Bicentennial Man: Ford '76 and Beyond

Callaghan's Gamble
"...it was not yet four years out from the last election, and no, we were just shy of a majority, and there was no guarantee of a majority. But Jim decided it was time to roll the dice; the supply shock that had just reverberated out from America was being felt everywhere, and Jim presented the snap polls as a "referendum on reform," to plow ahead with new measures in a new and uncertain world. The best part, of course, is that he caught the Tories flatfooted; they had not expected an election until autumn at the earliest, and we wanted to run on an improving economy before the Panama matter and the rising oil prices due to all the violence in Iran put a stake in that..."

- Former Prime Minister Denis Healey, "The '78 Campaign in Retrospective"

"...Maggie was not expecting to have to go to the polls in June. Even by spring of 1978 she was finding her footing, trying to build consensus for her Hayekian and neoliberal ideals within a skeptical Conservative Party. The Liberals, too, were still reeling from the Thorpe scandal. Callaghan is certainly never going to be held up as highly as his predecessor or successor but the '78 gamble worked for him, somehow. Somehow it did. He timed it right, maybe even down to the day..."

- William Whitelaw, "The '78 Campaign in Retrospective"

"...Labour's polling lead narrowed a tiny bit, but Callaghan's aggressive operation meant to remind voters of "Margaret Thatcher, Milk Snatcher" and presented her as a danger to Britain's fragile economic recovery. "Don't Turn Back Now!" was the slogan, and it worked. Labour in the end won 332 seats, a more comfortable government than they'd earned in 1974, certainly. The Liberals shed a number of seats themselves, and the Tories wound up with 265. No more would Labour need to rely on the Liberals, or Scottish or Welsh nationalists, or even Northern Irish parties that really had little to contribute to pan-British debates in Westminster. Callaghan's gamble had paid off..."

- The Economist, "Obituary: James Callaghan"

"...Callaghan quickly overhauled his Cabinet, moving Healey to Foreign Secretary - the job he was made for - while steering Owen to the Exchequer, effectively swapping the two. Shirley Williams was made a life peer shortly after the election, allowing Roy Jenkins to return to Cabinet at the Education Ministry. Before long, the various personalities of the late 1970s Labour, all of whom expected Callaghan to retire within a year or two now that the only man to ever hold all four Great Offices of State had won his own general election as a career capstone, achieving the rare feat of expanding a government's majority, viewed their Cabinet offices as platforms to position for the
next Labour government, that which would form upon Callaghan's exit. The knives were soon out, and battle lines drawn, all within the quiet halls of Westminster..."

- "Labour Force: The Trials and Tribulations of the Labour Party 1974-1991"
 
As I plan out the rest of 1978... does anyone familiar with British history/politics have suggestions on who could succeed Thatcher as Tory leader after the dismaying election result? I’ve seen Whitelaw’s name thrown about on this subject before but don’t want to limit myself too much on options
 
Would probably be hard to swing even with Ford's unpopularity - the 70s did have an undercurrent of rightward shift, after all, irregardless of the party in power just at a cultural level
At the very least they’ll win the western states like Utah and Idaho.
 
Would probably be hard to swing even with Ford's unpopularity - the 70s did have an undercurrent of rightward shift, after all, irregardless of the party in power just at a cultural level
Yeah. All I'm saying is that if the dems run someone who is somewhat conservative or moderate 45-48 states doesn't look completely out of reach. Alternatively, due to Ford's unpopularity, the dems might want to use this as a chance to nominate someone left-enough that they normally wouldn't be the best option but because of this might win.
 
Would probably be hard to swing even with Ford's unpopularity - the 70s did have an undercurrent of rightward shift, after all, irregardless of the party in power just at a cultural level

Yeah, but that was because of Nixon and the failure caused by the association of those policies would likely lead to a leftward shift.
 
Yeah. All I'm saying is that if the dems run someone who is somewhat conservative or moderate 45-48 states doesn't look completely out of reach. Alternatively, due to Ford's unpopularity, the dems might want to use this as a chance to nominate someone left-enough that they normally wouldn't be the best option but because of this might win.
I was thinking Lawton Chiles would be in a strong position to take the White House in 1980. He was charismatic and would have the right ideological mix to bring together both wings of the Democratic Party. The fact the he is also a Southerner helps as well.
 
World Cup '78
"...I don't think there's been a dirtier World Cup. Before or after. The Argentines, they needed to win. They had to. FIFA made sure of it. Delays to psych us out in front of the crowd in the Final, them knowing what the results of previous matches were, calls or non-calls in certain matches... Argentina needed that win, the junta needed that win, it was the nastiest mix of sport and politics since Berlin 1936. Yes, I know that's a strong comparison. You want to tell the families of all those disappeared that their leaders weren't bloody fascists, eh?"

- Kenny Dalglish, "Scotland's Miracle Run: World Cup 1978:

"...back in the Netherlands, Cruyff was blamed for the Oranje's group stage exit. Had he traveled to Argentina with the team, I think a lot of people would have looked at his career a bit differently. So dominant with Ajax, so spellbinding in '74, then he leaves his team to go to the World Cup without him? Yeah, I think that's a mar on his record..."

