ahc wi Wilkie beats FDR in 1940

Suppose somehow accurate information about FDR's dangerously poor health came out in October 1940.

Might Wendal Wilkie have won?

My guess is that his international policy would have been very similar to OTL- anyone disagree?

There are a few questions about long term impact?

1) Who would be his sec of state, in otl not only did Wilkie die in 1944 but his vp nomination died before what would have been the end of his term?

2) What would his attitude have been on Civil Rights for African Americans, in otl in theory FDR had fair employment but he also had segregated armed forces.

3) What would be the imact on the two main parties? any chance of their swapping places again?
 
Willike's death is one of those interesting AH questions. OTL he died in October 1944. If he were President running for reelection that would have been a tremendous complication. However ITTL you have taken a person with a serious heart condition and vastly increased his job stress beginning on January 20, 1941 and increased it even more on December 7, 1941.
 
Willike's death is one of those interesting AH questions. OTL he died in October 1944. If he were President running for reelection that would have been a tremendous complication. However ITTL you have taken a person with a serious heart condition and vastly increased his job stress beginning on January 20, 1941 and increased it even more on December 7, 1941.

And of course to complicate matters even more, Charles McNary, Willkie's 1940 running mate, would die (in OTL) on February 25, 1944. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_L._McNary So whoever Willkie chooses for Secretary of State very likely becomes president in 1944. (It was widely rumored that it would be Henry R. Luce. https://books.google.com/books?id=fb30H5d_jZkC&pg=PA32 I do not believe that Luce's being born in China would be a constitutional obstacle https://groups.google.com/d/msg/soc.history.what-if/LPNQhKOCY7s/HGeLyLu9OCAJ but there would no doubt be those who disagree...)
 
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