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"At the age of seventeen, the same age that his brother Neil had died, Hawke had a serious accident while riding his Panther motorcycle that left him in a critical condition for several days. This near-death experience acted as his catalyst, driving him to make the most of his talents and not let his abilities go to waste..."https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Hawke
So suppose Hawke had died at a young age. Does Bill Hayden remain leader of the Australian Labor Party and become Prime Minister in 1983 (Hayden famously said that a "drover's dog" could win the election)?
(And yes, obviously this post was prompted by Hawke's death today...)