Hey guys, so guess what? It turns out that I'm also capable of making non-silly Wikiboxes! Wait, President Tom Selleck isn't silly, right?
Anyway, it's based on the scenario I outlined in
this thread about actors becoming President.
Tom Selleck is a Republican Hollywood tough guy who is just liberal enough on social issues to be palatable to left-leaning California voters. Actually, he calls himself an "Independent with libertarian leanings" but his record of endorsements and donations put him firmly in the GOP. He essentially occupies the same political niche as Arnold Schwarzenegger, except unlike Arnold, Selleck is actually eligible to be President. Our POD is that in 2003, Selleck throws his hat into the chaotic California gubernatorial recall election. The Republican establishment quickly lines up behind him just like they did Arnold in OTL, since they know that a celebrity is their only hope of winning in liberal California. Arnold doesn't run and Selleck wins by a similar margin. Selleck is very outspoken on gun rights issues, which could alienate some of the moderate voters that Schwarzenegger won, so I moved 3 points from Schwarzenegger's totals to Bustamante, and 1 point from McClintock to Selleck to take that into account.
After his election, Selleck becomes the darling of GOP. He gets a prime time speaking slot at the 2004 RNC and there is even speculation that he may run for President in 2008. Again, all of this happened for Arnold in OTL,
and he's not even eligible to be President.
His first term goes a little better than Schwarzenegger's (I'm guessing he probably has less mistresses and love children to distract him) and he is re-elected in a landslide slightly larger Arnold's. I transferred one point from Angelides to Selleck and also gave him half of the Libertarian candidate's total, since a Libertarian candidate will get less traction against Selleck than against Schwarzenegger.
In 2008, Governor Selleck seeks the Republican nomination for President as expected. Like Romney did in OTL, he moves to the right a bit to prepare for his run, but he's still firmly in the moderate wing of the GOP. He supports civil unions but not marriage for gays (the standard moderate line at the time) and comes out against abortion except in the case of rape, incest, or to save the life of the mother (right-of-center, but not crazy, should be conservative enough to satisfy the religious right). Selleck is successful in the west and some parts of the northeast, but has difficult with social conservatives in the south over his recent "flip-flops" on social issues. He basically draws his support from Romney and McCain, although he also takes some of Ron Paul's supporters, with his heavy emphasis on civil liberties. In the end, he loses out to McCain, but it's a respectable 2nd place finish.
Shortly after Governor Selleck drops out the Presidential race, John McCain taps him to be his running mate. This raises a few eyebrows, since McCain was expected to pick a strong religious right-type to shore up his conservative bona fides. But you know McCain, he gets maverick-y sometimes. The McCain-Selleck ticket performs better in most of the country due to Selleck not being as, um, "unconventional" as Palin. However this impact is not as strong in the south, where McCain and Selleck are both seen as somewhat suspect by social conservatives. McCain still loses. There was no way a Republican was going to win with the economic collapse in 2008. But it is a little less embarrassing than OTL with Republicans holding the line in Indiana and that one Nebraska congressional district.
Going into 2012, former Governor Selleck is the prohibitive favorite for the nomination. The Reagan comparisons are obvious. He's a former actor turned Governor of California who is in his upper-60s but definitely doesn't look it. As if that's not enough, he was runner up last time around and is running against a liberal incumbent. Yeah, the GOP is having a Reagan-gasm right about now. Selleck does face token opposition in the primaries from the likes of Rick Santorum (social conservatives who still haven't gotten over the flip-flops), Ron Paul (no way he wasn't going to run, his support is basically cult-like), and Newt Gingrich (raging egomania), but this opposition is roughly analogous to what the Bushes faced in 1988 and 2000. Santorum wins an upset in Iowa that scares everybody for 10 seconds, but from there it's smooth sailing. It's basically a coronation. He wins 47 states. I didn't even bother to map it.
Governor Selleck selects Florida Senator Marco Rubio as his running mate. The Obama-Selleck debates are really a sight to behold. Obama is the smooth operator with a winning smile. Selleck is the firm but caring father figure who want to reintroduce some good old fashioned sanity into a world gone mad (if you've ever seen
Blue Bloods, that's the tone I'm talking about). All three debates are highly-rated television spectacles. Consensus is that Selleck probably won two out of three, but all were close. Selleck's celebrity turns out voters who might otherwise have stayed home, and he ends up winning by a razor thin margin.
So, plausible?