I go to 270towin.com and click "historical elections" and chose, from there i selected "interactive map" at the bottom there should be a list of candidates with colors assigned to them. simply change their name to suit your needs and youre golden.
Alternate Electoral Maps
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If current trends hold, this may be the electoral map in the near future. I'd say this is about 2052.
How many times are the democrats and republicans gonna flip demographics smh
If current trends hold, this may be the electoral map in the near future. I'd say this is about 2052.
Also, the democrats would get an almost guaranteed 261 electoral votes each election, assuming the numbers stay the same
So rip republicans
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Better McGovern campaign
President Richard Nixon/Spiro Agnew-Republican: 486 EV 54.67%
George McGovern/Kevin White-Democratic: 52 EV 43.52%
McGovern wins the California primary by more and rebuts Humphrey's attacks, he picks Kevin White, not Eagleton, and has a better convention(the 'best speech of his life' is not at 2am) and he generally runs a more effective campaign. As he is still too far left and Nixon is too popular, plus the broader weaknesses of liberals and Democrats in 1972, he still loses but does more respectably.
President Richard Nixon/Spiro Agnew-Republican: 486 EV 54.67%
George McGovern/Kevin White-Democratic: 52 EV 43.52%
McGovern wins the California primary by more and rebuts Humphrey's attacks, he picks Kevin White, not Eagleton, and has a better convention(the 'best speech of his life' is not at 2am) and he generally runs a more effective campaign. As he is still too far left and Nixon is too popular, plus the broader weaknesses of liberals and Democrats in 1972, he still loses but does more respectably.
I was perusing the 270towin website and I saw they have a 2016 simulator. I let it run and... BLUE TEXAS!?
The problem with their simulator is it assumes states acts independently of each other, not the reality that national trends generally result in overall trends at the state level too. This leads to weird and implausible results.
New York as a battleground state. this may happen at some point in the future if Republicans keep going after the Rust Belt and Democrats keep going after the sun belt, as seen in the 2052 map I posted.
I like this map, but I think it's a little sympathetic to the Democrats. I think this is more balanced, and by 2016 EVs it is 212 D, 211 R, and 113 tossup:
How would the dems even be able to win the sun belt states without either a major shift in policy or a major shift in sun belt demography? Someone should make a TL about this..
Just look at what Happened in Virginia between 1992 and 2008.
Zimmerwald1915
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Both a major shift in policy (neoliberalism's final triumph over the New Deal) and a major shift in demographics (transplanting of northerners to the suburbs around D.C.)?
A strong right-wing third party is probably the only way a Democrat could win by such a huge margin in 2020.
At most, McMullin would probably only win Utah if Trump was to do so bad. Also, I don't think someone who said they'd like Republicans to donate their bodies to science so they could be dissected is someone who would do this good.
Two things cause this county map in the future:
1; Minorities become universally Democratic across the board (which is why some extremely GOP counties in Texas flip - they're currently plurality or majority Hispanic)
2; Republicans become socially moderate-to-liberal, economically center-right, and protectionist on trade.
With the Republicans losing their social conservatism I'm surprised more counties in Oregon and Colorado don't flip red.
This is because I tried to balance out the GOP's gains among moderates and socially liberal/fiscally conservative voters with their losses among minorities. most of those counties in Oregon and Colorado are quite diverse.
Not arguing too much but I'm sure Lane County is 90% white? Though I could be wrong, and in all likelihood there'll be demographic changes between now and then.
In such a situation might the Democrats become more socially conservative, especially if they're trying to attract minority votes?
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