I find it interesting that even though Austria wins this war, it loses territory still.
And that is what makes the war so frustrating, despite the doomsday sentiments of a CP victory, what really changes? Poland at best gains independence but switches its orientation, at most it simply changes who rules over them as they otherwise pursue essentially an autonomy. Ukraine might be a big winner, gaining independence, gaining the attention of both Germany and Ukraine to further improve its agriculture, industrialize it, etc. But we went to war to set the Ruthenians free and to become a huge trade partner with Germany? Crushing Serbia does little to improve the relationship with the Slavic minorities or improve security, it is either garrisoned forever or abandoned to ruins but festering with hate. In which direction does A-H push? More Italians, more Poles, more Ruthenians, more Serbs, what prizes sit just across those frontiers? A-H likely could have invaded Serbia in the first weeks after the assassination with most nations feeling justice was being done, accuse the Czar's government of fanning the flame of Regicide and maybe they blink, or simply keep up the diplomatic pressure, isolate Serbia, and support a change of government while demanding the guilty be turned over for justice. But to draw it out invited the Russians to meddle and involved the fragile balances. Reasonable minds can see the war was not worth the sacrifices but worst of all victory is anything but a Godsend.