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With a PoD inside the 19th century A.D., what nations do you think have potential to become superpowers by 2012?

I'm curious as to how Italy is handled could change the balance in Europe, because while they don't have industrial resources, they do have a large population that could supplement an already industrialization capable country (France, Germany, and Austria-Hungary all being good candidates for some extra population).

I'd also like to see if different circumstances could make Mexico or Brazil into true rivals for the U.S., or how PoD's in this era could help or hurt China and Japan.
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