alternatehistory.com

Sometimes you read some history and think "What are the odds? That could've easily gone the other way." Like how George Washington had multiple horses shot out from under him.

I was wondering about probabilities. The question I'm asking is:

What are the odds of the given scenario?

If you visited one hundred time lines, given a specific PoD, what percentage of them would have the specified outcome?

PoD 1750 or later
United European nation state in the 19th century

PoD 1750 or later
Bavaria dominate united Germany instead of Prussia

PoD 1777 or later
Andrew Jackson dies as a PoW

PoD 1812 or later
United States fractures because of War of 1812

PoD 1861 or later
Confederacy wins Civil War

PoD 1824 or later
Thomas Hart Benton elected president of US

PoD 1AD or later
Rome never Christianizes

PoD 100BC or later
Roman Republic lasts beyond 500AD
Roman Republic lasts beyond 1000AD
Roman conquest of New World
Roman Empire or Republic lasts to 2012

PoD 1250 or later
African colonies in New World (Abu Bakr II style)
African conquest of New World

PoD 1775 or later
US War of Independence successful
George Washington killed in combat

PoD 1775 or later
Newburgh Conspiracy results in military coup
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