Australian Submarines - challenge

The snag with SSN's is the N bit :D The idea if using Nuke boats has come up again in regards to a Collins class replacement. It makes perfect sense in someways - range for starters but falls down when it comes to two issues, support - Aussie simply does not have the infrastructure or the money to built said infrastructure (Out sourcing that is just not an option) The other issue is who will sell them?

The french or British might be, aren't the french meant to be helping the Brazilians develop a SSN as part of their SSK deal? And weren't the Canadians once thinking about RN SSNs before the end of the Cold War?

But I'd agree the costs would impact on the rest of the military budget.
 

TFSmith121

Banned
LBJ. meet Harold Holt...

The snag with SSN's is the N bit :D The idea if using Nuke boats has come up again in regards to a Collins class replacement. It makes perfect sense in someways - range for starters but falls down when it comes to two issues, support - Aussie simply does not have the infrastructure or the money to built said infrastructure (Out sourcing that is just not an option) The other issue is who will sell them?

Granted, he was dead by the time we're speaking of, but its not like F-4s and F-111s were exactly cheap...

Given how overheated the Cold War was in the 1960s, I doubt anything would be out of the question, absent nuclear weapons, if the Australians were willing to commit to ANZUS being as active an alliance as NATO.

Best,
 

Pangur

Donor
Sparky; Yeah, I think I have read the same about the French & Brazil. When the Nuke boat idea comes up it is always in the context of the US rather than the French or the UK

TFSmith121; Good point, in that context it just may have happened.
 
Australia inherited the British miserliness with regard to Defence, rather than the US attitude of relative generosity, and has always been ready to skimp when possible. I think the biggest catalyst for the RAN to permanently create it's own submarine arm was the withdrawal of 4th Sub flotilla. In that environment the RAN was never going to go nuclear, nor will we do so in the foreseeable future.
 

Pangur

Donor
Australia inherited the British miserliness with regard to Defence, rather than the US attitude of relative generosity, and has always been ready to skimp when possible. I think the biggest catalyst for the RAN to permanently create it's own submarine arm was the withdrawal of 4th Sub flotilla. In that environment the RAN was never going to go nuclear, nor will we do so in the foreseeable future.

I most certainly agree that they are a non starter for the foreseeable future. Do you see any window for nuke boats in the past?
 
If you're willing to accept some gaps where boat availability can't meet demand then I think it may be possible. For example there were no boats available between the loss of AE2 in 1915 and the arrival of the first J class boat in 1919, but the RAN was not idle during this timeframe, allocating money towards a sub and sending a team to Britain.

In particular submarine J7 stays in commission between 1922 and 1927 and the O class are not returned to Britain in 1931 for whatever reason. If still in Australia by 1937 or so I think the O class boats would be reactivated, and may be the only Commonwealth subs in the Pacific in 1941. The war may see the RAN lose both it's subs, but by late in the war another may be available, at least a T class and maybe an A class.

When these wartime subs need replacing I'd suggest the US Barbel class rather than the Oberons.

If J7 had stayed long enough and the two O class had been kept, access to T Class submarines would have been likely after WW2 and these boats could have stayed in service until the 1960's and the O Class
 
I most certainly agree that they are a non starter for the foreseeable future. Do you see any window for nuke boats in the past?

Not at all, we bought 4 Oberons in the 60s to replace the 4th flotilla, and another 2 in the 70s to beef up the fleet then it was onto the Collins in the 90s. We were testing the waters in the 60s so that's out for a window, the 70s was a meagre time for Australian defence, we were probably lucky to get last 2 Oberons so the 70s is out and by the 90s there was no question that nukes were out.
 
If J7 had stayed long enough and the two O class had been kept, access to T Class submarines would have been likely after WW2 and these boats could have stayed in service until the 1960's and the O Class

I don't doubt that if we had a functioning submarine arm in 1943 or 1944 from our O class boats we would have been able to get a T class boat. But the RN Submarine arm was the most casualty prone arm in the entire British Armed forces, so the chances are slim that our 2 O boats (if we had kept them through the 30s) would be alive and kicking in 1943/4.
 
I don't doubt that if we had a functioning submarine arm in 1943 or 1944 from our O class boats we would have been able to get a T class boat. But the RN Submarine arm was the most casualty prone arm in the entire British Armed forces, so the chances are slim that our 2 O boats (if we had kept them through the 30s) would be alive and kicking in 1943/4.

You are probably right. They RAN also operated a NEI boat under their own command as a training ship, K9 for 1942-45 I think(off the top of my head)
 

TFSmith121

Banned
How much did the 1st ATF cost in the 1960s-70s?

