a "proper" pressure hatch with sealing rings and the window is used from then on.

The 'odd' thing is figure 29 on page 15 (HabiTank Galley Concept) which shows a connection in one of the tank end-dome "angles" rather than the end where a door instillation would make sense. Considering the need for a strong door 'interface' connection and the distinct issues with having more than one of the heavy vacuum rated door assemblies for each tank I suspect artistic license :)
I think that second angled door is actually correct. When you look at the other diagrams (such as Figure 34) every Habitank has a centerline door on one end, and an angled door on the other. The straight connection runs to the node, in the separate module/vehicle, while the angled door runs into the airlock module for that specific vehicle (essentially, Figure 29 is spun about 180 degrees in view from the view in Figure 32 to 36 and that angle can be seen on Figure 25 on page 14, with some being "right-handed" and others being "left-handed" as they mirror to meet the airlock). Since the airlock has to be capable of depressurizing without venting the adjacent Habitanks to space, that angled door must be a pressure door.
 
I think that second angled door is actually correct. When you look at the other diagrams (such as Figure 34) every Habitank has a centerline door on one end, and an angled door on the other. The straight connection runs to the node, in the separate module/vehicle, while the angled door runs into the airlock module for that specific vehicle (essentially, Figure 29 is spun about 180 degrees in view from the view in Figure 32 to 36 and that angle can be seen on Figure 25 on page 14, with some being "right-handed" and others being "left-handed" as they mirror to meet the airlock). Since the airlock has to be capable of depressurizing without venting the adjacent Habitanks to space, that angled door must be a pressure door.

You are correct :) Figure 32 on page 16 shows the "angled" door is the tank-wall that is accessed from inside the Sortie Hab so it was another 'perspective' mistake on my part. (What really threw me is that it has the same 'extended tube-way' floor going 'out' that I thought denoted the inflated/extended tube-way connections but you can't have that since it doesn't have the vestibule section and is directly connected to the Sortie Hab.

As to the HabiTank "locks" if you look at figures 8 and 9 with "side" cut-away views of the Lander it takes a second but you can see the "Equipment" lock section, and especially the top figure in figure 9, showing the HabiTanks DO have dedicated pressure doors installed on the Sortie Hab/Airlock side. (Not to mention the Sortie Hab has another pressure door in the ceiling for the Loft area this concept has a LOT of pressure safety inherent in the design. Though I'll point out that every Sortie Hab loft has that Ascent Vehicle Access Hatch sitting RIGHT there. No wonder they want to convert the HabiTank's to sleeping and crew quarters ASAP :) )

Anyway it's still an interesting and viable concept, despite my confusion.

Interestingly I came across a "Conference" report that is a really AWFUL "Best Available Copy", (so bad it doesn't even include the actual title of the conference just some pictures of the opening speakers and the date, March 1964 btw) that actually has some interesting ideas of 'expandable' space structures. One such paper, "Expandable Lunar Shelter Concepts" starting on page 255) shows an interesting concept for a 'hard' vertical central 'pillar' segment with 'expandable' sections that jut out from the central cylinder to become various expansions. (Figure 7, page 262)

Of note is that the whole thing is delivered by a top-mounted propulsion assembly with the initial expandable sections acting as 'braces' to hole the cylinder up-right and the propulsion section then "flying-off" once the structure is landed. That sounds familiar actually :)

Oddly they only 'bury' the bottom most section, (containing the airlock 'extensions', sick bay and storage and decontamination sections, page 263, figure 8.) but another such concept, (figure 18, 19 and 20, pages 272/273) has an 'expandable' upper section that is filled with regolith and used for shielding which is an interesting take. Overall some good concepts, well at least from what we can infer given the horrible available data :)

Randy
 
Boldly Going Part 26

Just re-read this as I was wondering how far away DID the manned LSAM touchdown from the Cargo LSAM? "Two kilometers per hour" tells me that while that's a "top speed" I doubt they ever went that fast and I figure most of the "two days" spent getting them together was mostly getting things ready and not actual travel time.

I recently stumbled across a tweet series by Dr. Phil Metzger of NASA. where he discussed that it wasn't till 2008 OTL that some of the more significant findings from the Apollo 12/Surveyor 3 landing were discovered even though the general information was there since the landing. TTL this is specifically a concern due to the number of 'inflatable" segments in the Outpost.

While I'm sure it wasn't/isn't a "major" issue the fact that even landing a couple of kilometers away isn't going to be as 'safe' as it would have been assumed in 2001. As the above 'story' indicates it wasn't till a VERY close examination of the parts of Surveyor 3 that were brought back was done in 2008 that the fact the parts were 'brown' (initially thought to be radiation chemically changing the paint) not because of chemical changes but because Apollo 12's landing had literally "shotgunned" Lunar regolith into the material at speed enough to cover the exposed parts with 'pinhole' craters and embed the particles into the underlying material. This was what allowed the researchers to calculate some average speeds of the Lunar dust thrown up and around by the landing plume and to discover that in fact each landing likely blew some of that 'dust' to speeds which exceeded Lunar escape velocity, but a majority to less than Lunar orbital velocity. Which meant that each landing had spread a plume of high velocity dust all over the Lunar surface, up to and including areas not in "line-of-sight" of the landing which until that time was generally considered an acceptable way of mitigating plume interaction.

