Another 1940

Let's start from some points of divergence:
- 1939 without the Germany and Soviet invasion of Poland;
- Germany wants only western Europe;
- Soviet Union wants UK and France posesion in Asia, and for that they will atack Iran and Afganistan, and after the fall of France they go and do a solo, on theyr targets;
- In near future, Japan will just be... Japan, with teyr targets.

Now, we have almost all biggest powers with some jobs to do. Only Mussolini is left outside the game. And, of course he wants a slice of the cake. And, for this he convince Horty and Tsar Boris to play as his puppets against the alliance of Poland, Romania, Yugoslavia, Greece and Turkey. A new Axis is one between Rome-Budapest-Sofia. All starts in August 1940. No one intervene against others wars. Only trade is allowd.

I hope, my english was not so scary. :) And i hope you like the scenario. And another hope... maybe one of my friends will help me with some translations, and i will put here some text.

What can we see starting with this scenario?
 
The Soviets likely go it alone during 1943 demanding Eastern Poland then attacking into Germany after Polands done.

Also this scenario whilst intriguing borders on the absurd violating everything Hitler set out to do.
 
Why scrap the invasion of Poland? Seems the first step in German-Soviet cooperation, though eventually bedfellows are going to fall out.

As you said, you could have Germany concentrate on the West, while the Soviets push south to get their warm water port. France will fall as per OTL, along with Norway while Germany and Britain duke it out.

Without an earlier POD, I don't see Mussolini going it alone. If the circumstances are right, he could stay neutral, but as you said, he wants a slice of the cake. So that puts him with Hitler again.

Instead of initiating the battle of Britain, Germany could invoke a Mediterranian strategy focusing on taking Malta and Egypt. Make sure Hitler doesn't let Mussolini tackle Greece on his own. The Italian militar was actually pretty competient and decently equipped, though Mussolini just poorly managed it. Demobilizing 200,000 troops right before a massive invasion, preparing to attack Yugoslavia one day, Egypt the next, Greece the one after that. It was no wonder they didn't perform well.

With pressure on the British Empire mounting as they'd have to send troops to defend British India, Iran, Afghanistan, Egypt, Iraq and Japan probably wouldn't take long to jump on Britain's empire in the east, pressure will mount for a negotiated peace.

Hitler was always prepared to give the British a tolerable peace too. So Malta, Egypt and Sudan to Italy. Iran and Afgahnistan to Russia, return of Germany's colonies in Africa, and Singapore, Hong Kong and maybe Burma to Japan would probably do it. Possibly British's West African colonies to Vichy France in compensation for giving Syria-Lebandon, Tunisia and Indochina up.

After that you have a German dominated Europe, a larger Soviet Union, and a Empire of Japan with the resources it needs to wage a war.

So the next phase would be your long awaited showdown between Germany and Japan against Soviet Russia. It'd likely be 1943-44 at this point.

Oh and your English is fine. You can tell it's not your native language, but you're getting your point across. :D
 
Now, we have almost all biggest powers with some jobs to do. Only Mussolini is left outside the game. And, of course he wants a slice of the cake. And, for this he convince Horty and Tsar Boris to play as his puppets against the alliance of Poland, Romania, Yugoslavia, Greece and Turkey. A new Axis is one between Rome-Budapest-Sofia. All starts in August 1940. No one intervene against others wars. Only trade is allowd.

I dont know how youre gonna make the scenario happen, but the result might be something akin to Longvins Italy 1936 (im having to refer to this way to many times!) where a 'shrewder' Mussolini dosent join WWII formally, instead allied with bulgaria to munch up Jugoslavia, and then annexes Bulgaria too. Its not on this site, just Google it.

Apart from all that, youll have an uber showdown of superpowers assumung the US gets in too.
 
Let's start from some points of divergence:
- 1939 without the Germany and Soviet invasion of Poland;
- Germany wants only western Europe;
The problem is that Germany DIDN'T want western Europe. They attacked France to keep her out of play to avoid a two front war when they ended up attacking the Soviets.

To do this, you'd absolutely have to replace Hitler, and if you replace Hitler EVERYTHING changes. Most especially, you're unlikely to have WWII starting in 1939 (possibly some time around then, but not likely that particular year).

So. If your PoD is someone other than Hitler is in power, then you have to figure out who and why, and what they are likely to do.

The best current TL with this kind of change is
Holding Out for a Hero: Gustav Stresemann Survives (
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ... Last Page) Faeelin
although it doesn't go in the direction you want. But it shows how to do such a timeline, and do it right.
 
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