Well Reagan would be butterflied, but the GOP will still become more conservative. The Dems are still in the depths of their post-'68 civil war. If you'd kept on nominating New Dealers and ultras, we'd have kept on winning as per OTL. (bows to Nixon, Rove) The rule goes like this: The Democrats need a Blue Dog Southerner in the Clinton mold to win. The problem: Southern Presidencies crash, burn, or fizzle. Wilson, LBJ, Clinton (Lewinsky) and Bush Jr.