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Ok as I'm doing R&D for some TLs some times the information I find causes me to think of new TLs or ideas for TLs. This is one of those times.
In 1889 there was a risk of a colony war breaking out between the United States and Germany over the Samoa Island Group. They both had warships in Apia Harbor and tense was running high in 1889 in the Samoan Crisis. However the 1889 Apia Cyclone wrecked both fleets leading to the Tripartite Convention of 1899 that ended it with Samoa being divided by the Germans and Americans with the British picking up the Solomon Island Group save for Bougainville.
However what if before the 1889 Cyclone hit the two sides start firing at each other. Or they get out of the harbor before the storm hits and one it passes the stand off returns leading to shots being fired later. Who wins and where is this war fought?