In other words it's likely that the crew of Minerva 3 are going to discover during their month long stay that despite everything they still managed to do some minor damage and effects to their Outpost. Which in and of itself is going to feed back into future Minerva missions and start the ball rolling that took till 2008 OTL :)

Randy
 
It was mentioned earlier that Galileo was launched on a Shuttle-Centaur in 1986, as planned, due to Challenger not having its date with destiny. Thus, it most likely did not suffer the antenna failure and provided significantly more data to scientists before end-of-mission in the mid-1990s. Cassini-Huygens was probably mostly unaffected except in details, since it was building on quite a lot of design heritage in the form of multiple studies and concepts for a Saturn orbiter dating back to the 1960s (and the 1970s for more detailed concepts). The main change it would experience would be the absence of Titan IVB or a suitable direct replacement for launch in 1997, which should require a different trajectory. It's not clear to me whether an extended gravity assist program (two or even three Earth gravity assists in addition to Venus and Jovian gravity assists) could allow a Shuttle launch with IUS at approximately the same time, or whether a Shuttle-C launch using the EUS later using a direct trajectory or a single Jovian gravity assist would be more feasible.

The Galileo probe, as you note, is launched in 1986, or about three and a half years earlier than OTL. Being on a direct trajectory, it arrives around Jupiter by about the start of 1989, and based on the OTL life, will stay in orbit for a decade or so. With a fully-deployed main antenna, there will be a lot of good quality science data returned, and most importantly, it will be on station to observe Shoemaker-Levy 9. In OTL, it was still en-route, and no spacecraft were in a position to directly view the impacts (the energy released was under Voyager 2's detection threshold.

Cassini-Huygens is in a weird place. Going a bit out of order, there are no trajectories that a Shuttle-IUS can use to place a craft the mass of Cassini on that will reach Saturn in a reasonable time period. Shuttle-Centaur is not available, so we are left looking what is going to be available in the late 1990s: Titan IV-Centaur (OTL's Titan IVA-Centaur) & Heimdall 4231C. For these very high energy trajectories (beyond GTO/GEO), the smaller cryogenic upper stage means that Titan offers slightly better performance than Heimdall. I'd note that in the Cassini Environmental Impact Statement, the Titan IVA was noted that it could perform the mission, if some of the maneuvering propellant was offloaded, which would reduce the total mission time. One important factor however is that NASA is making the launch vehicle decision for Cassini in the early to mid 1990s, and thus there would be a strong desire to show the versatility of the upcoming Shuttle-C and EDS combination. A direct Earth-Saturn trajectory has a C3 of about 106 km²/sec² (for a flight time of four years), which is inside the capability of the shuttle-derived vehicle. With this on the table, NASA would have two options in the 1990s: A launch in the late 1990s followed by a series of gravity assists off of the inner planets, and a 7 year flight - which would include several swing-bys of Venus and the associated heating problems, or a launch later, but on a direct trajectory. In the early to mid 1990s, JPL is probably pushing for a 1999 launch and a gravity assist off of Jupiter, but as problems with Shuttle-C develop and the Lunar missions are seen as higher priority, the Cassini launch is pushed to 2001, and put on a four-year direct flight. This means that the probe will arrive at Saturn about a year later than it did in OTL, but will have been launched four years later. The ability to put that big of a payload on that fast of a trajectory will be seen as a boon to any ice giants missions... [1]

As for Mars and New Horizons...that's a more interesting question. The Mars program in the 1990s and early 2000s was closely related to the development of the Faster, Better, Cheaper program by Dan Goldin, and AFAICT he isn't here ITTL, so it will certainly be heavily affected. New Horizons, meanwhile, was the first mission selected in the New Frontiers program, which was something of an extension of the Discovery Program that was created to implement FBC in planetary science to a larger mission class, so again it is likely to be affected. The fact that the Space Exploration Initiative has not been wholly repudiated also creates a motivation for Mars missions, although something of a dismotivation as well (since the post-Bush administration and Congress are likely to have not that much appetite for funding a program leading up a crewed Mars landing based on Bush's proposals)

We still have Goldin as Administrator, and I think the Faster, Better, Cheaper is a key element of having programs that don't have their budgets cut to pay for the lunar return...

