Back home by Christmas

I am fairly sure this has been done before, but using the search engine couldn't find any similar.

Now everyone said at the time that WW1 would be over by Christmas, we know how THAT ended. But what if it did actually end by Christmas,

What would be the different in the future, what sort of treaty negotiations would be done?

If CP won?

Or if the Entent won?
 
They will most likely be pretty light overall - it was not until a whole generation had persihed in the trenches and all nations had almost bankrupted themselves in the war effort that all peace treaties become extremely harsh.

If the central powers win:

They'll merge Serbia and Montenegro under a reasonable (read puppet-like) monarch from a junior branch and make the new country a puppet of Austria-Hungary.

Russia will be forces to demilitarise the border, pay large indemnities and clear all the mines they have laid in the Baltic Sea. No Russian naval bases south of the Estonian islands (to ensure they cannot conduct such offensive minings again) would probably be on the table too. I am unsure if Congress Poland would be broken off - probably not, the Germans and Austrians don't want to deal with their own Polish minorities and feel strong enough to not have to.

Belgium will be restored to convince the British to make peace, but in a customs union with Germany and special rights for German traders and merchant navy.

France will probably need to give away some west African colonies, perhaps a little more of Eslass-Lothringen/Alsace-Lorraine and demilitarise the border, including Verdun.

The Ottomans get Kars back from Russia.

Russia will probably experience more turmoil akin to 1905 as they lose another war and will look week. However, the army is not completely eradicated and can keep the revolts down - with blood if needed.

Austria-Hungary and the Ottomans will look strong and can probably keep any minority down without too much violence.

Bulgaria, Romania, Italy and USA will not have time to join the war. The Germans might give the Japanese Tsingtao to buy them off, but will regain other Pacific colonies.
 
If the Entente wins.

France gets Alsace-Lorraine back, and the Rhineland might be demilitarised. Belgium gets a large war reparation and parts of German East Africa. The Germans lose all colonies to the British.

Russia gets Galizia and Ottoman Armenia as well as rights to pass the straits. The straits are demilitarised. The Ottomans are not allowed a navy.
 
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