Not at all, we bought 4 Oberons in the 60s to replace the 4th flotilla, and another 2 in the 70s to beef up the fleet then it was onto the Collins in the 90s. We were testing the waters in the 60s so that's out for a window, the 70s was a meagre time for Australian defence, we were probably lucky to get last 2 Oberons so the 70s is out and by the 90s there was no question that nukes were out.

No Vung Tau ferry et al, all sorts of things are possible.

Likewise, go (relatively) simple with an F-4s, rather than F-111s, to replace the Canberras, and there's another umpteen-million-dollar expense that has been reduced.

A hi-lo F-4/A-7 mix, or even F-4/A-4 or F-8/A-4 (good enough for the USMC) rather than the Mirages, would be another possibility. F-104/F-5 could have been a useable hi-lo mix, as well; not my first choice, but doable.

Jindalee and Ikara were both illustrative examples of R&D and procurement, as well...

Buy more Centurions or buy M-48s and upgun them to M-48A5 status, rather than Leopards...

Lots of options.

Best,
 
Malaya, Borneo and Vietnam were credible responses to the real and perceived security threats to Australia in the late 50s to early 70s. Responding to those same security threats by acquiring nuclear submarines would not be credible, since such a force would be an almost dominant centrepiece of Australian force structure yet limited to coercing the security threats to Australia by sinking big ships and landing SAS patrols.
 
The french or British might be, aren't the french meant to be helping the Brazilians develop a SSN as part of their SSK deal? And weren't the Canadians once thinking about RN SSNs before the end of the Cold War?

But I'd agree the costs would impact on the rest of the military budget.

They considered the RN Trafalgar class from memory, but the USN vetoed the plan due to IP considerations with respect to the plant.
 
I don't doubt that if we had a functioning submarine arm in 1943 or 1944 from our O class boats we would have been able to get a T class boat. But the RN Submarine arm was the most casualty prone arm in the entire British Armed forces, so the chances are slim that our 2 O boats (if we had kept them through the 30s) would be alive and kicking in 1943/4.

Alternatively what changes would be required for the RAN to use the USN S class submarines?

If we are creating an ideal world for a RAN submarine fleet, would that represent an ideal outcome or staying with the RN O class boats be superior? If that means in 1943 we are unlikely to be able to maintain them due to lack of spares etc and general wear and tear over the proceeding 15 + years? Would we go to a USN boat then?
 

TFSmith121

Banned
Malaya and Borneo? Sure.

Malaya, Borneo and Vietnam were credible responses to the real and perceived security threats to Australia in the late 50s to early 70s. Responding to those same security threats by acquiring nuclear submarines would not be credible, since such a force would be an almost dominant centrepiece of Australian force structure yet limited to coercing the security threats to Australia by sinking big ships and landing SAS patrols.

Those were basically battalion combat team+ sized deployment rotations; Vietnam was an infantry brigade group - which, ultimately, was unsustainable.

Sustaining Melbourne and her air group, and Sydney as a transport, was not exactly cheap, either.

Night and day.

Best,
 

TFSmith121

Banned
Newbuild S-boats means a switch to US procurement

Alternatively what changes would be required for the RAN to use the USN S class submarines?

If we are creating an ideal world for a RAN submarine fleet, would that represent an ideal outcome or staying with the RN O class boats be superior? If that means in 1943 we are unlikely to be able to maintain them due to lack of spares etc and general wear and tear over the proceeding 15 + years? Would we go to a USN boat then?


Newbuild S-boats means a switch to US procurement in the 1920s, which seems pretty close to impossible.

Although an "American" RAN in the interwar period would be interesting...two modified Pensacolas (4x2 main battery, presumably) in the late 1920s, followed by a pair of bobtailed Brooklyns in the late 1930s? Anzac and the S-class destroyers are followed by a half-dozen Farraguts in the mid-30s? Four Bibbs in the late 1930s?

Taking over US S-boats in 1943 for ASW training seems a little more likely, but still seems like a stretch in the middle of the war....

Which is why I suggested Gatos vis MDAP in the 1950s for ASW training, to start.

Best,
 
Alternatively what changes would be required for the RAN to use the USN S class submarines?

If we are creating an ideal world for a RAN submarine fleet, would that represent an ideal outcome or staying with the RN O class boats be superior? If that means in 1943 we are unlikely to be able to maintain them due to lack of spares etc and general wear and tear over the proceeding 15 + years? Would we go to a USN boat then?

Since it was illegal to sell used warships to another country under the naval treaties, the earliest an S boat could be acquired by the RAN was when Lend-Lease took off, as a 6 of those were transferred to the RN under its provisions, 1 in late 1941, which was passed on to the Free Polish Navy & subsequently lost, and 5 more during mid-late 1942, which were used in the RN as training boats & ASW targets as their obsolescence & poor material condition made them unsuitable for operational use.

