Alternative rightwing regime in 1930s Germany?

Well, the most likely right wing regime throughout the 1930s is the loose coalition of conservatives and nationalists that operated under the Hindenburg Presidency. If the Junkers had some collective sense and stopped trying to 'harness' the jingoism of the Nazis for their political ends, then that's probably what we would've ended up with.

However, this type of regime (which would still be beholden to democracy) would likely not last the entirety of the 1930s, and would eventually be replaced by the (relatively) centre-left Social Democrats, or more extreme alternatives such as the Communists or the DNVP.
 
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I think a center-right government was actually the most likely possibility

(just sometimes that most likely is not what happens)
 
Anyway the Monarchy comes back, possibly easier if Willie the stupid dies and his son takes charge
If a traditionalist authoritarian monarchy did come back to Germany, that opens up some possibilities that have never been explored.

Alongside the regime of Engelbert Dollfuß in Austria and all the regimes of Eastern Europe, it would have created a solid bloc of  “traditionalist authoritarian” regimes in Eastern Europe opposed to the Communist regime of Stalin and to the democracies of the northeastern maritime states. (If one saw a similar regime take over in Paris, it would have strengthened this “traditionalist authoritarian” bloc even more). Such a bloc might have been able to prevent World War II, or at least restrict it to a war between Japan and Communist insurgents in mainland East and Southeast Asia. Such an alliance might have been less divided and much more effective at fighting a war against the Allies if the UK and USA did risk a war with Japan, which is far from certain given fears of Communism were overwhelming within their ruling classes.
 
Does it have to be a full-blown return to Monarchy?

I wondered whether, if Hindenburg dies c1930, Rupprecht of Bavaria might run. If he won, there might then be a referendum extending his term until such time as two-thirds majorities in both houses ordered a new election. IOW he probably serves for life, unless physical or mental infirmity compels his retirement. However, he is only President, not Emperor, so his position is not hereditary, which leaves the door open for the election of a Hohenzollern as his successor, a bit like Franco and Juan Carlos. Given that neither the Kaiser nor the Crown Prince was well thought of, the Prussians might swallow this in hope of a restoration after they (and Rupprecht) have passed on.

Of course they might be disappointed. Frex, if the Anschluss of Austria still takes place at some point, then Otto Habsburg might also be a candidate. Could make for an interesting election c1955.
 
What about Kurt von Schleicher?

He tried to set up a cross-party government, split the Nazi Party, and rule by decree. That he had managed to offend almost everyone else in power sort of turned against him.

Now if he had been a little more careful . . .
 
I see a wide possibility of various kinds of autocratic, fascist, or flawed semi-democratic systems. Here are some ideas, not all of them are likely, but all of them could gain power with some changes in the 20ies and 30ies:

- A standard military dictatorship established trough a successful coup by the Reichswehr, which is more militaristic in nature.
- A dictatorship established through to a conspiracy and coup between reactionary politicians and parts of the Reichswehr, which enacts multiple reactionary policies (similar to the failed coup in 1920)
- A corporatist fascist regime establishing some kind of "Ständestaat" similar to Austrofacism
- A fascists regime established after some civil war which is to exhausted to start aggressive foreign policies. Similar to Spain in some aspects.
- A fascist regime more similar to Italy in some aspects. (requieres a different development of fascism and national socialism in Germany)
- A reactionary de jure democratic but de facto authoritarian regime lead by Franz von Papen which manages to centralize and weakens the member states. Chancellor von Papen advocated to establish a "Neuer Staat" (new state); which would have been an authoritarian presidential regime (with the end goal to restore the monarchy).
- A reactionary regency (like in Hungary) with a world war 1 general as regent, while the restoration of the monarchy fails.
- A restored semi-constitutional monarchy with a strong military and a flawed democracy.
- A restored autocratic and more militarist monarchy
- A dictatorship lead by the president, who continues to appoint right wing governments and chancellors. The parliament continues to exist but is entirely powerless.
- A regime lead by the left wing of the NSDAP which has largely different economic policies.
- A fascist-authoritarian regime heavily influenced by the ideas of the "Conservative revolutionary movement" (a group of intellectuals and writers which advocated for a more authoritarian proto fascist but also largely modernized society, some of them had really weird ideas). (They probably need to gain influential posts in government first before enacting their ideas, people like Hindenburg or von Papen could help them)
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A mixture between those elements is also possible. Some of these ideas work good which each other, for example von Papen could establish a corporatist facist regime if he gains more power and has various intellectuals of the COnservative Revolutionary Movement around him.
All of these regimes would be probably horrible. Some of them would avoid starting a new war. Other would start some aggression in trying to regain the pre-Versailles borders, which still has the risk of creating World War II. More extreme regimes could also start wars similar to OTL Nazi Germany. All of these regimes would try to enlarge their army.
 
What would be the foreign policy goals/expansionist aims of the most likely alternate right-wing regimes? Austria? Sudetenland? Danzig? A restoration of Germany's 1914 eastern border? What about relations with both the West and the Soviet Union?
 
Hard to see them gaining power by fair elections. Even together with the Catholic Center and some smaller parties.

Their share (DNVP, DVP, C, BVP etc.) was: 35% in 1919; 48% in 1920; 47% in 1924; 50% in 1924, part 2; 43% in 1928; 30% in 1930. Even at their best, too close to comfort.
 
Hard to see them gaining power by fair elections. Even together with the Catholic Center and some smaller parties.

Their share (DNVP, DVP, C, BVP etc.) was: 35% in 1919; 48% in 1920; 47% in 1924; 50% in 1924, part 2; 43% in 1928; 30% in 1930. Even at their best, too close to comfort.

You don't need the parliamentary majority (in Weimar), as long as you control or ally with the president. But it is still difficult to govern without parliamentary support. Such a situation could lead in the long term to weaken the role of parliament further while groups next to the president could gain more and more power.
 
What about Kurt von Schleicher?

He tried to set up a cross-party government, split the Nazi Party, and rule by decree. That he had managed to offend almost everyone else in power sort of turned against him.

Now if he had been a little more careful . . .

Yeah, this. Schleicher came pretty close to succeeding, too. He began a jobs program just before Hindenburg replaced him with Hitler; if he'd managed to hold off for a few more months while the Reichstag wasn't in session and gone to new elections, which the Nazis would lose votes in, he would've survived. It's probably the most plausible no-Holocaust TL with a late POD, even more so than France fighting a little better and avoiding being conquered by Germany; I used in a TL once in which I tried figuring what Jewish history would look like if there were no Holocaust.
 
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