Mars exploration would likewise continue, but the mission details could be considerably different in unpredictable ways. There would very likely be some equivalent of Mars Global Surveyor, since that was largely a rebuild and refly of Mars Observer instruments that were lost with the failure of that mission (of course, this could hypothetically be a successful Mars Observer). There probably would not be direct equivalents to the Mars Climate Orbiter and Deep Space 2, since those were very FBC missions, but there is a fair likelihood of a mission like the Mars Polar Lander occurring, since it was a fairly high priority mission for Mars scientists (as you can see from the fact that they flew a very similar mission again ten years later). There is also a decent likelihood of at least one rover mission happening, since that had been an obvious next step and a subject of intensive JPL investigation since the late 1970s. Otherwise, hard to say.
The exact Mars program is something we have not fully fleshed out, but I expect that the surface missions would continue as per OTL, if only because they get seen as the precursor missions for the eventual crewed flights...

[1] A few thoughts on trajectories. Direct Flights to Jupiter have C3s in the 80-85 km²/sec² range with flight times of about two and a half years, while the same for Saturn is in the 100-110 km²/sec² range an flight times of about four years. Uranus is higher, in the 130+ km²/sec² class and flight times of about 13 years. There are however gravity assist windows available using Jupiter and Saturn, but these are more constrained. Instead of having a few weeks a year every 12-13 months, using Jupiter gives you launch windows in each of three years, but with an eleven year gap between them for Uranus, and a ten year gap for missions to Neptune. If Saturn is used instead, there are launch windows in each of six consecutive years for both ice giants, but there are longer gaps - the opportunities are on 46 year centers for Uranus and 36 year centers for Neptune, meaning that this type of trajectory (Earth-Saturn-Ice Giants) is only available about an sixth (Neptune) or an eighth (Uranus) of the time. When combined with Jupiter however, there are many chances to use gravitational assists to reach the destinations. These flyby opportunities also give chances to drop atmospheric probes en-route.
 
Part 28: Looking ahead to the next generation for Shuttle-II and Diana
Boldly Going Part 28

In 2009, Space Station Enterprise celebrated the end of its second decade in space. The milestone provided a convenient marker for evaluating how NASA’s human spaceflight program had evolved since the station’s launch. At the orbital outpost, NASA had accumulated tens of thousands of crew-days in space in 14 years of permanent occupation, along with various visiting Shuttle crews. After the explosive growth of the late 1990s, the station’s core configuration had remained relatively constant. Instead, the main changes had come with the concentration of space assets like Galileo and the Hubble Space Telescope in orbits near Enterprise. With this concentration and a growing focus on sustained scientific capabilities at the station and lunar outposts, flights of the Space Shuttle to any destination other than Enterprise grew increasingly rare. The Space Shuttle had achieved its role as a space truck to serve a constellation of space vehicles, but its independent operational capabilities were increasingly unnecessary. Instead, these capabilities were overshadowed by the aging of the vehicles themselves and growing frustration with the Shuttle’s maintenance requirements. Rockwell’s OPAMs for the Shuttle-C heavy lifter and Lockheed Martin’s reusable engine pods for Atlas-III and Shuttle LRBs, coming off their own first decade in service, provided a notable point of comparison between the “first generation” Shuttle hardware and the “second generation” spawned by Shuttle-C.

Similar struggles were experienced in the lunar program as the Minerva office moved from early exploration and base development into routine flights to consolidate operations at the three Minerva “Class-C” base sites. With Shackleton Base receiving its sixth crew in 2009, the one-way flights of the descent stages became more and more of a problem. The cost of providing a new Conestoga lander for each crew or cargo logistics flight began to be a significant contributor to the cost of supplying and occupying Shackleton. The Shuttle-C Earth Departure Stage was used for some DoD Atlas III Heavy flights, and the Kepler-L lunar crew capsule shared many of its systems with the fleet of Earth-orbital capsules used for Enterprise lifeboats and independent European crew launches. Conestoga had no such cost savings. The high resulting cost was a restriction on any plans to uprate any of the other Minerva sites to a Class C outpost for intermittent or permanent crew occupation. Indeed, NASA was increasingly considering their future plans beyond cislunar space entirely, which would require costs of the existing programs to be minimized and allow for new development. Discontinuing permanent lunar occupation or ending operations at Enterprise was politically unpopular. Thus, as Mars loomed larger in NASA’s plans, the agency would have to find ways to cut costs in the aging Space Shuttle and Conestoga programs.

