An Assassination on the (way to the) Opéra

During the Christmas of 1800 Napoléon and Josèphine (and several others) were driving to the Opéra when a group of conspirators (using a machine infernal) attempted to assassinate him. The plot naturally failed, and both Freud and Garnier have analyzed Napoleon's dream as part of psychology. Napoléon was badly shaken, but unscathed and continued to the Opéra, where he received a standing ovation from the audience.

Now, what if the plot (known as the plot of the rue de Saint-Nicaise) had succeeded, the bomb kills Le Petit Corporal, and some others of the ministers who were travelling in the cavalcade. I assume France would fall into chaos, but would it be enough to see a Restauration fifteen-years earlier?
 
Would France fall into chaos? It was the failed assassination that allowed him to clean house of the Republicans left, so I assume some kind of republican government will still be able to form once again (It's not like this is the first government to collapse/be overthrown during revolutionary France). I'm not too familiar with this, but if it was a part of a larger conspiracy plot, then I imagine the ring leaders may already have some sort of plan to implement once Napoleon is successfully killed, rather than "Okay, we killed him...Now what?"
 
I don't think the French government themselves was entirely sure. Various people had various ideas as to who was involved - everyone from the Jacobins to the Royalists and everything in between was suspected as being party to it. Napoléon himself liked to believe it was the Jacobins so that he could purge them from the government without doing anything illegal.
 
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