Austria-Wurttemberg-Bavaria instead of Austria-Hungary

John Zápolya become king of Hungary because ottoman back him in 1527 instead 1529.

Hapsburg retain Wurttrmberg in 1536.

what are chances for Hapsburg Bavaria before 1700 ?.

will Wurttemberg and Bavaria compensate for Hungary for Hapsburg?

what will make Austrian Hapsburg focus only on Germany in 16 and 17 century
no Austrian-ottoman wars
 
What are chances for Hapsburg Bavaria before 1700?
If you're able to be slightly flexible with the pre-1700 deadline then the War of Spanish Succession is always a good option for them to pick up Bavaria. After the Battle of Blenheim the Austrians occupied and controlled the Electorate until they returned it at the end of the war, simply have them decide they don't want to give it up and negotiate to have Maximilian II Emanuel receive Sardinia or Naples instead in compensation which also has the added benefit of raising him to be a king.
 
With the Ottomans as an ever-present threat to Europe, there's nothing that would suggest that the Austrian Habsburgs give up their claims to Hungary. They knew it was a financial black hole but they needed the physical buffer against the Ottomans.
 
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