The focus on replacing the first generation Space Shuttle and converting Conestoga to a reusable operational strategy reflected the change in NASA’s operations since the two vehicle’s respective births. Though the Space Shuttle had been the workhorse of the American program for nearly thirty years, its roles were being increasingly rendered unneeded by other vehicles. Independent flights with Spacelab or Spacehab to orbits other than that of Enterprise had largely stopped, and Shuttle-C and Atlas III had taken over the role of the American pre-eminent heavy lift vehicles for large probes and lunar missions. Just as the Space Shuttle’s LRBs had increased its payload above that originally envisioned in the 1970s, the assembly of Enterprise was completed largely using the existing SRBs. For a few years, the augmented capability had been consumed with ethanol-LOX propellants to refuel the Galileo tug/station for its task of moving Hubble to near Enterprise’s orbit. Since then, it had largely been employed for whatever odd tasks NASA could find for bulk liquids and solids on the station or simply gone unused in the name of increased redundancy and safety. The higher performance demanded from the full-throttle SSME-69 engines on the orbiters made for higher maintenance requirements relative to the otherwise identical SSME-69 and SSME-35 engines on Shuttle-C and the LRBs respectively. For the latter, as part of an Atlas-III rapid response demonstration, Lockheed Martin and Rocketdyne had recently demonstrated five full-duration firings of an Atlas-III core on a test stand in under a week. Further, the orbiter’s hypergolic-fueled APUs and OMS made for challenges in ground handling and spacecraft processing which the all-cryogen Shuttle-C OPAMs simply didn’t experience. While wearing “bunny suits” to clean and remove an OMS pod for servicing, crews at the Orbiter Processing Facilities couldn’t help but compare the “hangar queens” to the work-horse Shuttle-C Propulsion & Avionics Modules. With their electromechanical actuators and non-toxic ethalox thrusters, servicing a pair of OPAMs for a Minerva lunar mission took less time than servicing a single Shuttle Orbiter for a crew mission.

Spares were also a concern as the orbiter’s primary structures and secondary systems aged. No new orbiter components had been manufactured since the construction and delivery of OV-105 Endeavour in 1991. NASA was carefully monitoring wear and fatigue cracking of the orbiter’s primary structures as they husbanded the spare wings and tail collected from the butchering of OV-101 into Space Station Enterprise. In contrast, Rockwell had delivered a total of five OPAMs in the last decade, culminating in the deliveries of OV-203 George Mueller and OV-204 Richard Byrd in 2002 and the refurbishment of the test vehicle OV-200, retroactively the Pete Conrad, to reach near-flight status in 2003. None of the OPAMs was more than seven years out of a major overhaul, and Lockheed Martin was still intermittently producing batches of LRB/Atlas-III engine pods to keep the operational Air Force and NASA booster fleet over a dozen.

Once payloads reached the moon, the task of ferrying them down to the surface was another bottleneck. As Minerva had moved from sorties and base construction into regular operations, Conestoga’s design advantages had transformed into limitations. While it lacked Shuttle’s direct comparison to the Shuttle-C and LRB, its faults were no less apparent to those who had to work on and fund its operation. Early in base construction, Conestoga’s clever expendable descent stage, with its two Habitank wet-workshop hydrogen tanks, had been useful as every landing in the buildout of the site provided not just crew or cargo, but also free volume. However, by the fourth crew rotation, the number of LSAMs landed at Shackleton began to exceed the capability of the crews at the base to convert or even attach to the base given the limited numbers of ports available on each Minerva Core Module. NASA was required to provide every crew and logistics mission with a new Conestoga for a one-way flight to the moon, where a “boneyard” worth hundreds of millions of dollars began to collect just off the cleared and sintered landing pad. Each new arrival, once its cargo or crew were unloaded, was towed by mule rovers to a resting spot just beyond the berm protecting the base from flying debris. Once in line behind the berm, the precision engineered hardware was simply abandoned in place in case of a future need which seemed to grow increasingly remote. The Conestoga’s greatest benefit - its adaptable expendable descent stage - had become its greatest downside. Even in the early 2000s, NASA had investigated long-term design improvements to let the lander be refilled and serviced in lunar or Earth orbit. This would allow a small set of landers to serve ongoing permanent lunar bases, and let the existing expendable ascent stages be replaced entirely. As Shackleton Base moved into regular nearly year-long crew missions, Conestoga was rarely being called upon to push to the limits of its capacity. Thus, as with Shuttle, the cost of conducting any flight to the lunar surface began to dominate over the benefit of any single marginal kilogram delivered per flight.

None of the issues with Shuttle or Conestoga were new however, and options for fixing them had been in the works for the better part of a decade. Beyond the Conestoga reuse plans, NASA had been entertaining options for a lighter, cheaper, and lower-maintenance “Shuttle-II”. In 2009, they were finally authorized to begin development of a full-on Shuttle successor and the implementation of the modifications to let Conestoga become a reusable cislunar tug and reusable lander. Uncrewed spacecraft had proved their value over the previous decade with the successes of autonomous rendezvous on the Galileo free-flyer/tug and Conestoga cargo landers’ descent to the surface under internal control on cargo flights. For improved safety and reduced performance requirements, the plan was that the new design would not require crew on every mission. Instead, those missions requiring pure cargo performance could use the full capability, while crew missions would carry a crew compartment mounted in the payload bay. Another break came in the elimination of the primary external tank, the largest single disposable element of the Space Transportation System. Instead, the new vehicle’s design would consist of a 5-meter diameter fuselage, with a 12-meter-long payload bay sandwiched between an aft oxygen tank and a forward hydrogen tank. For cargo missions or Kepler lifeboat rotations, the vehicle’s designed payload of 14 metric tons would suffice for most Enterprise logistics purposes. Though reduced from the theoretical limits of the existing Space Shuttles, the net delivered payload would be similar to what current Space Station Enterprise logistics flights could accommodate due to center of gravity limits on abort landings. For crew flights, a cabin module would nestle into the bay, mounting to the same payload trunnions but leaving its exterior hull flush with and replacing the standard bay doors and thermal protection system. The crew module would provide spacious seating for up to 14 astronauts, offering cheaper and more capable crew transport to Space Station Enterprise or other destinations. For safety, the surfaces of the pod inside the bay were to be covered with a single-use ablative heat shield, and the ends of the module would house six massive solid abort motors capable of blasting the crew cabin free of a disintegrating orbiter. This ensured that regardless of any issues on ascent or return, the crew of Shuttle-II had a way to get home. For launch, the new orbiter would be its own second stage. First stage boost would be a series-staged burn more like Atlas-III Heavy, with Shuttle-II hung from the side of a pair of existing Shuttle LRBs. The new vehicle would be able to tie into the same thrust mounts used by the existing Shuttle and Shuttle-C stack and the Atlas III Heavy side boosters. The design was frozen in 2011, and introduction into service was predicted for 2018.

