Alternate American Revolution Future

Hi. I'm not active here much, but I had an idea to toss around. :)

Let's say the American Revolution took a different route. Britain offers tax forgiveness to the southern colonies since it appreciates their trade more while becoming increasingly frustrated with the northern colonies. However, this frustration goes beyond the 13 colonies themselves into Canada. Lower Canada is fueled by French resentment, Upper Canada is fueled by populist resentment against aristocracy, monarchy, and urban culture, and Nova Scotia and Newfoundland are isolated from British trade since the southern colonies remain the British favorites and those territories have little to offer as primarily fishing colonies.

The implication is a revolution where the colonies from Maryland northward revolt whereas those southward don't. Maryland's included because like Quebec, it was colonized for Catholics, and a populist movement would be against the elitist Anglican establishment.

In turn, when America achieves independence, its geographic boundaries extend across Maryland to the Ohio River over to the Mississippi, and with an arbitrated boundary up to Lake Winnipeg with the Nelson River, Hudson Bay, and Labrador Sea to the North. The Great Lakes define Americana instead of Manifest Destiny, and Native American populations aren't ravaged. Instead, they're recognized as an organic part of the American landscape which is intrinsically multicultural.

The frontier spirit instead becomes redirected to the foundation of towns and cities all around the Great Lakes as a sign of community maturity. Communities don't necessarily contain people who have the same ideals forever, so when an ideological split happens, those who are opposed are expected to prove their ideology can work by founding a new town or city to make it work. A new internal system of trade flourishes across the Great Lakes to accommodate these communities, and it competes for political attention with the eastern ports that trade internationally.

Furthermore, both maritime cultures compete over controlling canals to connect with the heartlands that don't touch the Great Lakes or Eastern Seaboard. This includes the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers in trading with the South, Louisiana, and the Spanish colonies/Mexico. It also has financial and educational implications regarding the influence of banks and universities on local versus national, rural versus urban, and popular versus elite lifestyles.

If America was shaped this way, how do you guys see its future proceeding into the 1850s, 1900s, 1950s, and today?

For bonus points, consider the existence of a "Gulf Caribbean Commonwealth" in the south which happens after the Duke of Wellington excelling in the Napoleonic Peninsular War. In turn, the British and Spanish decide to cooperate and create a mutual dominion/trade bloc in southern North America. That way, they can contain French influence, especially with regards to Louisiana. They also counterbalance how the northern United States settled religious strife by settling it themselves between Spanish Catholics and British Protestants.
 
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