Yes.
The colors represent how well the candidate would have done compared to a different candidate.
Alternate Electoral Maps II
- Thread starter Aaaaasima
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Yes.
The colors represent how well the candidate would have done compared to a different candidate.
That's too many swing states, I think. unless the country becomes far less polarized by then.
People have a tendency to assume the 1932-1992 period is the norm for American elections, when in fact it's the fluke. Several slow realignments going on, lots of chaos surrounding incumbency, and a huge proportion of landslide elections that muck up the data completely. The norm up to 1932 was for the vast majority of states to be safe, and from 1992 onward it's become the norm again.
Are you saying that in the future, more states will be competitive?
It's more swing states but their numerical ECV total is rather standard for a competitive total of swing states not all together that different from now. I'll flesh it out more but I basicly envisioned California, Flordia and Texas being Solid " dem states " like our California in 2017 while the Mississippi basin and upper south is Florida 2000-Michigan 2016 at its closest to Ohio - flordia style classic swing state statues.
[also I don't see there being a United States of America still exsisting in 2076 of our current polarized racial political grid lock continues.
QUOTE="Keeganc2020, post: 15487040, member: 102875"]It's more swing states but their numerical ECV total is rather standard for a competitive total of swing states not all together that different from now. I'll flesh it out more but I basicly envisioned California, Flordia and Texas being Solid " dem states " like our California in 2017 while the Mississippi basin and upper south is Florida 2000-Michigan 2016 at its closest to Ohio - flordia style classic swing state statues.[/QUOTE]
Al
QUOTE="Keeganc2020, post: 15487040, member: 102875"]It's more swing states but their numerical ECV total is rather standard for a competitive total of swing states not all together that different from now. I'll flesh it out more but I basicly envisioned California, Flordia and Texas being Solid " dem states " like our California in 2017 while the Mississippi basin and upper south is Florida 2000-Michigan 2016 at its closest to Ohio - flordia style classic swing state statues.[/QUOTE]
Al
Politics have become more pragmatic over all and technocratic. But over all the driving conflict in the 2076 election is the strain brought on by climate change. The Republican north wants to cut their loses and abandon the South to its fate which mostly amounts to cities like New Orleans Miami Houston are doomed.
Also the Democratic Party is a South / Western Party that claims to campaign the common working person. It favors a targeted social assistance as opposed to the " wasteful " Basic Income that the Republicans love and wish to end the New Deal and Great Society once and for all, albeit ironically via an even more radical left wing idea. The democrats are quite allergic to immigration and down right xenophobic when it comes to illegal immigration not so much out of racism as the democrats find suppprt almost equality from whites and Nonwhites and the racial distinctions are akin to the continued expansion of whiteness that saw the Irish, Italian, and for the most part European Jews become part of White America over the course of the 20th century. Protecting the national prosperity is what the Democrats call their strick anti immigration policy in terms inspired by Tragedy of the Commoms, the openness and fact that an Illegal Immigrant attempted the DNC in 2016 is as strange to the democrats of 2076 as the KKK attending the 1920 DNC is today.
I'll expand this in more detail when I have time but just to hint the Republicans are Radical Neoliberals the likes of which even most contemporary Europhiles would find idealistic... they want to tear down borders and have a seemless flow of capital, goods, and people.
QUOTE="Keeganc2020, post: 15487073, member: 102875"]Politics have become more pragmatic over all and technocratic. But over all the driving conflict in the 2076 election is the strain brought on by climate change. The Republican north wants to cut their loses and abandon the South to its fate which mostly amounts to cities like New Orleans Miami Houston are doomed.[/QUOTE]
I'll expand this in more detail when I have time but just to hint the Republicans are Radical Neoliberals the likes of which even most contemporary Europhiles would find idealistic... they want to tear down borders and have a seemless flow of capital, goods, and people.
QUOTE="Keeganc2020, post: 15487073, member: 102875"]Politics have become more pragmatic over all and technocratic. But over all the driving conflict in the 2076 election is the strain brought on by climate change. The Republican north wants to cut their loses and abandon the South to its fate which mostly amounts to cities like New Orleans Miami Houston are doomed.[/QUOTE]
So basically, this would be like the New Deal era, except the South would mostly be competitive?
Yes only it's not a solid South , most States are very very close all the time but so particularly and predictably close that they don't reseve much attention Northen / Great Lake States are the most republican and have a reverse flordia effect with wealthy southerners living up north to escape the horrific southern summers and they eventually settle down their. And their isn't really a strick racial aspect. The most important predictor of which party you will vote for is your wealth, and where you live.
1864:
View attachment 339998
Sumner/Conkling: 230/57.1%
Johnson/McLellan: 41/42.9%
PODs:
West Virginia is never split from Virginia
The war is ended relatively soon after Sumner''s inauguration (April 10th, 1864)
Sumner and the Republican congress Institute extremely harsh terms for re-admittance into the Union.
(85% of registered voters must pledge allegiance to the Union, all officers and statesman of the CSA are banned from public office for life, all slaves must be freed immedtiedly, federal mandates are given to freedmen appropriated from former slave owners lands. Basically the OTL radical reconstruction plan)
13, 14, and 15th amendments pass per OTL, but are enforced this time
More please. I love it when the Radical Republicans get their way.
Thomas Johnson
Banned
1896 (and possibly before) to 1988 is the true criterion. Every election (except 1944) in that had lower polarization than every election since.
Thomas Johnson
Banned
Joe Manchin vs. Susan Collins from their positions and assuming every state votes for the closest candidate.
Manchin: 173, 48%
Collins: 365, 50%
KY, WV, VT, and ME are the biggest wins.
Manchin: 173, 48%
Collins: 365, 50%
KY, WV, VT, and ME are the biggest wins.
The map makes a lot more sense if you switch the parties, with Manchin being the victor. But by 'makes more sense' I do not mean 'makes sense.'
Thomas Johnson
Banned
It wouldn't realistically be the map (this probably would be (http://www.270towin.com/maps/6ArGv)), but if we assumed no polarization, that would be what is should be.
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