Suppose that the French openly declared war on Britain before Saratoga and... Saratoga was a smashing British victory. In three years, a lot of people are pushed away from the Patriot camp and Britain is gunning for payback on the French. There is some peace signed (I don't really care about the details).
Let's say the French financial situation by an amazing coincidence is similar to OTL (they didn't spend as much $ funding the rebels who bowed out early, but they had to replace more losses in a losing war). It's only thanks to Maria Antoinette being Queen that France had to face only Britain and not more foes.
So the money runs out and Louis XVI calls the estates-general so he doesn't default. Do we get a French Revolution or would the city commoners think "well, I guess commoners can't beat a divinely ordained monarch" (The declaration of Rights of Man was clearly a shout out to the DoI so there was intellectual transmission across the Atlantic). Or maybe the thought is "wow, our king is a total loser and he wants to raise taxes. Let's revolt just like OTL"?
Let's say the French financial situation by an amazing coincidence is similar to OTL (they didn't spend as much $ funding the rebels who bowed out early, but they had to replace more losses in a losing war). It's only thanks to Maria Antoinette being Queen that France had to face only Britain and not more foes.
So the money runs out and Louis XVI calls the estates-general so he doesn't default. Do we get a French Revolution or would the city commoners think "well, I guess commoners can't beat a divinely ordained monarch" (The declaration of Rights of Man was clearly a shout out to the DoI so there was intellectual transmission across the Atlantic). Or maybe the thought is "wow, our king is a total loser and he wants to raise taxes. Let's revolt just like OTL"?