ATL post-WW2 Germany and it's armed forces

What would a german army/airforce look like, assuming an ATL (possibly non nazi) germany wins a limited version of WW2....imagie a kind of soft peace after France falls (with no Hitler around)...a reduced Poland is set in the east as a puppet; in the west Alsace-Lorraine is regaines, and that's all...no invasiin of Soviet Union, nin invasion of Balkans, Italy is not invited onbiard, UK asks for peace, after realizing they have no chance to set ffot on the continent.
PS you are allowed to assume that, Hitler not being there, german rearmament policy is less delusional and the german war machine is globally better structured (better focus on long range airforce, strategical bombers etc etc etc.).
Now assume we are in, say mid-50s (oh and the americans had their war against the japanese too...and they won it). What would the german armed forces look like? What combat vehicles? What planes? How large an army? What navy?
 
I'd assume the Waffen SS would be similar to the Revolutionary Guard in the Irani military, a separate self contained force with it's own political power and agenda. I'd assume the SS are a major force given most future Furhers need their backing, and are a well equipped but smaller force compared to the Heer, similar to the USMC in modern America.
 
In 1940 the Waffen SS amounted to a single motorized rifle division & a few smaller independent formations. probably way less than 50,000 men. Difficult to think it grows into a second army without Hitlers fragmented thinking.
 
Well, assuming a more sane rearmament during the 30s that didn't involve cannibalizing the rest of the economy (said assumption is actually needed for this scenario to even work, so we'll assume it).

-Army: continuous motorization, probably mostly motorized/mechanized by the 50s. Infantry squads still mainly centered around the MG 42 types of machine guns. Tanks mainly focus on mobility and firepower rather than superheavy armor, probably little to no heavy tanks (no shock from meeting the KV-1 among other things)
-Air force: still mainly tactical and army support, whatever strategic and long range are probably more for maritime patrol and strike and anti-shipping.
-Navy: Plan Z probably, a balanced force. Probably still anywhere between putting on the finishing touches to barely halfway done by the 50s depending on budget and how pressing the need for them.
 
Army: They would be without the lessons learned by facing Allied artillery. The value of artillery to both the offense and defense can't be understated, but they might, without the shitstorm of HE that always seemed to be in their face in WW2. Watching the action in the Pacific probably wouldn't give them the same 1st hand experience, either. Also, failure's a great teacher at times, so spared a debacle or two, they might continue to rely on parachutists as too big a part of their offensive play book. They could miss the boat on a number of lessons. Speaking of boats,
Navy: Maybe they don't grow the same appreciation for subs as TTL, but, looking at the big picture, and having to play with the big boys on the new diplomatic stage, they might go much more balanced and reasoned in their naval construction programs. Might look better, and get better press, but, it's not going to impress the NEW 900lb gorilla any more than their WW1 fleet impressed the old one. They'll need those subs to counter the CV threat, not to mention plenty of 1st rate aircraft...Damn! I wasn't going to mention aircraft, but, now...
Air Force: Aside from the tendency to continue to substitute dive bombers for artillery, this might be the place to shine for the 3rd and half Reich. Even a distant view of the Pacific conflict would tend to confirm the lesson of the early ground war in Europe, "Air Power is real power, just as much as a Panzer Division or a Panzerschiff", and they've got a leg up on most. They can push their work on jets, on rotary winged craft, on strategic airlift and even strategic bombing/attack. They could be a contender...

Final analysis; without the hard lessons we're privy to ITTL, the new German Kriegsspiel could actually be the product of their own walkover against the French and a remote view of amphibious/carrier warfare, suggesting something much less impressive than the mid-war juggernaut that scared so many ITTL, 'cept maybe for the Luftwaffe.

Or...
 
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NoMommsen

Donor
I'd assume the Waffen SS would be similar to the Revolutionary Guard in the Irani military, a separate self contained force with it's own political power and agenda. I'd assume the SS are a major force given most future Furhers need their backing, and are a well equipped but smaller force compared to the Heer, similar to the USMC in modern America.
In 1940 the Waffen SS amounted to a single motorized rifle division & a few smaller independent formations. probably way less than 50,000 men. Difficult to think it grows into a second army without Hitlers fragmented thinking.
Without Hitler at the helm there won't be even be a "Waffen-SS".
 

NoMommsen

Donor
What’s Germany’s strategic goal in this world?
I would assume :
trying to keep its head abive the water in a three-sided cold-war
  1. anglo-american capitalism
  2. "nationalistic"/"fascistic" corporatism/syndicalism (a la Rathenau)
  3. Soviet-Union and its satellites of the communist world
 
I would assume :
trying to keep its head abive the water in a three-sided cold-war
  1. anglo-american capitalism
  2. "nationalistic"/"fascistic" corporatism/syndicalism (a la Rathenau)
  3. Soviet-Union and its satellites of the communist world

Who’s side is France on? Because that dictates a lot of German military positioning and organization.
 
Who’s side is France on? Because that dictates a lot of German military positioning and organization.

They'd have to be on side 1 if they align with anybody at all: if its as (unrealistically) as weak of a "victory" as the OP suggests with Germany not occupying/puppeting France and barely even bloodying her nose by merely taking back the disputed territories, with really only Italy and Japan otherwise in the Pact of Steel, faction 2 is far too weak and is going to have too poor of a reputation in Paris for the French to willingly align to their recent enemy.
 
They'd have to be on side 1 if they align with anybody at all: if its as (unrealistically) as weak of a "victory" as the OP suggests with Germany not occupying/puppeting France and barely even bloodying her nose by merely taking back the disputed territories, with really only Italy and Japan otherwise in the Pact of Steel, faction 2 is far too weak and is going to have too poor of a reputation in Paris for the French to willingly align to their recent enemy.

Then the German military is still going to be organized a lot like the German military of 1939/40 just with better tech:

Fast armored and mech divisions oriented towards offensives with short logistic lines. Short range interceptors, lots of tactical bombers and CAS, etc.

Edit: Fallschirm probably trade in their parachutes for helicopters.
 
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