Anglo-Japanese Alliance= No WWII?

Following WWI many in the UK had this vision of America as the future of the security adn stability of the Empire. Some called them the distant cousins, those people linked to the UK and wanting to return to her. Churchill was such a person, as was Eden, and as was Llyod George to a small extent. Yet in truth what the USA was a nation filled with Irish, German, and other people none to fond of the UK, and very isolationist.

It is with hopes of improving US-UK relations that the British ended their alliance with the Japanese. Now WI that never ended, WI people focused more on proven allies and not possible ones?

Pros:
  • UK asian interests are secure
  • Japan has a foothold in western politics, and a reason to remain more moderate
  • With a Japanese alliance the needs for a naval limitation treaty increases, but in UK and Japanese favor

Australia and New Zealand, along with other British holdings have a strong navy to defend them, thus making other British naval ships able to be secure in other places. Japan will not have the foul taste of western politics in its mouth and will have reason to stay with in the british camp, that means a milder military movement, or better yet none at all. If a Naval conference occurs Japan and the UK will not be feeling bad, as their combined strength over powers that of the US. In regards to areas like Manchuria the japanese have a nation to easily recognize their "security" needs.

Cons:
  • A really pissed off America
  • The New Diplomacy politicans have a very large enemy to point at
  • League of Nations will be filled with calls for racial tolerance

America will look to the UK with some distrust, and see it as encircling the US. Those who follow the Wilson ideals of diplomacy will see keeping an alliance as outdated, and costly compare dto collective security. Many inside of the LON will take issue with Japan and its pushes for racial tolerance laws, and encouragment (something they pushed for OTL), which has at least lip service support from the UK.

Now with a Japanese alliance the UK has done two things, the first is that it has made a solid defense in the east for its Empire, and the second is that it has embrace realpolitik as well as new diplomacy. If such ideas flow naturaly then Mussolini calling for a coalition agaisnt Hitler seems like a good idea, naval issues in the North Sea are easy to handle for the UK can make any deal it wants with Hitler and simply move more ships west to divert the effect. With the UK as an ally Japan can invade Manchuria and not face problems as the UK would no doubt recognize the Japanese holdings and nations would follow suit. Without American embargo Japan has no reason to go to war.
 
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Well, unless maintaining the Anglo-Japanese alliance somehow prevents the rise of the Nazis in Germany (seems dubious to me, but butterflies have done stranger things) we still get something resembling World War II. A US that is on much less firendly terms with the UK might lead to them maintaining strict neutrality during the war, which could be more than a little problematic.
 
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