What would be the effects of a Republican exile state (or Anarco-Syndicate) in the Balearic Islands after the Spanish Civil War in a similar fashion to the Nationalist Chinese in Taiwan?
Not likely.What would be the effects of a Republican exile state (or Anarco-Syndicate) in the Balearic Islands after the Spanish Civil War in a similar fashion to the Nationalist Chinese in Taiwan?
It would work better if Republican Spain was exiled to the Canaries instead of the Belearic Islands. That way they could still receive support from the Allies in WWII even after France falls.
Yeah, I can't imagine a Socialist/Annarcho-Communist state surviving when it's surrounded by fascists.
If they do survive, they're going to have a lot of problems. Politically, I don't know how long they could remain a republic with the necessary militarization, they'd almost have to go that next step into a sort of Stalinist Communism.
Why would it turn into an anarcho-communist state?
Not likely.
Perhaps the other way around, though. The republicans (analogues to the socialists in the Chinese Civil War) win the Spanish Civil War, take control, and the Nationalists are forced into exile, controlling say the Balearic Isles and Spain's African colonies. A nearby Italian Fascist state could thus lend support, and force mainland, republican Spain to be cautious about subverting insular, nationalist Spain.
If WW2 is somehow avoided, or at least if Italy keeps out, we could see a long-lasting Italian fascist state and thus longer support of Insular Spain.
Yeah, I can't imagine a Socialist/Annarcho-Communist state surviving when it's surrounded by fascists. England and France may be able to step in and guarantee independence, but as soon as France Falls to the Germans in '40 the English would have to drop it to keep Spain happy/busy enough not to join in the war. I'm not even sure if the islands could support an independent state.
Maybe if for some reason France loaned their Mediterranean Navy to the islands before their government surrendered (In order to preserve it from the Nazis) then the Republicans may be able to protect their independence without overt British Support. I don't think this is likely because the Brits and French never really wanted to get involved in the civil war and I don't think they'd be interested in either helping Socialists or expanding the war.
If they do survive, they're going to have a lot of problems. Politically, I don't know how long they could remain a republic with the necessary militarization, they'd almost have to go that next step into a sort of Stalinist Communism. And then when the Cold War fires up, I'm not sure how long a Communist state could exist in the midst of so many anti-communist nations.
They'd just be surrounded by people who want them to fail for at least 60 years, which is too bad, it'd make an interesting scenario.
One of the big factions of the Spanish Republic was the syndicalists.