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Let's say a heavily bastardized version of the Morgenthau Plan is implemented following World War II, without the whole disassembling Germany's economic resources, but more dividing the country. So alongside Austria, Bavaria is also made independent. Maybe Württemberg and Baden are part of the southern German state that results. So now we have communist East Germany, a smaller pro-NATO West Germany, a neutral Austria, and Bavaria/south Germany.
What happens next? Will Bavaria follow Austria's footsteps and try to be neutral? Or something else?