Another false start

Just for reference, even if all 10 ships are lost, the GF can make up those loses within two weeks. Both Utah and Texas were in Ireland on convoy escort duty. They can be in Scapa Flow in a couple days. The two South Carolina class can take over that job, where their low speed won't be as much of a handicap. After that, the US will likely be sending North Dakota, Nevada, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Arizona, New Mexico and Mississippi. That's nine Battleships (plus the two on convoy duty). So within 2 weeks, the GF will have made good 90% of their loses. The Germans OTOH, can't replace their loses. So they'll actually end up in a worse position than when the fight started.
If worst comes to worst, you could bring some of the French and Italian deathtraps dreadnoughts up from the Mediterranean and use a whole bunch of newer Pre-Dreads in their place, that's an extra 12 BB's if needed
 

SsgtC

Banned
If worst comes to worst, you could bring some of the French and Italian deathtraps dreadnoughts up from the Mediterranean and use a whole bunch of newer Pre-Dreads in their place, that's an extra 12 BB's if needed
Hell, you might even be able to persuade Japan to send the 4 Kongo class ships along with the Kawachi and Fuso classes. That's another 8 capital ships.
 

SsgtC

Banned
Shit
So a 1916 POD??
I am really stumped as to how to do this
Probably. You might get away with one later, but you have a very small window between when the US declares war and when actual American ships and men begin arriving
 
Probably. You might get away with one later, but you have a very small window between when the US declares war and when actual American ships and men begin arriving
Late 1916 the plan is laid out and construction was never slowed on the Bayerns. 1917 Spring Offensive in conjunction with the raid
 
I can try, but once the US enters the war and send reinforcements to Europe, German is pretty much screwed. The easiest way is to keep the US out is the war

Yup.

Before US entry, Germany only had a marginal chance of impacting the course of the sea at war. After US entry, that marginal chance was reduced to basically zero, because now the British have tentative call on sixteen US dreadnoughts.

What is left for the HSF is to make some contribution to the land campaign, which is why you see timelines like Eternity's that focus on significantly disrupting supply lines across the Channel.
 
Late 1916 the plan is laid out and construction was never slowed on the Bayerns. 1917 Spring Offensive in conjunction with the raid
What gives to allow the last two Bayerns to be constructed? That's a lot of resources, and they have to come from somewhere that used them OTL.
 
How about less of a reduction in ship construction, a march 1917 decision and throw in a mine field and/or a submarine picket line.
These factors never got to work iotl, but there is no reason they couldn’t work with a bit of luck to even the scores.
Ps. The more ready ships would be the POD leading to the other decisions
 
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How about less of a reduction in ship construction, a march 1917 decision and throw in a mine field and/or a submarine picket line.
These factors never got to work iotl, but there is no reason they couldn’t work with a bit of luck to even the scores.
Ps. The more ready ships would be the POD leading to the other decisions
I'll get to work
 
Go for a 1914 battle, to interrupt the BEF movement to France?

The British advantage in battle line and light forces grows every month the war goes on. It's the best chance of a victory, and even defeat might achieve a strategic goal, by disrupting the Entente response to the German attack on France.
 

SsgtC

Banned
What gives to allow the last two Bayerns to be constructed? That's a lot of resources, and they have to come from somewhere that used them OTL.
IOTL, construction was slowed to a crawl in 1914 before being suspended entirely in 1917. I think if you don't slow construction as much you can spread the pain out more so it's not as noticable. Maybe a couple of destroyer flotillas are down a ship or two, a handful of subs over 3 yesterday don't get built. Conversely, by 1917 the ships are practically done
 
IMO all other things being Equal - Germany has to win before the end of 1st 'Wipers' Ypres (19 October – 22 November 1914).

After that on land things are too closely matched for one side to beat the other

At sea Britain was too strong for the HSF and did not seem obliged to adopt Germany's 'chosen tactic for the British' of conducting the close blockade and allowing Germany to adopt the advantageous tactics that might have evened out the strength of both fleets in Germany's favor.

Perfidious Albion!

So any POD at sea has to be as suggested King Augeas to interrupt movement of BEF forces over the months after the war starts to possibly help allow Germany win the race for the Sea, blockade easy movement from the UK to Northern France (which is a big ask) and somehow invest Paris.

The problem is other than some minor successes I cannot see Germany blocking British movement across the Channel for more than a day or 2 if not mere hours before the GF turns up and the HSF remembers that it has urgent business at the Jade.

And given the short distances involved they are unlikely to cause many losses - ie they are not going to wipe out an entire division of troops by sinking a troops ship sort of meme.
 

Coulsdon Eagle

Monthly Donor
I would suggest researching the late war convoys to Norway, and the attempt to lay a mine barrage across the top of the North Sea. I recall that occasionally the BCF or the 6BS would sally out to catch any raiders. Perhaps have the HSF twig their emails are being read and lay a trap for the isolated squadron. A submarine ambush of the rest of the Grand Fleet could whittle away a few more dreadnoughts (not necessarily sunk but damaged enough to miss the next round).

So, the the RN & USN busting to get even, rush down from Rosyth when the original raid on the Thames estuary / Channel traffic is launched and some more mistakes are made.

I agree with most that OTL the HSF would have to either run or be crushed in late '18, but you have here the possibility of a strong final stand that ends in defeat but disrupts traffic & hits Allied morale as for the third time the main fleets have clashed and none have been a second Trafalgar.

I would also add that you should only write when it is enjoyable for you; if it's not then stop and wait until it is fun again. If you do want to pitch your original version then I would suggest one of the naval fiction forums, as anything seems to go there!
 
Go for a 1914 battle, to interrupt the BEF movement to France?

The British advantage in battle line and light forces grows every month the war goes on. It's the best chance of a victory, and even defeat might achieve a strategic goal, by disrupting the Entente response to the German attack on France.
I agree!
 
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