Ok, looks like we have the {Appease the UK at the cost of Germany being able to win the war crowd} posting a non-threatening Kriegsmarine. While those folks may honestly believe that that is the BEST KM, I personally do not. I've got things to do, and have been feeling more than a bit under the weather, so I'm not going full blown on this till this weekend (hopefully), but for now...
With respect to an ATL AGNA, were I the Germans, I would prepare three classes of Battleship designs for consideration.
Class one, is the class to build if the UK is feeling reasonable and respects Germany and doesn't try to put unacceptable conditions on Germans first BB (as they did in OTL), post ToV, and this class will only be built in the above case. Class two, is the class to build if the UK attempts to get Germany to accept a fleet smaller than Italy or France, but otherwise is reasonable and respectful, which didn't happen in OTL, but maybe here... Class three is the class to build when the UK refuses to be reasonable and respectful, and makes unreasonable demands for the nature of the BB to be built, just like in OTL.
As class three is, IMO, the most likely to be built if history repeats itself to this point, the third class design would be:
Claim the ships will give Germany back her international prestige, by being as big and powerful as any ships designed under the naval treaties that Germany has been excluded from up to this point, so 45,000 tons, with 8X16" guns. The reality would be that these ships will actually be 20% larger, so their standard displacement will be closer to 54,000 tons.
So, Germany ends up building a pair of Battleships equal to any others in the world, thus restoring her place among the world's top navies, and after achieving parity with the USN/RN/IJN navies 16" gunned ships, will return to the negotiating table, where lesser ships may be the norm for future construction now that Germany has corrected the misperception that her navy is second class and inferior. If anyone objects to Germany having 16" gunned ships, then they must accept that for Germany to be required to scrap her 16" gunned ships, every naval power with 16" gunned ships must scrap theirs, as well. If Germany is requested to limit her main guns in future ships to 14" guns, then Germany will require that the same conditions shall apply to everyone else's fleets, IE; no 15" guns for Germany, then no 15" guns for anyone else.
Here are the three designs, in case anyone was interested...
Class one, Legit 35,000 tons, 8-9 14" guns, 28+ kts. This class only to be built if no attempt to restrict Germany to inferior ships/guns made, else...
Class two, Claim 35,000 tons, really 42,000 tons, 8X15" guns, 30+ kts. This is basically the OTL
Bismarck class, built instead of the OTL
Scharnhorst class.
Class three, Claim 45,000 tons, really 54,000 tons, 8X16" guns, 30+ kts. Build this class, in 1935, if the UK demands Germany's ships must be inferior {11" guns}.
The final class is a lot like the
L 20e a class battleship the Germans were designing in 1914, and were to be built in 1918, but when WWI broke out work on the design was abandoned, but is considerably larger, the smaller guns and larger displacement should give the added speed. For comparison, the
H39 class battleships are even a bit larger than this.
Either way, had Germany not been run by someone like Hitler, when the UK, informed of Germany's desire to build Class one, politely mentions that Germany needs to refrain from building guns larger than 11", the German team should stand up and say "Thank you ever so much for your time meeting with us today, good day" and walk out of the negotiations. And then proceed as planned with the Class three design. After the mistake of trying to limit the Germans to guns smaller than all other treaty participants has resulted in the clear and unequivocal rejection by the Germans in allowing her navy to be limited to second class status has been driven home, and the Germans make clear that unless she is to be included in the naval treaties, as an equal, further ships designs will not be limited to those treaty standards.
This is about all I have time for today, but I wanted to go on record, as an opposing point of view, to many of the other contributors here posting what amounts to an appeaser fleet, rather than as badass fleet as the Germans can get. Keep in mind what I mentioned upthread, because that is something I hope to be able to flesh out this weekend, health permitting.