At the same time NASA and the Rockwell-heritage areas of Boeing were working on the revised Shuttle-II orbiter design, Boeing’s McDonnell-heritage division was working on the plans for a reusable Conestoga variant, dubbed Diana. On-orbit servicing of the Galileo ethanol/LOX propulsion system meant NASA was reasonably familiar with cryogenic propellant handling in space. The application of the concept to Conestoga was reasonably straightforward. The main challenge came from the addition of hydrogen to the existing oxygen experience, and with it increased worries about thermal insulation. Efforts to minimize tank penetrations and increase propellant life in storage were aided by the design of the hydrogen system. The two large hydrogen tanks and single spherical “sump” tank, designed to enable a more effective Habitank, also helped minimize their surface area and number of tank penetrations. There were even proposals to use the airlock-to-tank interconnects for in-space inspection and servicing of tanks over extended design life, years down the line. This life was not unreasonable in NASA’s view, since the RL-10 engines used by the vehicle were already nominally capable of dozens of relights in space thanks to its spark-ignited, low-pressure, and low-temperature design burning non-coking hydrogen fuel. If the new Shuttle-II or another vehicle could serve as a tanker, then only moderate in-space servicing and a new crew cabin would be required to transform the LSAM descent stage into a single-stage reusable lunar lander. For the occasional deployment of larger structures, additional drop tanks would help preserve the vehicle’s capability for heavier payloads to the lunar surface. The challenge would depend on much the same factors that NASA’s plans for exploration beyond Earth orbit were hinging on: cost per flight of the new Shuttle-II and the presence of a structure in low Earth orbit for the servicing of smaller spacecraft and the assembly of larger ones headed to destinations like Mars.





Artwork by: @nixonshead (AEB Digital on Twitter)
 
Interesting--so Shuttle-II will be configured a bit like the DC-Y was supposed to be.

Will Diana also be doing TEI/TLI burns, or will a suped-up Galileo tug be needed to bring prop from LEO to LLO?
 
Such an exciting update, and an excellent look forward in a time frame similar to our own. I'm super stoked to see how Kepler's parallel development will compare to NASA's shiny new orbiter!
 
Interesting--so Shuttle-II will be configured a bit like the DC-Y was supposed to be.
I was actually picturing something more akin to Rockwell's proposal for the X-33 program, just with a pair of Shuttle/Atlas III LRBs bolted to the side to give it a proper kick in the early stages of flight. Lines up with the fact that ex-Rockwell/Boeing seem to be the team working on Shuttle-II here (and the fact that one of the authors of Boldly Going has an entire mini-timeline on the Rockwell X-33 written up).

Plus at least in this timeline, NASA seems to continue its OTL pattern of forgoing VTVL rockets in favor of rockets with wings.

Speaking of, looks like NASA isn't too keen on something like ComCrew or ComCargo like in our timeline. Which makes sense here. They've got a sensible plan to retire the Shuttle fleet which seems to be doing better than it is IOTL. And worst comes to worst, Enterprise has a logistics backup in the form of the Europeans, and their lunar program doesn't even use the orbiters. Barring something like a nuke destroying the Cape and Kourou, Shuttle can safely ride off into the sunset instead of being pushed out the door.

Anyway, nice to see a good proper view of Shuttle-C's business end from @nixonshead here. Biconic gang rise up. I also wanted to give a shoutout to the artist here. I was looking through some older work they did for things like ETS in comparison to now, and the improvement is substantial! Almost makes you want a remastered version of all that artwork :p

Alright, keep em coming lads. Good work!
 
<snip>

Anyway, nice to see a good proper view of Shuttle-C's business end from @nixonshead here. Biconic gang rise up. I also wanted to give a shoutout to the artist here. I was looking through some older work they did for things like ETS in comparison to now, and the improvement is substantial! Almost makes you want a remastered version of all that artwork :p
ETS was my CGI dojo, and I remain extremely grateful to the authors for continually challenging me to up my game. The thought of going back and updating the illustrations has crossed my mind too, especially since a lot of the old image ETS links got broken at some point. There's too much new and interesting stuff still in the queue to start it now, but if @Workable Goblin and @e of pi ever decided to do a lavish, coffee-table illustrated hardcover version...
 
