Alternate Electoral Maps

Discussion in 'Alternate History Maps and Graphics' started by Tayya, Jan 19, 2012.

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  1. Hominid The Real Hominid

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    This is a pretty solid prediction. Have you posted it in the 2016 thread?

    Very nice map, but some of the islands still aren't connected.
     
  2. lord caedus Very legal and very cool

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    I have not. You're welcome to post it there if you like, but I'd hesitate to mention that it's what I would think the election results would be if held right now, not what I imagine 2016 would be like.

    Then again, considering I did something similar to this in February 2012 that ended up being right on the money (minus Rubio)...
     
  3. Hominid The Real Hominid

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    I posted it there. Also, I know it's nitpicking, but I would have accounted for Hillary's Illinois advantage and Romney's Michigan advantage as well.
     
  4. lord caedus Very legal and very cool

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    Hillary hasn't lived in Illinois for nearly half a century, and I'd think that she wouldn't have any sort of home-state advantage there at all after her term as Arkansas' first lady & New York's junior senator.

    As for Romney, I think he squandered any Michigan advantage he might have inherited from his father when he (as the Obama campaign was fond to point out three years ago) publicly stated that Detroit should have been allowed to go bankrupt.
     
  5. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    The 1952 Presidential Map based on the "background events" in the Book "Dominion"
    Adlai Stevenson won the 1952 Presidential Election beating the incumbent Republican "non-interventionist" President Robert A. Taft. The books states that the there have been twelve years of "Republican Presidents" including a different President won in 1940 most probably with Taft as Vice-President.


    [​IMG]
    Stevenson & Sparkman 343 ev
    Taft & Buffett 188 ev
     
  6. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    I am going to a little series, with each Presidential Election from onwards with the losing candidate winning each state they lost by 10% and less.
    1900
    [​IMG]
    Bryan & Stevenson 291 ev
    McKinlay & Roosevelt 156 ev
    (States change: 10. Utah, Nebraska, Indiana, Maryland, Kansas, Ohio, Illinois, Delaware, New York, West Virginia).
    1904
    [​IMG]
    Roosevelt & Fairbanks 314 ev
    Parker & Davis 162 ev
    (States Change: 3. Maryland, Missouri, Delaware)
    1908
    [​IMG]
    Taft & Sherman 247 ev
    Bryan & Kern 236 ev
    (States change:7. Missouri, Maryland, Indiana, Montana, Delaware, Ohio, Kansas)
     
  7. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    1912
    [​IMG]
    Wilson & Marshall 290 ev
    Roosevelt & Johnson 176 ev
    Taft & Butler 65 ev
    States change: 15. Idaho, Illinois, Wyoming, Maine, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Iowa, New Mexico, Kansas, Montana, Oregon, New Jersey, Wisconsin
    1916
    [​IMG]
    Hughes & Fairbanks 360 ev
    Wilson & Marshall 171 ev
    States Change: 10. New Hampshire, California, North Dakota, New Mexico, Missouri, Washington, Kentucky, Kansas, Ohio, Maryland
    1920
    [​IMG]
    Harding & Coolidge 382 ev
    Cox & Roosevelt 149 ev
    States Change:2. Tennessee, Oklahoma
    1924
    [​IMG]
    Coolidge & Dawes 305 ev
    Davis & Bryan 189 ev
    La Follette & Wheeler 37 ev
    States Change: 10. North Dakota, Kentucky, Maryland, Montana, West Virginia, Nevada, New Mexico, Arizona, Missouri, Minnesota
    1928
    [​IMG]
    Hoover & Curtis 319 ev
    Smith & Robinson 212 ev
    States Change: 8. New York, Texas, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia, Connecticut, Wisconsin, North Carolina.
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2015
  8. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    1932
    [​IMG]
    Roosevelt & Garner 377 ev
    Hoover & Curtis 154 ev
    States Change: 6. New Jersey, Ohio, Massachusetts, Michigan, Kansas, West Virginia.
    1936
    [​IMG]
    Roosevelt & Garner 490 ev
    Landon & Knox 41 ev
    States Change: 4. New Hampshire, Kansas, Massachusetts, Delaware.
    1940
    [​IMG]
    Wilkie & McNarry 318 ev
    Roosevelt & Garner 213 ev
    States Change: 15. Wisconsin, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Minnesota, Ohio, Missouri, Wyoming, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Oregon, Idaho, Delaware.
    1944
    [​IMG]
    Dewey & Bricker 349 ev
    Roosevelt & Truman 182 ev
    States Change: 19. Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Missouri, Illinois, Idaho, Maryland, New Hampshire, Oregon, New York, Connecticut, Minnesota, Massachusetts, New Mexico, Delaware, Kentucky, Nevada, Montana, West Virginia
     
