I think I'm allowed to post this here, since 2008 was almost
10 years ago.
As most of you know, these last few months I've been working as an intern as part of getting my Ed degree. I've recently been informed that I have passed, so all these months of hard work have been worth it. Now obviously that work has meant I didn't have time to work on this TL, which recently celebrated its
1 Year Anniversary, but now that I do have the time, I can begin work on it once more. So, apologies for the wait, I'm incredibly rusty at writing. I can't wait for you all to see what I have planned.
So, without further ado, please enjoy the
United States presidential election, 2008. Thanks for waiting, and thanks so much for all the support!
Special shout-out to
@True Grit and
@lord caedus for all the help and feedback.
By their nature, national conventions are safe spaces for the party faithful, be they Republican or Democrat. Over the course of a few days, high profile politicians, former politicians, forgotten politicians, party insiders, and volunteers gather under a single roof to drink, socialize, and hopefully nominate a ticket that will usher their party to victory. Everyone leaves having had a good time, and in most cases their candidate receives a bit of a boost in the polls after they portray themselves as even remotely human. Such was the case with then Republicans. Understandably Fred Thompson had somewhat of a hill to climb, by virtue of the scandal surrounding his health. Having dispatched Congressman Ron Paul and his dissident followers, the President was set to orchestrate what his campaign inner circle bluntly hoped would be his redemption, rising from the proverbial grave ala Lazarus. After all, the GOP had only just reclaimed the White House after twelves years in the political wilderness. None, except the most ambitious few within the GOP, wished to see the party lose it after only a single term.
Momentarily delayed in order to show respect to the devastation caused by Hurricane Gustav, the Republican National Convention opened with comments from the last Republican in the White House still able to make such presentations, former Vice President Dan Quayle. With former President Bush in his mid-eighties, it was left to Quayle to champion the successes of Republican administrations past. Comparing President Thompson to both Reagan and Bush, the former Vice President conceded that the country was better led by a man who, although flawed, had been willing to concede his mistakes and improve upon himself, as opposed to a man championing policies of weakness and surrender. After more than a decade in exile from public life, some political commentators speculated that Quayle’s speech had been part of a campaign to position himself to reclaim his old seat in the Senate come 2010. After Quayle came the assorted congregation of Senators, Representatives, Governors, party insiders and defeated candidates that those who followed these sorts of things expected. Michigan Governor Mitt Romney, a former critic of the President now safely re-elected, praised Thompson’s handling of the economy. Texas Governor Kay Bailey Hutchison praised his down-to-earth spirit, common-sense conservatism, and the fact that as a loving husband, Thompson knew the importance of making a commitment. Through his keynote address, Senate Minority Whip Rick Santorum presented Thompson as the man best suited to champion family values, and criticized the Democrats and John Edwards for wanting to duck and run in the face of advancing terrorism across the world. With the President trailing his Democratic opponent by seven percentage points, Republican strategists saw energizing the base as the party’s best hope for regaining momentum. But achieving such a goal ultimately rested with Fred Thompson. After all, his name was at the top of the ticket. Only briefly alluding to his health scandal, joking that his doctor had given him the all clear to attend that evening, Thompson praised his Vice President and cabinet for their work in implementing his agenda. From bolstering the war in the Middle East to cutting taxes for Americans, the Republican nominee charged that America was making its comeback from the Clinton-Gore years, but that such progress would be reversed under John Edwards. A decidedly negative and warning speech, some pundits viewed it as a stark departure from Thompson’s more uplifting address four years earlier.
Contrasting the doom and gloom of the Republican Convention, the Democrats had designed a multiday extravaganza meant to dazzle and dispel the attacks aimed towards John Edwards’ campaign for the Presidency. But luckily the Senator from North Carolina was no longer alone on the ticket. In selecting Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano, Edwards hoped to heal the divide that had grown between his supporters and those who had backed former Vice President Jeanne Shaheen, as well as among women voters disappointed and left disillusioned by the latter’s defeat. A tough-as-nails brawler, Napolitano had garnered a memorable reputation during her time as a US Attorney, most notably in defending Anita Hill in the latter’s accusations of sexual harassment against Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas. A cancer-survivor herself, a Democrat governing in a traditional red-state, and a moderate when dealing with illegal immigration, the executive experience heavy Napolitano carried with her a degree of risk. Lacking foreign policy experience and unmarried, some Republicans questioned her suitability for the office in a time when America was at war. But Edwards liked her, and the ticket was set. The convention itself attracted a number of figures familiar to most Americans; former Presidents Bill Clinton and Al Gore, New York Senator Hillary Clinton, former Vice President Jeanne Shaheen, actors George Clooney and Matt Damon, and philanthropists like Bill Gates. Effectively a whose who of entertainment, at times the convention appeared to be more akin to the Oscars than a national political gathering. Still, speeches were made from the expected speakers. Bill Clinton gave his usual barn-burner, rousing Americans to reach for something better. Al Gore joked that he was surprised that after hearing the party had nominated a good looking, charming southerner, it wasn’t him. Former Vice President Shaheen pledged to do all in her power to help elect John Edwards as the next President of the United States, receiving a standing ovation from everyone in the convention, as well as a surprise appearance from Edwards himself, who embraced his former primary opponent in a show of unity. In his own speech, Edwards proclaimed that a new dawn was on the horizon, one of truth, equality, prosperity, and peace. The Democratic nominee for the presidency accused the Thompson Administration of perpetrating a climate of mistrust and abandoning the most vulnerable, the poor, the homeless, and the middle class. A touching and moving speech, it appeared to set up what seemed to be an ever growing, inevitable conclusion.