ETS was my CGI dojo, and I remain extremely grateful to the authors for continually challenging me to up my game. The thought of going back and updating the illustrations has crossed my mind too, especially since a lot of the old image ETS links got broken at some point. There's too much new and interesting stuff still in the queue to start it now, but if @Workable Goblin and @e of pi ever decided to do a lavish, coffee-table illustrated hardcover version...

Well, no pressure or anything, only if they WANT to after all.... (Don't make us have to hire out additional 'pressure' there folks, just give into the inevitable :) )

Boldly Going Part 28

Wonderful update :)

Each new arrival, once its cargo or crew were unloaded, was towed by mule rovers to a resting spot just beyond the berm protecting the base from flying debris. Once in line behind the berm, the precision engineered hardware was simply abandoned in place in case of a future need which seemed to grow increasingly remote.

Ha! Makes sense, though really they will end up having to move the engines at some point because (as the OTL 2008 study noted) "berm" or no berm the blast debris is actually 'dangerous' around the entire Lunar surface.

Instead, the new vehicle’s design would consist of a 5-meter diameter fuselage, with a 12-meter-long payload bay sandwiched between an aft oxygen tank and a forward hydrogen tank. For cargo missions or Kepler lifeboat rotations, the vehicle’s designed payload of 14 metric tons would suffice for most Enterprise logistics purposes. Though reduced from the theoretical limits of the existing Space Shuttles, the net delivered payload would be similar to what current Space Station Enterprise logistics flights could accommodate due to center of gravity limits on abort landings. For crew flights, a cabin module would nestle into the bay, mounting to the same payload trunnions but leaving its exterior hull flush with and replacing the standard bay doors and thermal protection system. The crew module would provide spacious seating for up to 14 astronauts, offering cheaper and more capable crew transport to Space Station Enterprise or other destinations. For safety, the surfaces of the pod inside the bay were to be covered with a single-use ablative heat shield, and the ends of the module would house six massive solid abort motors capable of blasting the crew cabin free of a disintegrating orbiter. This ensured that regardless of any issues on ascent or return, the crew of Shuttle-II had a way to get home. For launch, the new orbiter would be its own second stage. First stage boost would be a series-staged burn more like Atlas-III Heavy, with Shuttle-II hung from the side of a pair of existing Shuttle LRBs. The new vehicle would be able to tie into the same thrust mounts used by the existing Shuttle and Shuttle-C stack and the Atlas III Heavy side boosters. The design was frozen in 2011, and introduction into service was predicted for 2018.

There was a design for a "Shuttle" type SSTO using American and Russian rocket engines which is what this reminds me of. However that one had an actual 'capsule' for the crew compartment mounted on the nose with a tractor-rocket abort system. It DID have the mid-mount payload bay though :) But it seems to combined a bunch of the various concepts that came out of the general "Shuttle II" studies. The crew abort cabin I'm pretty sure I saw either described or pictured somewhere. (IIRC it may have been an SSTO design because I seem to recall it getting torn apart on NSF because you could not jettison those abort rockets and had to carry them all the way to orbit which would have but was not shown to effect the already marginal orbital payload)

The challenge would depend on much the same factors that NASA’s plans for exploration beyond Earth orbit were hinging on: cost per flight of the new Shuttle-II and the presence of a structure in low Earth orbit for the servicing of smaller spacecraft and the assembly of larger ones headed to destinations like Mars.

Key and INTERESTING point there... You're a couple of teases, you know that right? :)


Great and wonderful images as always. I'm a bit surprised though it doesn't have a body-flap? The OMS engines seem too exposed to the airstream on reentry.

Randy
 
Boldly Going Part 28
Fantastic update! Those images absolutely stunning as well.
Please go to Mars... please go to Mars... ETS ended too early :(
Ha! Makes sense, though really they will end up having to move the engines at some point because (as the OTL 2008 study noted) "berm" or no berm the blast debris is actually 'dangerous' around the entire Lunar surface.
Maybe you could use lunar concrete to create 'hangars'? You'd need equipment to build something out of the regolith, but they'd probably benefit from doing that anyway, since it'd be fantastic radiation protection.
 
