@DanMcCollum - thanks for the support and good vibes
@Icedaemon, @cmakk1012 - you see, even inside the prospect of the TL, which certainly has some exaggeration and narrative luck involved, it doesn't seems too plausible at the time moment. What I have in mind is to put the Crusaders in Egypt vis-a-vis a Caliphate that has already collapsed into anarchy (which will happen a little bit later in the future). The Christians still need some time to consolidate Syria, and even a large Crusader army coming from Europe, in these circumstances, won't necessarily be a good thing for an invasion of Egypt, especially considering the logistical concerns such an undertaking would demand.
@jocay - your suggestion about a potential failure by the Crusaders is actually very similar to OTL expeditions undertaken by King Amalric. They became overconfident and entered the Nile Delta in a period of intense flood, and effectivelly became stranded in hostile territory, without supplies. It was a complete disaster. I hope our alt-Crusaders have a lot more common sense...
@Colonel flagg - in a nutshell: they are far better than IOTL. The Seljuks and the Danishmends have been mostly eliminated as significant political and military threats; the Empire has, on paper, reannexed the central provinces of Anatolia and Trebizond, reaffirmed the hold over Cilicia - whose independence will be butterflied awau ITTL - and is pronging into Armenia. But, in reality, things are more complicated: it is struggling to restore the demographic and economic potential of these regions, and John II Komnenos, like Alexios before him, is very cautious about overstretching the dominion, especially considering that they still regard Edessa as a convenient buffer to deter attacks from the Seljuks in Jazira.
Also, John Komnenos will live a bit longer than IOTL, because, so far, the circumstances of his life have diverged a little bit; I believe to be plausible that he could easily avoid his historical death, which involved a hunting accident, in which he (1) cut himself with a poisonous arrow and (2) ignored the festering wound.
@UnaiB - interesting idea, I'll have it in mind. Although, to be honest, I'm not too inclined about having divergences happen everywhere else in Europe, because it is hard to keep track on all of them. I've been making exceptions for some cases (notably Aquitaine), when I see instances in which an historical death could be reasonably avoided (for example, Duke William X died when he went to Spain and cought a disease there; I believe this one episode could be butterflied away under other circumstances). As a whole, however, unless a divergence is mentioned in the TL, things will happen exactly or similarly to OTL.
@Marse Lee - no problem, friend, good to see you here. I intend to go the TL as far as I can, with the alternate 20th Century likely being the final destination.
The colonization of the Americas, indeed, is something we've discussed often in the thread. I'm of the opinion that if the Europeans have an easier access to the southern and far eastern Asian markets, by the way of the Red Sea, the transatlantic voyages, at least in the way we see them, will either not happen or simply be delayed in comparison to OTL.
However, I do intend to explore possibilities involving other venues of exploration. In this forum, we frequently discuss the case of the Basque or Breton fishermen in the Grand Banks, which is an interesting one, or English or Nordic explorers. Anyways, those are flexible ideas, you feel open to forward your suggestions too!
@galileo-034 and @Archangel - indeed! The County of Portucale was, for lack of better expression, a pain in the ass to the Spanish kingdoms (notably Leon). But, in the other hand, its independence, as it occurred IOTL, could be avoided if we changed the circumstances (especially, the capture of Lisbon by the forces of the Second Crusade). Indeed they might be giving the Leonese/Castillians a fairly bad time in their eternal wars against the Andalusian polities (especially the Almohads, who were very formidable), but I'll need to meditate a bit about the details.
@TyranicusMaximus and @UnaiB - we sure could think, too, about the likehood of an independent Occitania/Aquitaine being interested in the region of Catalonia, even if it enters a personal union with the House of Aragon. Its reasonable to pressupose that a de facto autonomous Occitania would be ever interested in the geopolitical occurrences of the Iberian peninsula, being more focused in the Mediterranean than France would ever be.
@Icedaemon, @cmakk1012 - you see, even inside the prospect of the TL, which certainly has some exaggeration and narrative luck involved, it doesn't seems too plausible at the time moment. What I have in mind is to put the Crusaders in Egypt vis-a-vis a Caliphate that has already collapsed into anarchy (which will happen a little bit later in the future). The Christians still need some time to consolidate Syria, and even a large Crusader army coming from Europe, in these circumstances, won't necessarily be a good thing for an invasion of Egypt, especially considering the logistical concerns such an undertaking would demand.
@jocay - your suggestion about a potential failure by the Crusaders is actually very similar to OTL expeditions undertaken by King Amalric. They became overconfident and entered the Nile Delta in a period of intense flood, and effectivelly became stranded in hostile territory, without supplies. It was a complete disaster. I hope our alt-Crusaders have a lot more common sense...
@Colonel flagg - in a nutshell: they are far better than IOTL. The Seljuks and the Danishmends have been mostly eliminated as significant political and military threats; the Empire has, on paper, reannexed the central provinces of Anatolia and Trebizond, reaffirmed the hold over Cilicia - whose independence will be butterflied awau ITTL - and is pronging into Armenia. But, in reality, things are more complicated: it is struggling to restore the demographic and economic potential of these regions, and John II Komnenos, like Alexios before him, is very cautious about overstretching the dominion, especially considering that they still regard Edessa as a convenient buffer to deter attacks from the Seljuks in Jazira.
Also, John Komnenos will live a bit longer than IOTL, because, so far, the circumstances of his life have diverged a little bit; I believe to be plausible that he could easily avoid his historical death, which involved a hunting accident, in which he (1) cut himself with a poisonous arrow and (2) ignored the festering wound.
@UnaiB - interesting idea, I'll have it in mind. Although, to be honest, I'm not too inclined about having divergences happen everywhere else in Europe, because it is hard to keep track on all of them. I've been making exceptions for some cases (notably Aquitaine), when I see instances in which an historical death could be reasonably avoided (for example, Duke William X died when he went to Spain and cought a disease there; I believe this one episode could be butterflied away under other circumstances). As a whole, however, unless a divergence is mentioned in the TL, things will happen exactly or similarly to OTL.
@Marse Lee - no problem, friend, good to see you here. I intend to go the TL as far as I can, with the alternate 20th Century likely being the final destination.
The colonization of the Americas, indeed, is something we've discussed often in the thread. I'm of the opinion that if the Europeans have an easier access to the southern and far eastern Asian markets, by the way of the Red Sea, the transatlantic voyages, at least in the way we see them, will either not happen or simply be delayed in comparison to OTL.
However, I do intend to explore possibilities involving other venues of exploration. In this forum, we frequently discuss the case of the Basque or Breton fishermen in the Grand Banks, which is an interesting one, or English or Nordic explorers. Anyways, those are flexible ideas, you feel open to forward your suggestions too!
@galileo-034 and @Archangel - indeed! The County of Portucale was, for lack of better expression, a pain in the ass to the Spanish kingdoms (notably Leon). But, in the other hand, its independence, as it occurred IOTL, could be avoided if we changed the circumstances (especially, the capture of Lisbon by the forces of the Second Crusade). Indeed they might be giving the Leonese/Castillians a fairly bad time in their eternal wars against the Andalusian polities (especially the Almohads, who were very formidable), but I'll need to meditate a bit about the details.
@TyranicusMaximus and @UnaiB - we sure could think, too, about the likehood of an independent Occitania/Aquitaine being interested in the region of Catalonia, even if it enters a personal union with the House of Aragon. Its reasonable to pressupose that a de facto autonomous Occitania would be ever interested in the geopolitical occurrences of the Iberian peninsula, being more focused in the Mediterranean than France would ever be.