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2015
  9. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    1948
    [​IMG]
    Dewey & Warren 336 ev
    Truman & Barkley 157 ev
    Thurmond & Wright 38 ev
    States Change: 14. Ohio, California, Illinois, Idaho, Iowa, Nevada, Wyoming, Wisconsin, Colorado, Virginia, Utah, Washington, Montana, Arizona.
    1952
    [​IMG]
    Eisenhower & Nixon 295 ev
    Stevenson & Sparkman 236 ev
    State Change: 10. Tennessee, Missouri, Rhode Island, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Texas, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Washington, Illinois.
    1956
    [​IMG]
    Eisenhower & Nixon 408 ev
    Stevenson & Kefauver 123 ev
    States Change: 5. Tennessee, Minnesota, West Virginia, Washington, Kentucky.
    1960
    [​IMG]
    Nixon & Lodge 476 ev
    Kennedy & Johnson 53 ev
    Unpledged 8
    States Change: 18. Hawaii, Illinois, Missouri, New Mexico, New Jersey, Minnesota, Delaware, Texas, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, North Carolina, New York, West Virginia, Arkansas, Maryland, Connecticut.
    1964
    [​IMG]
    Johnson & Humphrey 440 ev
    Goldwater & Miller 98 ev
    States Change: 6. Idaho, Florida, Nebraska, Virginia, Kansas, Utah.
    1968
    [​IMG]
    Humphrey & Muskie 367 ev
    Nixon & Agnew 94 ev
    Wallace & Le May 77 ev
    States Change: 19. Missouri, New Jersey, Ohio, Alaska, Illinois, California, Delaware, Wisconsin, Tennessee, South Carolina, Oregon, Kentucky, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Montana, Colorado, Vermont, Florida.
     
  10. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    1972
    [​IMG]
    Nixon & Agnew 492 ev
    McGovern & Shriver 46 ev
    States Change: 4. Minnesota, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Wisconsin.
    1976
    [​IMG]
    Ford & Dole 443 ev
    Carter & Mondale 95 ev
    States Change: 13. Ohio, Wisconsin, Mississippi, Hawaii, Pennsylvania, Texas, Missouri, New York, Florida, Delaware, Louisiana, Maryland, Kentucky.
     
  11. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    1980
    [​IMG]
    Carter & Mondale 297 ev
    Reagan & Bush 241 ev
    States Change: 20 Massachusetts, Tennessee, Arkansas, Alabama, Mississippi, Kentucky, South Carolina, North Carolina, Delaware, New York, Maine, Wisconsin, Louisiana, Vermont, Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Connecticut, Oregon.
    1984
    [​IMG]
    Reagan & Bush 418 ev
    Mondale & Ferrero 120 ev
    States Change: 7 Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Iowa, New York, Wisconsin
    1988
    [​IMG]
    Dukakis & Bensten 280 ev
    Bush & Quayle 258 ev
    States Change: 12. Illinois, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Vermont, California, Missouri, New Mexico, Connecticut, Montana, South Dakota, Colorado, Michigan
     
  12. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    1992
    [​IMG]
    Bush & Quayle 346 ev
    Clinton & Gore 188 ev
    Perot & Stockdale 4 ev
    States Change: 19. Georgia, New Hampshire, Ohio, New Jersey, Montana, Nevada, Kentucky, Colorado, Wisconsin, Louisiana, Tennessee, Iowa, Connecticut, Michigan, Delaware, Maine, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Oregon.
    1996
    [​IMG]
    Dole & Kemp 286 ev
    Clinton & Gore 252 ev
    State Changes: 11. Kentucky, Nevada, Arizona, Tennessee, Florida, Missouri, Ohio, New Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire.
     
