Here's a better one, a Gabbard vs. Palin one.Nobody is making Baker vs Manchin maps
Interesting idea.Here's a better one, a Gabbard vs. Palin one.
Tulsi Gabbard / Jason Kander (Democratic) 286 EV
Sarah Palin / Ron Johnson (Republican) 252 EV
And this still makes more sense than most Baker vs. Manchin maps.
Honestly, I can get behind this if you flip MA back
Baker has a 74 percent approval rating. If Manchin can flip West Virginia with a 43 percent approval rating, than Baker can flip Massachusetts.Honestly, I can get behind this if you flip MA back
Then flip WV too, MA won’t vote republicanBaker has a 74 percent approval rating. If Manchin can flip West Virginia with a 43 percent approval rating, than Baker can flip Massachusetts.
Yeah, all three Presidential candidates add up to 100% which is unrealistic, but that’s not a big deal.1980 if Anderson was the GOP nominee and Reagan ran third party:
John B. Anderson (R-IL)/Bob Dole (R-KS) 47% popular vote, 422 electoral votes
James Earl "Jimmy" Carter (D-GA)/Walter Mondale (D-MN) 34% popular vote, 93 electoral votes
Ronald Reagan (I-CA)/Paul Laxalt (I-NV) 19% popular vote, 23 electoral votes
I have an interesting scenario to pose for you. Earlier, you had posted a map of what the Deep Southern states would have looked like in 1964 if they had been carried by Johnson. Now I was wondering: what would the 1964 election have looked like under 2016 conditions? That is, how would the county map have looked if the candidates that year (Democratic and Republican), had won the exact same states, with the exact same percentages, as Johnson and Goldwater did, but with modern demographics and voting patterns?1980 if Anderson was the GOP nominee and Reagan ran third party:
John B. Anderson (R-IL)/Bob Dole (R-KS) 47% popular vote, 422 electoral votes
James Earl "Jimmy" Carter (D-GA)/Walter Mondale (D-MN) 34% popular vote, 93 electoral votes
Ronald Reagan (I-CA)/Paul Laxalt (I-NV) 19% popular vote, 23 electoral votes
A (very) quick scan through seems to be that the maps here are all existing riding/district boundaries but with different results or contenders.
Has anybody ever done anything like "What if US electoral ridings were sane instead of gerrymandered" in their ATL and made a map of it?
Carter's winning a lot more than that, an Anderson vs Reagan split would be as disastrous for the GOP as Roosevelt vs Taft was.1980 if Anderson was the GOP nominee and Reagan ran third party:
John B. Anderson (R-IL)/Bob Dole (R-KS) 47% popular vote, 422 electoral votes
James Earl "Jimmy" Carter (D-GA)/Walter Mondale (D-MN) 34% popular vote, 93 electoral votes
Ronald Reagan (I-CA)/Paul Laxalt (I-NV) 19% popular vote, 23 electoral votes
Yeah, all three Presidential candidates add up to 100% which is unrealistic, but that’s not a big deal.
What is is that there is no way Carter only wins the South with this major split, there is no way Anderson is this successful (even without a third party, man was not charismatic and largely alienated the entire party due to his liberal beliefs), and you seemed to pick Reagan’s states at random rather than what he would actually win.
Needs some work.
Don't forget Massachusetts.Yes Carter would almost certainly win New York, Minnesota, Hawaii, and Rhode Island here.
A fun little map i made on 270towin of a theoretical Deval Patrick/ Doug Jones VS. Charlie Baker/ Justin Amash race in 2020:
View attachment 387746
Not too bad. But no way a Baker/Amash ticket carries Vermont or Rhode Island. Maybe switch Minnesota to the GOP column. Other than that, seems fairly realistic, as far as I can tell.
You're right. I'll probably make another map for this with a much narrower Anderson victory (Even with Reagan running third party, I think if the other conditions are the same as OTL '80, Carter would still be facing a serious uphill battle).Yeah, all three Presidential candidates add up to 100% which is unrealistic, but that’s not a big deal.
What is is that there is no way Carter only wins the South with this major split, there is no way Anderson is this successful (even without a third party, man was not charismatic and largely alienated the entire party due to his liberal beliefs), and you seemed to pick Reagan’s states at random rather than what he would actually win.
Needs some work.