Instead, the new vehicle’s design would consist of a 5-meter diameter fuselage, with a 12-meter-long payload bay sandwiched between an aft oxygen tank and a forward hydrogen tank. For cargo missions or Kepler lifeboat rotations, the vehicle’s designed payload of 14 metric tons would suffice for most Enterprise logistics purposes. Though reduced from the theoretical limits of the existing Space Shuttles, the net delivered payload would be similar to what current Space Station Enterprise logistics flights could accommodate due to center of gravity limits on abort landings. For crew flights, a cabin module would nestle into the bay, mounting to the same payload trunnions but leaving its exterior hull flush with and replacing the standard bay doors and thermal protection system. The crew module would provide spacious seating for up to 14 astronauts, offering cheaper and more capable crew transport to Space Station Enterprise or other destinations. For safety, the surfaces of the pod inside the bay were to be covered with a single-use ablative heat shield, and the ends of the module would house six massive solid abort motors capable of blasting the crew cabin free of a disintegrating orbiter. This ensured that regardless of any issues on ascent or return, the crew of Shuttle-II had a way to get home. For launch, the new orbiter would be its own second stage. First stage boost would be a series-staged burn more like Atlas-III Heavy, with Shuttle-II hung from the side of a pair of existing Shuttle LRBs. The new vehicle would be able to tie into the same thrust mounts used by the existing Shuttle and Shuttle-C stack and the Atlas III Heavy side boosters. The design was frozen in 2011, and introduction into service was predicted for 2018.

I'm assuming this will be a winged craft as there has been no mention of propulsive landing but if it uses stock LRB's how exactly does it tie into them in such a way that you've also got space for wings and a tail while having balanced thrust and no centre of gravity problems?
 
I'm assuming this will be a winged craft as there has been no mention of propulsive landing but if it uses stock LRB's how exactly does it tie into them in such a way that you've also got space for wings and a tail while having balanced thrust and no centre of gravity problems?
I would assume gimbaling or offset thrust; emphasis on the 'assume'.
 
I would assume gimbaling or offset thrust; emphasis on the 'assume'.
I was thinking lifting body or a form of 'belly flop capsule' like the OPAMs.
A lifting body Shuttle II can land like the Shuttle I does, while a capsule has options like propulsive landing, parachutes and airbags, water flops, or combinations thereof.
 
Maybe you could use lunar concrete to create 'hangars'? You'd need equipment to build something out of the regolith, but they'd probably benefit from doing that anyway, since it'd be fantastic radiation protection.

Yes but that in and of itself doesn't solve the 'basic' issues of the plumes :) As noted those direct impingement plumes are pumping out debris at speeds up to Lunar escape velocity. A 'berm' won't stop something coming in from an sub-orbital trajectory and while a regolith-concrete "wall" might you still have a lot of delicate equipment and personnel outside as well. At some point you have to look at the long-term issues and come up with an equally long term solution.

Randy
 
Interesting--so Shuttle-II will be configured a bit like the DC-Y was supposed to be.
I was actually picturing something more akin to Rockwell's proposal for the X-33 program, just with a pair of Shuttle/Atlas III LRBs bolted to the side to give it a proper kick in the early stages of flight. Lines up with the fact that ex-Rockwell/Boeing seem to be the team working on Shuttle-II here (and the fact that one of the authors of Boldly Going has an entire mini-timeline on the Rockwell X-33 written up).
Anyway, nice to see a good proper view of Shuttle-C's business end from @nixonshead here. Biconic gang rise up. I also wanted to give a shoutout to the artist here. I was looking through some older work they did for things like ETS in comparison to now, and the improvement is substantial! Almost makes you want a remastered version of all that artwork :p
There was a design for a "Shuttle" type SSTO using American and Russian rocket engines which is what this reminds me of. However that one had an actual 'capsule' for the crew compartment mounted on the nose with a tractor-rocket abort system. It DID have the mid-mount payload bay though :) But it seems to combined a bunch of the various concepts that came out of the general "Shuttle II" studies. The crew abort cabin I'm pretty sure I saw either described or pictured somewhere. (IIRC it may have been an SSTO design because I seem to recall it getting torn apart on NSF because you could not jettison those abort rockets and had to carry them all the way to orbit which would have but was not shown to effect the already marginal orbital payload)
I'm assuming this will be a winged craft as there has been no mention of propulsive landing but if it uses stock LRB's how exactly does it tie into them in such a way that you've also got space for wings and a tail while having balanced thrust and no centre of gravity problems?
The idea is something between the Teledyne Brown Engineering (TBE) spaceplane and an orbital version of the Rockwell X-33 or Boeing's Phantom Express (but I repeat myself). Essentially a cylindrical ~4.5-5m fuselage, delta wings, SSME on the back, RL-10 OMS though probably two and not six. (The TBE design was supposed to be SSTO and needed more thrust.) Two LRBs are carried, one over each wing, sort of like the JSC Shuttle-II which Portree collected here. (We couldn't quite get the T/W needed for serial staging with only one LRB, nor the performance desired from parallel staging). We're hoping to be able to show this eventually, but our art team's been busy with the other jaw-dropping work you've seen so far, and more yet to come, and Shuttle-II and its launch stack ended up lower on the priority list.