The USN only committed them to the front lines because of a shortage of modern boats, & only used in areas where their slow speed & short range were thought not to be too much of a hindrance (the defense of the Philippines, the NEI, the Solomons, & the Aleutians), but even there, their being slow & short-legged was a serious operational hindrance, they were plagued by constant mechanical breakdowns & severe hull corrosion, and were incredibly exhausting to the point of being almost uninhabitable in tropic waters, while the food would be largely spoiled & the crew exhausted within 2-3 weeks.

By the time they were withdrawn to training duties, they were pretty much coming apart at the seams, with reports of a couple boats being so badly rusted that while in dock, clumsy yard workers accidentally poked holes through the pressure hull; such material issues are thought by many to be the most likely cause of the loss of S-28, which disappeared off Pearl Harbor during an ASW exercise in July, 1944.

Nor would fleet boats be available until there'd be any point grabbing some, as the USN was using every fleet boat the yards could produce, while the oddballs withdrawn from the front lines prior to late 1944 were needed as training vessels. By the time the early ones (pre-Gato) were withdrawn in late 1944-early 1945, there weren't really enough Japanese targets to go around, and those ones had been used hard.

If the alt-RAN has a functional submarine arm during WW2, then not just for reasons of training & logistics, but also for the condition of the boats, trying to get extra hulls from the RN to expand the force and/or replace losses would be by far preferable to acquiring old US S boats; the only situation where trying to get some of those relics would make any sense would be if there was no other way to get any submarines in any sort of reasonable time.
 
Those were basically battalion combat team+ sized deployment rotations; Vietnam was an infantry brigade group - which, ultimately, was unsustainable.

Sustaining Melbourne and her air group, and Sydney as a transport, was not exactly cheap, either.

Night and day.

Best,

So you are suggesting that Australia forgo these commitments and lose these capabilities in favour of a nuclear submarine force?

Also, in what way was 1ATF unsustainable?
 
Alternatively what changes would be required for the RAN to use the USN S class submarines?

If we are creating an ideal world for a RAN submarine fleet, would that represent an ideal outcome or staying with the RN O class boats be superior? If that means in 1943 we are unlikely to be able to maintain them due to lack of spares etc and general wear and tear over the proceeding 15 + years? Would we go to a USN boat then?

In my mind and ideal world with as close a basis in reality as possible would be.

  • AE1 & 2 both used in WW1 and lost by 1915
  • 6 J class used from 1919 to 1922, J7 kept in limited commission until 1927
  • 2 O class acquired in 1928 and kept in limited commission after 1931
  • 2 O class used in the Indian Ocean against the Italian Red Sea Flotilla until mid 1941. Then used against the Japanese in late 1941 and early 1942, which I'd suggest would lead to the loss of at least 1 boat.
  • A T class boat from the 3rd group of the class in about 1943, using a cadre from the extant O class boat.
  • The remaining O class boat scrapped in 1946, replaced by a now surplus T class boat.
  • The US Barbel class acquired in the 60s.
  • The Japanese Oyashio class acquired in the 90s.
 
That was an exceptionally well reasoned response and it is always good to have a greater understanding of the reasoning behind the decisions made by the Naval Board and the government of the day.

Personally I think a submarine flotilla consisting of two boats does not seem right, ideally one would prefer three or at the minimum two boats with an option of a third. This being due to the old adage of one submarine being in dry dock, one being worked up and the third deployed.

Now if we were to put our left field hats on if the RAN is looking for a replacement submarines in the mid to late 30's, there are several other suppliers that we could hypothetically consider. If we are operating under the assumption that they would be unable to obtain any submarines from the USN.

MN - The Redoubtable or Minerve class seem promising
HNLMS - Had an excellent service history for submarines... could the RAN purchase from them?
RM - From memory had several designs
IJN - Interesting for a variety of reasons
KM - Again very low probability, but a Type VII class would be interesting.

Perhaps unlikely but an interesting start for a timeline.
 
Just a word on price, the ran Oberons cost $10 million each in the 60s, when the exchange rate was about 2:1, so our first four Oberons cost about 20 million pounds for the entire flotilla. The hms valiant cost 25 million pounds and warspite 21 million pounds. So the money allocated for the 4 Oberons may have been enough to buy a single ssn, but probably not, let alone the nuclear infrastructure behind it.

As for context the major refit to the hmas Melbourne to extend the catapult for skyhawks etc cost $2 million or 1 million pounds.
 
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