  13. lord caedus Very legal and very cool

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    So I decided to do another "WI the election were held today using current polling". This time between Hillary & Romney, since he's ahead of Jeb for the GOP nomination in the latest polls I've seen. I only used the Elastic State Model and gave HRC a 2.5% boost in AR, a 5% boost in NY and subtracted 5% from her base in IL & 2.5% in HI.

    The result...was not good for Romney.

    [​IMG]

    Hillary Clinton (Democratic): 396 EV, 56.9% PV
    Mitt Romney (Republican): 142 EV, 41.4% PV
     
  14. Fubart Solman Well-Known Member

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    I'm not sure if this has been done before. I took Roosevelt's 1912 percentages and compared them to La Follette's 1924 percentages. Oklahoma and Louisiana only had one of the two running, so I'm discounting them. Fortunately, both elections had the same EVs.

    [​IMG]
    Roosevelt: 460
    La Follette: 51
    N/A: 20
     
  15. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    2000
    [​IMG]
    Gore & Lieberman 392 ev
    Bush & Cheney 146 ev
    States Change: 12. Florida, New Hampshire, Missouri, Ohio, Nevada, Tennessee, Arkansas, Arizona, West Virginia, Louisiana, Virginia, Colorado.
    2004
    [​IMG]
    Kerry & Edwards 355 ev
    Bush & Cheney 183 ev
    States Change: 9 . Iowa, New Mexico, Ohio, Nevada, Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Virginia, Arkansas
    2008
    [​IMG]
    McCain & Palin 280 ev
    Obama & Biden 258 ev
    State Changes: 8. North Carolina, Indiana, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire
    2012
    [​IMG]
    Romney & Ryan 347 ev
    Obama & Biden 191 ev
    State Changes:11. Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan
     
  16. Turquoise Blue Blossoming Tibby!

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    Since the TL-191 After the End thread is kinda dormant and I don't want to bump it, I'm posting the maps here.

    1980
    [​IMG]
    Morgan Reynolds (R-BC)/John Smith (R-CA): 281 EV
    Theodore A. Abell (S-??)/????? (S-??): 174 EV
    Mildred Morrell-Quigley (D-??)/????? (D-??): 153 EV

    1984 (revised)
    [​IMG]
    Morgan Reynolds (R-BC)/John Smith (R-CA): 482 EV
    Robert Bronowski (S-PA)/Richard Short (S-OR): 84 EV

    Porter Schmitt (D-IL)/Fred Kenelm (D-AB): 41 EV
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2015
  17. Hominid The Real Hominid

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    2004 is interesting. It's the same as OTL 2008 except with Indiana and North Carolina replaced with Missouri (which Obama barely lost) and Arkansas (which he lost by a landslide).

    Meanwhile, TTL 2008 is OTL 2000, but with Iowa and Nevada switched.
     
  18. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    I didn't notice that at the time so thanks.

    Looking at my 1980 map it produces the same electoral result as OTL 1976, and the map itself is not that dissimilar.

    I might do the results from 1864 to 1900 next.:)
     
  19. Marky Bunny Well-Known Member

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    Here are the electoral maps from the elections from 1864 to 1900 What-if each state that was carried by the losing candidate by up to a 10% margin.
    1864
    [​IMG]
    McClellan & Pendleton 131 ev
    Lincoln & Johnson 102 ev
    State Changes: 8. New York, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Indiana, Michigan, Oregon, Illinois.
    1868
    [​IMG]
    Seymour & Blair 173 ev
    Grant & Colfax 121 ev
    State Changes: 8. California, Alabama, Indiana, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arkansas, Ohio
     
  20. Binky the Clown Elizabeth Warren's Number One Fan

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    [​IMG]

    A map based on a pair of articles from Business Insider.

    Democratic Party (Centrist) - 398 EV
    Progressive Party (Left Wing) - 83 EV
    Republican Party (Right Wing) - 57 EV
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2015
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