Will Diana also be doing TEI/TLI burns, or will a suped-up Galileo tug be needed to bring prop from LEO to LLO?
I'm not sure to be honest if the best move is to use expendable EDS tankers to LLO to meet Diana, or a reusable LEO-to-TLI tug/tanker filled from Shuttle-II or Atlas III/Heimdall (possibly just itself a modified Diana, too), or what. It descends rapidly into the field of Real Space Architecture cost math (is one Shuttle-C per year more expensive than three marginal Shuttle-IIs? What about expending one EDS vs the additional prop mass to bring an EDS tug/tanker back to LEO? What about doing the same with Diana?). We're not sure precisely how that shakes out, and the precise details don't matter for Enterprise as much beyond the fact that lunar resupply continues to be a cost pressure on the Earth orbital station, so we're carefully not talking about the details. :)

Ha! Makes sense, though really they will end up having to move the engines at some point because (as the OTL 2008 study noted) "berm" or no berm the blast debris is actually 'dangerous' around the entire Lunar surface.
Maybe you could use lunar concrete to create 'hangars'? You'd need equipment to build something out of the regolith, but they'd probably benefit from doing that anyway, since it'd be fantastic radiation protection.
Yes but that in and of itself doesn't solve the 'basic' issues of the plumes :) As noted those direct impingement plumes are pumping out debris at speeds up to Lunar escape velocity. A 'berm' won't stop something coming in from an sub-orbital trajectory and while a regolith-concrete "wall" might you still have a lot of delicate equipment and personnel outside as well. At some point you have to look at the long-term issues and come up with an equally long term solution.
Apparently Metzger has a new paper coming soon, which should have some better data, but it sounds like the issues (while important) are not showstoppers--only a few tons or so of material per flight, distributed relatively broadly outside a kilometer or so of the landing site. By the time Minerva realizes the concern for the Class C outposts, Conestoga's already flying, so the easiest solution for Class B outposts once they find out is to land more in the realm or 10-15 km out (reducing impact frequency by an order of magnitude or so from the poster data, so down to perhaps 0.8 particle impacts per square kilometer) using the MULE's ability to move landers. For a permanent base, more permanent solutions including constructing the berms, possibly by excavating the regolith layer at the landing site or otherwise preparing it (sintering, sandbags, etc) to ensure there's a prepared site to land on repeatedly from which material erosion should be negligible. It's a fair amount of work, but Class C outposts crews have months of time on the surface to work on it and years of return to amortize time taken on earthmoving (moonmoving?) and they need the regolith elsewhere for other shielding anyway.
Great and wonderful images as always. I'm a bit surprised though it doesn't have a body-flap? The OMS engines seem too exposed to the airstream on reentry.
There weren't body flaps in any of the images of this concept we found when looking, though some of them were also missing OMS engines. Anyway, since we weren't precisely sure, we ended up leaving them off at least in part to make rendering the OPAM easier/faster.
ETS was my CGI dojo, and I remain extremely grateful to the authors for continually challenging me to up my game. The thought of going back and updating the illustrations has crossed my mind too, especially since a lot of the old image ETS links got broken at some point. There's too much new and interesting stuff still in the queue to start it now, but if @Workable Goblin and @e of pi ever decided to do a lavish, coffee-table illustrated hardcover version...
Well, no pressure or anything, only if they WANT to after all.... (Don't make us have to hire out additional 'pressure' there folks, just give into the inevitable :) )
I've occasionally talked with @Workable Goblin about doing some kind of remaster of Eyes stuff, since we are (if you can believe it) coming up fast on the 10th anniversary of starting Eyes. We actually passed the anniversary of the first discussions which lead to the collaboration a month or so ago. However, in part, it'd mean wrestling with everything @Workable Goblin and I have learned about spaceflight since, and what @nixonshead has learned about art, with a serious risk of turning into a full-on rewrite, which competes with directly working on other new projects like this one, Kistler research, and maybe someday dusting off my "Fires of Mercury" Apollo Applications concept. One of those "pay us and we'll think about it" projects. :)
 
That sounds intriguing, anything you can say about it at this point?
Here's the pitch:

 
This timeline has been incredible, as was expected. It sad to see it on it's way out, but it's always good to write something with an ending in mind, and also to end a timeline before you get too far from reality. (Meanwhile, I occasionally argue with myself over whether I should end my own on-going timeline in 1950, 47 years after the POD, or if I should go another 20 so that I can cover the space race.)

Despite my best efforts, I can't come up with anything substantial to say instead of just gushing, so I'll stop myself now.

Oh, and to shamefully self-plug for a moment since I don't know where else to mention it, a link to the elevator pitch of a timeline I plan to do at some point this year is now in my signature if you guys are interested.
 
Great and wonderful images as always. I'm a bit surprised though it doesn't have a body-flap? The OMS engines seem too exposed to the airstream on reentry.
There weren't body flaps in any of the images of this concept we found when looking, though some of them were also missing OMS engines. Anyway, since we weren't precisely sure, we ended up leaving them off at least in part to make rendering the OPAM easier/faster.
One thing to note, from what I can tell Dream Chaser similarly appears to have no body flap protecting its engines, just small aerodynamic flaps that don't extend beyond the back of the main body:

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