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I watched a documentary about Churchill views on the soviets on WWII, and he believed that the germans would bleed the soviets dry and so the western allies would invade and take most of the western europe leaving the USSR as a poor, backwards states with their 1939 borders (or even the borders of the treaty of Riga), but as we know the soviets took the entire eastern europe

What is necessary to make Churchill plan work? Could a German victory at Stalingrad or Kursk, or the lack of a land lease to the soviet union make that happen?
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