Asia without (OTL) WW2?

There's a lot of threads discussing Europe without WW2, or the world in general, but not many for Asia. For the purposes of this thread, let's assuming the following happens in Europe:

- The Poles still win the war with the Soviet Union, but do not do as well - as such, the Soviet's western border is farther west and roughly (but not completely) follows the original Curzon line. With the Soviet Union that much closer to the rest of Europe, anti-Communist hysteria is somewhat higher.
- Wilhelm Marx wins the German presidential election in 1925. Germany may or may not anschluss with Austria and Danzig, but that's as far as they expand territorially. They detente with France and possibly (reduced, smaller, mostly Polish inhabited) Poland.
- The rest doesn't matter too much with regards to Asia.

So how does Asia develop in this world? Weimar carries on, the Nazis never rise, but there seems to still be several fuses ready to light in Asia even if Europe dances around most of theirs.
 
If the Italian/Ethiopian war still occurs then Japan is liable to attack China. Perhaps it will even if no Ethiopian invasion. That leads to a large Asian war & possible European involvement after 1938.
 
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