Alternate Electoral Maps II

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My realignment map for the 2070's-2080's
Republicans become more moderate socially but VERY libertarian and market based in the vain of Musk or Theil. Democrats on the other hand are populists and anti elitists and truly compose a rainbow coalition of the poor and working classes. Republicans don't want to pay / waste time saving costal cities from climate change or revitalize their industry of infustrcture in general. They argue it would be better to resettle people in new development in safer areas and to do so via the free market. Democrats scream that the republicans want to leave the people to drownd in the next hurricane and say the lack of updated mass transit has caused needless deaths in the now almost seasonal Fall evacuation orders.
 
View attachment 348927 My realignment map for the 2070's-2080's
Republicans become more moderate socially but VERY libertarian and market based in the vain of Musk or Theil. Democrats on the other hand are populists and anti elitists and truly compose a rainbow coalition of the poor and working classes. Republicans don't want to pay / waste time saving costal cities from climate change or revitalize their industry of infustrcture in general. They argue it would be better to resettle people in new development in safer areas and to do so via the free market. Democrats scream that the republicans want to leave the people to drownd in the next hurricane and say the lack of updated mass transit has caused needless deaths in the now almost seasonal Fall evacuation orders.
Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota are not libertarian leaning states.
 
And west virgina used to be a democratic stronghold and California was fertile ground for neoliberal conservativeism but things change and I guess not so much libertarian or at lest in contrast to today where many who are against government intervention do so under the guise of racial resentment, the future republicans are pragmatic and much more rational ( at lest in their mind ) it makes more sense to build new housing in Illinois for those that live in Louisiana then to try and protect the whole Mississippi delta... at lest as long as you yourkef don't live there of course.
 

Thande

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Somebody may already have done these, but: 2012 and 2016 candidates vs. each other in new combinations, using only the raw vote figures with no attempt to compensate for population changes.

Some of this is predictable and some of it less so: for example Romney got more votes in Wisconsin than Trump, and Clinton got more votes in Florida than Obama, even though Romney lost Wisconsin while Trump won it, and Obama won Florida while Clinton lost it. Also the national popular vote figures for Clinton and Obama are astonishingly close.

2016 2012 vs maps.png
 
This is what you get for 1896, if:

- you swing the whole nation 5% towards the Democrats
- but then the plains states 10% back towards the Republicans (5% swing overall)

I'm thinking this would be a possible result for a more traditional Democrat, rather than Bryan, running. It's enough to put OH and IN (as well as KY, OR and CA) into the Democrats' column, which would be enough to win, except that WY, KS and SD flip to the Republican, winning it for McKinley.
Screen Shot 2017-10-13 at 3.00.34 PM.png
 

It is interesting to see that the Clinton vs. Obama line-up is strangely a mirror image of the 2008 Democratic primaries, this time with Obama winning more votes, yet losing in the electoral/delegate count. Its also peculiar to see that Clinton did better than Obama in Illinois - then again having seen the sort of margins she managed to pull in the larger Democratic states last year, its not really surprising.
 
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