Not quiteKemp?
Hint 2: He ran in either the primaries or the Presidential race IOTL sometime between 1980-2000 as a Republican
Not quiteKemp?
Steve Forbes?Hint 2: He ran in either the primaries or the Presidential race IOTL sometime between 1980-2000 as a Republican
That would take a bit of math to work out the swings in each county, since Wallace would have to make huge gains outside of the south, minor ones in the upper south, and none in the deep south where almost all white Democrats were already voting for him.I don't usually request maps, but could someone attempt to make a county map for 1968 if Wallace was the Democratic nominee and Humphrey was a progressive third party? Basically they just switch places so that Wallace gets the exact % that Humphrey got IOTL and Humphrey gets the exact same % that Wallace did.
I can't make a county map but this would be electoral map if Humphrey won 29.2% less and Wallace 29.2% more in each state. Therefore, Nixon would still win 43.4%, Wallace 42.7% and Humphrey 13.5%.I don't usually request maps, but could someone attempt to make a county map for 1968 if Wallace was the Democratic nominee and Humphrey was a progressive third party? Basically they just switch places so that Wallace gets the exact % that Humphrey got IOTL and Humphrey gets the exact same % that Wallace did.
I can't make a county map but this would be electoral map if Humphrey won 29.2% less and Wallace 29.2% more in each state. Therefore, Nixon would still win 43.4%, Wallace 42.7% and Humphrey 13.5%.
View attachment 374523
I can't make a county map but this would be electoral map if Humphrey won 29.2% less and Wallace 29.2% more in each state. Therefore, Nixon would still win 43.4%, Wallace 42.7% and Humphrey 13.5%.
View attachment 374523
You can't do that and get an accurate map, since Humphrey got less than 29% of the vote in hundreds of counties, and Wallace broke 71% in quite a few. Those missing votes need to be compensated for somewhere else.That's about what I was expecting, it's kind of amazing that Nixon would win 362 electoral votes while only winning the popular vote by .7%. I think I'll attempt to make a county map for this, since it shouldn't be too difficult to just take 29.2% away from Humphrey and add 29.2% to Wallace in each county, although it will of course be very time consuming.
How would I go about doing that?You can't do that and get an accurate map, since Humphrey got less than 29% of the vote in hundreds of counties, and Wallace broke 71% in quite a few. Those missing votes need to be compensated for somewhere else.
I got over amazing in that regard when I looked at the 1860 Election with one candidate getting all the non-Lincoln votes. Lincoln with 39% of the vote and 166 of the 303 electoral votes. (Lincoln only one with a plurality iOTL in New Jersey, Oregon and California and New Jersey was weird in that election iOTL anyway). The key is 95%+ vote states for Wallace in the south...That's about what I was expecting, it's kind of amazing that Nixon would win 362 electoral votes while only winning the popular vote by .7%. I think I'll attempt to make a county map for this, since it shouldn't be too difficult to just take 29.2% away from Humphrey and add 29.2% to Wallace in each county, although it will of course be very time consuming.
This is what Alabama would've looked like in this scenario, for starters. not surprisingly, Wallace wins the state by a larger margin than even FDR ever did.
George Wallace/Curtis LeMay (D) 95.06%
Irrelevant Candidates/Irrelevant Running Mates (R/D) 4.94%
View attachment 374990
Highly unlikely but if we're in a deep recession this could happen in '20.
Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-CA)/Sen. G. Doug Jones (D-AL) 485 (59.7%)
Pres. Donald J. Trump (R-NY)VP Mike Pence (R-IN) 53 (38.4%)
Others (2.9%)
And George McGovern got 37% in 1972.Sadly, this would not happen.
Keep in mind that Herbert Hoover himself managed to get about 40% of the vote in 1932.
Prolly wanna give WV to trumpView attachment 374990
Highly unlikely but if we're in a deep recession this could happen in '20.
Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-CA)/Sen. G. Doug Jones (D-AL) 485 (59.7%)
Pres. Donald J. Trump (R-NY)VP Mike Pence (R-IN) 53 (38.4%)
Others (2.9%)
Sadly, this would not happen.
Keep in mind that Herbert Hoover himself managed to get about 40% of the vote in 1932.
Bush, an incumbent only got 37% in 1992And George McGovern got 37% in 1972.
Your point doesn’t really apply here.
Flipping Alabama and WV would make this a bit more believable.View attachment 374990
Highly unlikely but if we're in a deep recession this could happen in '20.
Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-CA)/Sen. G. Doug Jones (D-AL) 485 (59.7%)
Pres. Donald J. Trump (R-NY)VP Mike Pence (R-IN) 53 (38.4%)
Others (2.9%)