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How to achieve a recognizable WW2 with Axis of Germany-Spain-KMT China?

(Italy moved to neutral column, at least during initial phase of the war, Japan can move to either side, remain neutral or run parallel war)

the POD for Spain might be a quick coup by Nationalists in 1936, with no Spanish Civil War (or rather the POD for Spain would have to be no Spanish Civil War)

China would be very difficult, my scenario is that they develop a modest air force (something equipped with German HS-123s or similar) and are able to extract at least a heavy price from Japan if/when they cross into China proper.
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