I am starting to work on a timeline where the POD is that Ibrahim Pasha decides to march on Istanbul right after winning the Battle of Nizip during the Second Ottoman-Egyptian War. As a result, the Ottomans agree to restore the status quo ante bellum. ITTL, Mehmet Ali Pasha dies around the time he does OTL, and Ibrahim succeeds him as Khedive. After becoming Khedive, Ibrahim decides to replace the Egyptian monopolies with a relatively high land tax, in order to incentivize industrialization. As a result, revolts occur, and the royal family becomes antagonistic to Ibrahim. The Ottomans take advantage of the turmoil and invade Cilicia/Syria. How plausible does this sound, and what would the outcome of such a war be?
As a side note, could the Russians take advantage of a distracted Ottoman Empire and invade them?
As a side note, could the Russians take advantage of a distracted Ottoman Empire and invade them?