- Robin van Persie, 2016 Euro interview regarding recently-deceased Johan Cruyff

"...it was a big deal, that Scotland made the final. The Scottish Miracle. They were expected to have a strong side, aye, but making it to the final? Against Argentina? In Argentina, then only losing 2-1 in added time? Dalglish and the lads made us proud. There was an outpouring of Scottish pride, and to have it right after the general election, everybody was feeling good. Labour swept, but the SNP was there to start taking advantage of it. It was a big thing, getting silver, for Scottish identity..."

- Gordon Brown, "On Scottish Referenda"
 
Clean Sweep
"...by late June, the fighting in Panama had rippled into an all-out fight between pro and anti-American forces across Latin America, an asymmetric battlefield stretching from the Andes as FARC and ELN escalated their car bombing campaign in Bogota to sway the 1978 Colombian presidential elections to the Mexico-Guatemalan border, where President Portillo dispatched the Mexican Army to prevent refugees fleeing the escalating civil war from entering the country under heavy pressure from the Pentagon. Anti-Hispanic violence burst into being in many cities, and lurid rumors of Torrijos smuggling sleeper agents to carry out a second Huele a Quemado on US soil proliferated. Ford signed off on a top-secret CIA operation known as Clean Sweep, which was to escalate "anti-Soviet activities in the Western Hemisphere" at its discretion. They should have called it Blank Cheque..."

- Former National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski

"...El Salvador and Nicaragua were in absolute chaos. Marxists in Guatemala were stepping up their actions, to the point that Rolando Moran's forces at one point were feared able to pierce the capital. There were Cuban military advisors behind every bush, to hear Langley talk about it. The debate became whether to put US boots on the ground beyond those in Panama, Costa Rica and Colombia, and the decision was made not to, but that the escalation could not continue and that we were worried about a Domino effect in Honduras, what with Salvadoran and Nicaraguan enemy forces transiting and linking up that way. Clean Sweep was our way of taking the gloves off, giving CIA a way to really push ahead, giving the Special Activities Division the space to operate as needed in -"

"You mean to say that you were authorizing the death squads."

"Well... I mean, look. Shit happened. We were trying to avoid another 1959 on the Mexican border. On either side of the Panama Canal, the most important strategic waterway in the world after the Suez. This is ugly business. It is what it is...."

- Interview with former White House Chief of Staff Dick Cheney, 1997

"...no greater gift was ever given to our revolutionary brothers and sisters than the behavior of the United States, specifically via their CIA programs, in the late 1970s..."

- Fidel Castro, 2002
 
Stewart Steps Down
"...Ford had another chance to make his mark on the judiciary with the summer retirement of Potter Stewart, who had serve on the Supreme Court for 20 years. The debate over who he should replace Steward with raged within the White House; Attorney General Edward Levi pushed hard again for his former student and protege Robert Bork, now a year in to his time on the Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit, to earn the appointment, as he had in 1975. Ford seemed amenable to the idea until he received considerable pushback from Cheney, who was grimly watching the President's abysmal approval ratings and noted that some of Bork's writings would be publicly controversial, that the Senate Democrats who ran the Judiciary Committee were licking their chops at a chance to pay Republicans back for the 1968 filibuster that derailed the appointment of Fortas, and that Bork was easy to paint as the "Saturday Night Hatchet-Man," who had purged the Justice Department on behalf of Nixon.

Levi was dismayed that Ford was once again talked out of a Bork appointment, and Cheney instead urged consideration of a figure who could "help" this fall, as the midterms barreled ahead. Ford's instinct was to choose between his runner-up from 1975, Arlin M. Adams of the Philadelphia-based Third Circuit, or his Secretary of Transportation William Coleman, who had clerked on the Supreme Court at the same term as Elliott Richardson and who would have joined Thurgood Marshall as the second black man on the Court. Cheney's suggestion, echoed by Solicitor General Rex Lee [1], was to tap Carla Anderson Hills, the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, who would have been the first woman on the Court. "It'll win over all the women who've been turned off by Watergate, by the recount, by Panama - we can win the mothers of America back, and in time for the midterms," Cheney urged. Ford interviewed both Coleman and Hills at the White House in the time after regular Cabinet meetings to keep his deliberations quiet and spoke with Adams again by phone, mulling the momentous choice, aware of his sagging poll numbers and debating what the best route forward would be..."

- The Gauntlet: The Politics of Judicial Nominations in the 20th Century


[1] IOTL Reagan's solicitor general, a figure tight with Levi and Bork, and father to Utah Senator Mike Lee
 
Well, I'm actually fine with Cheney living that long. Just make sure that the interview is conducted in a Prison somewhere. Maybe after sentencing for war crimes or crimes against humanity.
 
Ford seemed amenable to the idea until he received considerable pushback from Cheney, who was grimly watching the President's abysmal approval ratings and noted that some of Bork's writings would be publicly controversial, that the Senate Democrats who ran the Judiciary Committee were licking their chops at a chance to pay Republicans back for the 1968 filibuster that derailed the appointment of Fortas, and that Bork was easy to paint as the "Saturday Night Hatchet-Man," who had purged the Justice Department on behalf of Nixon.
I'm sure a certain Senator from Delaware would have something to say about this...
 
I'm sure a certain Senator from Delaware would have something to say about this...

Joe wasn’t chairing Senate Judiciary quite that early in his career! But Bork would have been an even harder sell so soon after Watergate, even in a time of much more deference to Presidential appointments
 
Top