Glad you all enjoyed that and appreciated it. Much of it was sitting in my brain well before I got to this point in the TL, and it was bittersweet to finally getting to the point of writing and then posting it.
Little Ice Age and Roman decline: This is going to be bad news for everybody. The name itself is somewhat misleading if taken too literally, like global warming. While it does speak to an average decline in temperature (bad for an agriculture-based society), there was also an increase in more frequent and more extreme weather events (really bad for an agriculture-based society).
The OTL Ottoman Empire is the obvious parallel for Rhomania here, and the Ottomans got hammered badly by the Little Ice Age. Geoffrey Parker argues that “the lands around the Eastern Mediterranean suffered more from both the Little Ice Age and General Crisis than almost any other part of the northern hemisphere” (
Global Crisis: War, Climate Change, & Catastrophe in the Seventeenth Century, pg. 333). And this is in a global survey, so he has lots of comparisons available when he made that statement.
Now some of that is political and is thus not a factor ITTL. But the environmental and ecological constraints of OTL are, and those are absolutely in play ITTL. Roman Anatolia is not less arid and mountainous then Ottoman Anatolia after all. There’s much more to it than just that and I’ll be going into much more detail once we get to that point, but that is the ‘two-lines’ version.
In reading on the Little Ice Age and also reading some more of Fernand Braudel’s works, it’s been driven into me how environmentally and ecologically the Mediterranean is at a disadvantage vis-à-vis northern Europe and this helped drive the shift in power northward during the Early Modern period. These are not factors that can be butterflied away, and the Little Ice Age is just speeding up something that is already happening. Note how the Romans already need to include both Sicily and Egypt just to have a population comparable to the Triunes or the HRE.
Now the Romans have some advantages over the OTL Ottomans, so they won’t go from juggernaut to sick man to dead. But they still face many of the same issues and disadvantages as well, so some decline is as inevitable as anything is inevitable in history. It’ll just be more like from juggernaut to middling great power (think France in 1913, with the difference that while there is a Germany equivalent, it’s not on their border).
Rhomania in the East: Given the distances and population sizes, I don’t consider full-fledged Hellenization to be possible. Some sort of hybridization though, say ‘quoting Homer but in Malay’, is possible. In the Doylist sense, the Despotates were created for these eastern territories as a model for possible future relationships, with them set up with Sicily and Egypt early enough to give them a few centuries of precedence by the time it’s an issue.
The geopolitical and cultural differences are big enough that I consider centralization to be a doomed effort. And if the eastern lands have comparable populations or bigger than the western lands, it is in the interest of the west to NOT treat them as equals, and then we have a Pakistan and Bangladesh-when-it-was-East-Pakistan situation. The Despotate of Sicily model is crucial here. There are ties that bind the two parties together, but they must be such that they chafe neither party.
Given Rhomania though, I’m thinking it might end up having a byzantine structure. Picture the Mediterranean lands as a union of federal states of Rhomania, Syria, Egypt, and Sicily, while RITE is divided into a series of Despotates in alliance with the Federal Empire and all parties presenting a united front in foreign relations with the G3, although in diplomacy with smaller fry the Despotates do their own thing.
Giving OTL poly-sci majors a headache is a feature, not a bug.
That actually makes me curious. It feels like the Gospel of Thomas might be an attractive thing in Japan. What's the status of the Gnostic texts? With Christianity still strong through the Levant and Egypt would this lead to an earlier rediscovery of them and/or a greater suppression?
The Nag Hammadi discovery seems to have been largely done to chance (assuming I remember correctly; it’s been a while since I’ve read on it) so TTL changes I don’t think make a difference. If it appeared at this point though ITTL it’d face greater suppression. The Gnostics are really heretical by Orthodox standards.
Reading the last update again I love when this story changes tone and offers up some narrative updates. It really highlights the richness of the world that we get to see the world through eyes as opposed to the usual perspective.
@Basileus444, you easily weave a narrative portion with the usual "voice" of the timeline and do it seamlessly. That's real skill and I hope you keep it up.
Thanks. The narrative updates are more work, but they’re also more rewarding, and I do enjoy making them when I have the ideas to back them up.
The next portion of
Not the End: The Empire Under the Laskarids has been posted on Patreon for Megas Kyr patrons. It is the beginning of Chapter 6: The Struggle Against Charles of Anjou. After the recapture of Constantinople, Theodoros II and his brother Nikephoros launch a major and highly successful offensive against the remaining Latin holdings in mainland Hellas.
Thanks again for your support.