Thus the battle was set; warmongering liar versus self-absorbed socialite.
For most of the general election campaign a significant chunk of the Democrats war chest was spent criticizing the unpopular wars in the Middle East, which had grown ever the costlier in lives and in economic impact back home. Although President Thompson’s pledged to take a harsher approach to al-Qaeda and the Taliban had garnered him support in 2004, four years on many voters had become tired of the conflict. Seven years on from the terrorist attacks, most Americans had begun to move on. Besides, for all his tough talk, the President had yet to capture or kill Osama bin Laden. Senator Edwards pledged to slowly withdrawing all troops from Iraq by the end of his first term as President. Likening the conflict to America’s involvement in Vietnam, Edwards criticized what he called the Thompson doctrine as a war strategy without a proper timetable. There was also the matter of Thompson’s health. Although he had largely moved past the worst of it, the Democrats were quick to remind voters of the President’s decision to lie about his health, typically as a means to energize their base.
The other major issue of the campaign, unsurprisingly, centered around the economy. Oil prices had begun to rise since early 2007, and economists had been warning that some of the Republicans policies had threatened the once strong housing market. By 2008 it appeared as though the situation in the housing market had caused banks to make questionable investments. Most of these risks took the form of credit-default swaps and other unregulated derivatives. Throw in the fact that more and more homeowners had begun to default on their mortgages, the American financial system began to feel the symptoms of banker’s dirty tricks. As expected, the growing uncertainty around the economy did little to benefit the sitting occupant of the Oval Office, who seemed generally disinterested in getting the government involved with the economy. He was, after all, the second coming of Ronald Reagan, and anything that smelled of regulation involving the economy would be considered treasonous by many Republicans, as well as the party’s base. That’s not to say it did the Democrats any favours. John Edwards had prided himself in his promises to end poverty in thirty years, specifically through the creation of housing vouchers, strengthening labour unions, and raising the minimum wage to $8.40. His other promise, to make college essentially free for everyone, seemed equally unreasonable once the economic forecast turned sour. Republicans charged that the Democratic nominee’s promises would plunge the country into recession, forcing the Edwards’ campaign to back away from the policies.
As expected from a presidential election, the only real moment when the candidates would drop the more over-the-top attacks and actually attempt to deal with policy came with their only face-to-face meetings; the three presidential debates. Held at the University of Mississippi on September 25, the first debate focused on foreign policy and national security. President Thompson promoted his experience, charging that Edwards, by virtue of what Thompson labelled as a policy of surrender, was ill-equipped to make the tough decisions needed of a commander-in-chief. Edwards pushed back, highlighting his time on the Select Committee on Intelligence, while at the same time criticizing the President for surrounding himself with foreign-policy hawks, such as Defence Secretary John McCain. Although Thompson’s arguable greatest strength, despite the unpopularity of the war, a CNN poll conducted immediately after only gave the President the narrowest of victories, thirty-eight to thirty-five who felt that Edwards had prevailed. Americans conceded that the President was superior when it came to foreign policy and world affairs, but the main issue of the campaign had slowly become the economy, which was the focus of the second debate.
Unfortunately, only days before the debate, disaster would strike the U.S. economy. On October 4, 2008, the investment bank Lehman Brothers collapsed, sending shockwaves throughout the global financial system. With countless other banks expected to follow Lehman Brothers into bankruptcy, the Thompson administration was forced to sign off on an $80 billion bailout. In what could only be described as the perfect storm for economic ruination, housing and real-estate prices plummeted, and the US stock market exchange nose-dived more than seven hundred points, the worst showing since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Analysists and doomsayers began predicting that evictions, foreclosures, increased unemployment, the collapse of countless businesses, not to mention a decline in America’s credit rating, would be quick to follow. The chaos even caused President Thompson to cancel all immediate campaign events and return to Washington to mediate negotiations between Republicans and Democrats, and work towards developing a strategy to deal with the immediate fallout of the crisis. Although reportedly against the notion of a bailout, telling his advisors that it was a flawed “spending your way to prosperity” philosophy, the lack of any alternative left the President with little choice. Unfortunately, matters would only get worse for President Thompson. It was soon discovered that during his primary against Congressman Ron Paul, who had charged that America had already entered into a recession by late 2007, Thompson had offhandedly told reporters that he saw no reason to believe that the country was headed towards an economic downturn. The quote would haunt the President for the remainder of the campaign as it became a centre-piece of most Democratic television and online attack ads.
