Callan: UK elections (Presidential)
So, I ended up writing a proper of the British PMs for my TLIAW Presidential, and I kind of got carried away:
The PoD here is Major calling a snap election in Autumn 1991. He comes away with a majority, smaller than OTL, which erodes even faster and his government implodes over Maastricht. John Smith gets to work quickly at bringing about Social Democracy in Britain, passing Devolution in Scotland, Wales, London, Yorkshire and the North East. Plans to privatise the railways are shelved, and Smith takes his second landslide in '99 as a mandate to push forward into a referendum over the Single Currency- which tears the Tories to shreds. Smith steers clear of McCain's adventurism in the Kosovo, and when it blows up in his face his caution is lauded as foresight. Smith was close to Mickey Leland, and when Smith died of a heart attack in 2002, it was little surprise when the President was asked to do a eulogy at the state funeral.
Beckett, as Deputy PM and Deputy Leader, automatically became the new Prime Minister but the fight over the succession was bloody and undignified- while Jack Straw came away the winner, exiling Blair to NATO and Brown the backbenches, he was mortally wounded, and Britain joining the Euro in 2003 was seen as his only success. The Tories went through several leaders since Major- Dorrell barely papered over the cracks, and Lilley was an out-and-out Europhobe, who was dumped in the face of tanking ratings not long before Smith died. Rifkind, having won back Edinburgh Pentlands in 1999, brought the Tories back into relevance but he resigned in 2005, believing that the confidence-and-supply deal between Straw and Hughes would last a full five years.
When the Lib Dems turned on Labour over an authoritarian anti-Terror bill, Woodward was able to sweep in on an effective majority of one. Seen as insignificant, his management of the British recovery efforts in South Asia in the aftermath of the catastrophic Thirty-Day War earned him respect at home and abroad. When his tiny majority was eroded in by-elections, Labour attempted to force a no-confidence vote, which only backfired when Woodward called their bluff and and Denham lost his seat as a result. He was seen as an ineffective economic steward, and many Tory backbenchers never trusted him due to his liberal stances on social issues (gay marriage, for instance, was made law with Labour votes in 2007). The economic crash and the failure of American bailouts doomed his re-election prospects. One unqualified success supported by all wings of the party was the formal pact with the Ulster Unionists, which netted the Tories three Northern Irisih seats in 2012 and meant that they could once again claim to be a party of all of Britain's Nations.
Flint was never a terribly effective Leader of the Opposition, and her disappointingly slender majority reflected that. She pushed through many infrastructure and economic recovery programmes, forced to credit the fiscal conservatism of her predecessor for leaving a more stable fiscal situation than many of Britain's neighbours. Flint was perceived as gaffe-prone; a prominent example was her defence of President Weiner just days before he declined to run for a second term. And then her whips failed to count properly during a crucial and controversial vote on cutting welfare, and wrongly chose to count on Adonis' Lib Dems to see them through. Crabb, a moderniser with a socially conservative tinge, was initially popular, contradicting much imagery about the Tory party. But now he is increasingly hemmed in from many sides: the right is demanding welfare reform, the left wants him to support Nick Clegg's bid to become EU Commission President, First Minister Cunningham is agitating for a Scottish Independence Referendum, and there are rumours in the press of a Weiner-esque sexting scandal that goes right to top of the Crabb Ministry...
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