1793 - Fall
Versailles, Edinburgh, Glasgow, the Isle of Man (or Mann)
The Comte de Vergennes would finally get the damned King to act. Throughout the past few years, the assorted factions of Britain (some nominally allied with France) had splintered into over half a dozen polities. Truly, this was the best conceivable outcome for France. Many had questioned the wisdom of withdrawing French forces from Britain. However, the loathsome King of England had managed to turn his own people against him and England splintered.
Now, it was Vergennes' intent to keep this situation from changing for the better (from the English point of view). Thus Vergennes would manage to convince the King to "aid the peace effort" by dispatching the French Navy to the ports of the warring states. The threat was the same. Should the assorted new polities fail to make an immediate armistice, France would soon get involved.
In truth, this was a bluff. King Louis XVI had not in any way agreed to dispatching more men to Britain beyond the 2000 already in Cornwall and Devon. This French threat was an elaborate hoax. Yet London, Southampton, Yarmouth, Liverpool, Newcastle and other coastal cities would see French warships stationed offshore. They did not immediately act to block commerce. Indeed, their orders were vague at best.
But the threat seemed adequate.
It helped that the four petty states formed out of England seemed largely equal. William IV, whom had been France's puppet for over two decades, would gripe that his "sponsors" would not take his part.
Eventually, the factions were forced to the bargaining table by the French. The negotiations would take all winter and active warfare did not stop. However, the large-scale battles were already degrading by necessity and lack of resources to pillaging and raids rather than active warfare with the intent to seek victory.
To ensure that all parties engaged in the "negotiations", the French "offered" to host the peace negotiations on the Isle of Man. To add to the French position of relative power, Vergennes would demand that Scotland's new government (whoever ran it these days, something few knew including the Scots), Wales and Cornwall-Devon.
It became immediately obvious that the King of Northumbria (also called Northumberland) would be the most pliable towards the peace as "King" George had not inclination to conquer any further land. He just wanted to rule the English northlands. The other three remnants of England - the ERA-controlled west, the Parliamentary east and the Royalist south - would each claim to be the real England.
Only once the Conference began would it be learned that both the ERA and the Parliamentary forces had each summoned their own German Kings to Britain, cousins in fact of each other and the King of Northumbria . When Vergennes heard of this weeks later in Paris, he nearly doubled over laughing. The King of France's representative was, oddly, a priest. The young Father Charles-Maurice, the Bishop of Autun, was a scion of the prestigious but impoverished Tallyrand family. He was pushed into the priesthood by his family in hopes that the wealth of the Bishopric would return his family to prosperity.
Tallyrand would soon become a favorite of the new King whom trusted his advise. Better yet, Tallyrand made himself useful to Vergennes, the Minister of State. Rumor had it that Tallyrand wanted out of the priesthood sooner rather than later but knew he must follow his father's wishes for the moment and make himself indispensable to the Crown and the nation.
On the Isle of Man, which had been taken by France in the previous war, Father Tallyrand would do his best to encourage peace...but in a manner that would prevent any faction or region of gaining ascendancy over the others.
Here the young priest-diplomat would encounter another surprise. Scotland had chosen a King as well. After a full year and a half of civil war, the remnants of the Scottish nobility would seek an accommodation with the clans chieftains. Most Scots had long desired the return of the monarchy. By 1793, they would almost be ready to accept anyone provided that they protected them from the landowning elite. The selection could not have been more bizarre.
The Dukedom of Atholl had nearly been extinguished in 1746 after the failed invasion of the Young Pretender as the Duke of Atholl had been one of the House of Stuart's strongest supporters. Both that old Duke and his younger son were attainted and the peerage nearly voided. Eventually, the title was handed to a loyal member of the Murray line, the 2nd Duke's son. However, the grandson of the 2nd Duke would and son-in-law of the third Duke would inherit the old title in 1774 via marriage (the 3rd Duke would have no male heirs and the title passed through his daughter).
John Murray, 4th Duke of Atholl, would never forget his own father's disgrace or the fact that George Murray died in exile. When the chance for Scotland to break free of the damnable House of Hanover came, the Duke acted in concert with the other great land-barons of Scotland to form an oligarchy. However, they had failed to recognize how unpopular the regime had gotten. Several high-ranking Dukes, Marquises and Earls had been butchered by the mobs and only the control over the modest regular forces had prevented the cities from falling. Unlike some of his contemporaries, Atholl would recognize that Scotland would not tolerate this state of affairs any longer. He was willing to cooperate with the assorted factions of the country, something his rivals in the Scottish government had failed to do.
Making a large number of promises, the Duke of Atholl would gather his allies in Edinburgh and throw open the city gates, allowing the Highlander and Lowlander rebellions in. He gave a speech before the assorted rabble which guaranteed a new Scottish Parliament with a commoner voice and, to his own surprise, didn't even need his strategically-placed supporters in the crowd to press it to grant him a spontaneous acclimation as the new King.
By summer of 1793, only Glasgow would not be under control of the King John Murray and his new "allies". Reformers like the Duke of Lennox would also begrudgingly support Atholl in the name of peace. This odd collection of Scots would march on the city of Glasgow in July. Here, the Duke of Argyll and his allies would make a stand.
However, the mob of 50,000 men women and children would arrive at the gates to find that John Campbell, 5th Duke of Argyll, had been taken ill. A long-time British soldier, the Duke was now seventy and was rapidly losing his memory. His sons were somewhat unimpressive and could not be expected to take their esteemed father's place on the battlefield.
For his own part, Atholl would have Ralph Abercromby, a skilled soldier, commanding his army. In short order, the ragtag mob would manage to break into Glasgow's walls. By this point, most of the Glasgow residents were tired of the occupation and welcomed the invaders.
The Duke of Argyll, his sons and greatest supporters were placed in prison until someone decided what to do with them. Not desiring to create martyrs, the new King would opt to simply exile the House of Argyll by forcing them on a ship to America. In accordance to his promises, the new King actually did proclaim a new Parliament based upon popular sovereignty.
Whether or not he would ever take this Parliament's advice was another matter. Either way, the new King of Scotland (a native one unlike the Germans the rest of the island apparently were embracing) would dispatch his own envoys to the Isle of Man. It was obvious that the French King intended to keep Britain permanently split.
As it so happened, this was more than acceptable to King John I of Scotland (there had been another King John briefly in the 13th century but he had been forced to abdicate. No one considered him a real King, thus John Murray opted for John I of Scotland) whom did not seek any English territorial gains, merely protection from southern encroachment.
By astonishing coincidence, the Isle of Man had been held in feudal suzerainty under the King of England by...the Dukes of Atholl prior to the conquest by France.