Despite Republican ads arguing that changing Presidents in such chaotic times could potentially worsen the crisis, it appeared that voters had begun to make up their minds. John Edwards had waged a campaign of appealing to Americans hopes and dreams. The campaign slogans of “Tomorrow starts Today”, while cliché, and Edwards’ blue collar façade played well with the average American voter, who increasingly saw the sitting President as out of touch and at fault for the current economic crisis. On Election Night it quickly became apparent that John Edwards would be elected the 45th President of the United States, relegating Fred Thompson to being the second-continuous President to lose his bid for re-election. Making matters worse for the Grand Old Party, the Democrats had improved upon their midterm results in both the House and Senate, further cementing their control on both houses on Congress. Even Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, found himself among the loses. Only four years earlier the Democrats found themselves outside the White House and in the opposition. Now they controlled everything. Their opponents were left shocked and divided, in search of new leadership, with future prospects looking bleak.
For the fifth time since the election of George H.W. Bush of Texas, the United States found itself with a President from the south. Young, charming, and coming off a landslide victory, it seemed that nothing could stop John Edwards as he began to plot the intricacies of his administration.
Unfortunately, the best laid plans often find roadblocks in Washington.
Presidents of the United States of America:
Richard Nixon (R-California) 1969-1974
Gerald Ford (R-Michigan) 1974-1977
Jimmy Carter (D-Georgia) 1977-1981
Ronald Reagan (R-California) 1981-1989
George Herbert Walker Bush (R-Texas) 1989-1993
Bill Clinton (D-Arkansas) 1993-2001
Al Gore (D-Tennessee) 2001-2005
Fred Thompson (R-Tennessee) 2005-2009
John Edwards (D-North Carolina) 2009-
Vice Presidents of the United States of America:
Spiro Agnew (R-Maryland) 1969-1973
Gerald Ford (R-Michigan) 1973-1974
Nelson Rockefeller (R-New York) 1974-1977
Walter Mondale (D-Minnesota) 1977-1981
George Herbert Walker Bush (R-Texas) 1981-1989
Dan Quayle (R-Indiana) 1989-1993
Al Gore (D-Tennessee) 1993-2001
Jeanne Shaheen (D-New Hampshire) 2001-2005
John Kasich (R-Ohio) 2005-2009
Janet Napolitano (D-Arizona) 2009-
House of Representatives
Democratic: 262 (+35)
Republican: 173 (-35)
Speaker before Election
Nancy Pelosi (California-8th)
Speaker after Election
Nancy Pelosi (California-8th)
Senate
Democratic: 58 (+7)
Republican: 40 (-7)
Connecticut for Lieberman: 1 (-0)
Independent: 1 (-0)
Majority Leader before Election
Harry Reid (Nevada)
Majority Leader after Election
Harry Reid (Nevada)
*Changes to OTL include Alaska at Large, California 4th, California 44th, Louisiana 4th, Minnesota 6th, and the US Senate Election in Kentucky
Gubernatorial
Delaware: Lt. Governor John Carney (D) defeats former Superior Court Judge William Swain Lee (R)
Indiana: Governor David McIntosh (R) defeats former U.S. Representative Jill Long Thompson (D)
Missouri: Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) defeats U.S. Representative Kenny Hulshof (R)
Montana: State Representative David Wanzenried (D) defeats Governor Bob Brown (R)
New Hampshire: Governor John Lynch (D) defeats State Representative Jim Coburn (R)
North Carolina: Lt. Governor Beverly Perdue (D) defeats Mayor Pat McCrory (R)
North Dakota: Governor John Hoeven (R) defeats State Senator Tim Mathern (D)
Utah: Ambassador Jon Huntsman, Jr. (R) defeats Businessman Bob Springmeyer (D)
Vermont: Governor Jim Douglas (R) defeats Vermont House of Representatives Speaker Gaye Symington (D) and State Senator Anthony Pollina (I)
Washington: Former Attorney General Christine Gregoire (D) defeats Governor Dino Rossi (R)
West Virginia: Governor Joe Manchin (D) defeats former State Senator Russ Weeks (R)
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