Alternate Congress of Vienna Prussian-wank WI

So here’s the scenario:

France controls Alsace-Lorraine and Prussia receives eastern Belgium in the Congress of Vienna due to a completely different Waterloo. Many years pass and the new German Empire and France go to war over their border and in the peace settle their differences and trade the respective regions. This then leads to an amnesty and an alliance. Is this scenario possible given the right PODs?
 

France controls Alsace-Lorraine and Prussia receives eastern Belgium in the Congress of Vienna due to a completely different Waterloo.
Wouldn't work. The eastern borders of the Netherlands (including Belgium) were decided before Waterloo.
 
So here’s the scenario:

France controls Alsace-Lorraine and Prussia receives eastern Belgium in the Congress of Vienna due to a completely different Waterloo. Many years pass and the new German Empire and France go to war over their border and in the peace settle their differences and trade the respective regions. This then leads to an amnesty and an alliance. Is this scenario possible given the right PODs?


Yeah not gonna happen. Alsace-Lorraine was never even considered at the Congress of Vienna. If you want a Prussian wank, you could use the Polish-Saxon crisis. Prussia wanted to get the full Kingdom of Saxony, in exchange for ceding its parts of Poland to Russia. So Prussia controlling all of Saxony could be a good POD.
 
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