AHC/WI: United Neutral Korea after World War II

Was it possible for an united neutral Korea to have been established after World War II? If so, what would it look like, how would it developed and how would it, and consequently no Korean War, affect the Cold War?
 
Was it possible for an united neutral Korea to have been established after World War II?
There are numerous possibilties :
1)Nazi Germany either wins in Russia or at least it is more successfull during Barbarossa, significantly weakening the URSS and allowing the USA to have total control over the entire korean peninsula.
2)The nationalists win in China.
3)Japan simply doesn't surrender after the first two nukes and the URSS and America are forced to invade it. This obviously means that Korea is united under a comunist regime.
4)Japan simply surrenders earlier or at least never allies with Germany, meaning that Stalin has no reason to declare war againt the country ( at least officially).

how would it developed a
It depends on who unites it: either it becomes a comunist hellhole like OTL North Korea or it follows the destiny of South Korea. In the last case however it is richer than OTL South Korea because it has more resources.

how would it, and consequently no Korean War, affect the Cold War
If it is a capitalist country near Red China , i immagine that Mao will be even more paranoid than OTL and that the border between the two countries will be extremly fortified.
If it is a comunist dictatorship, i immagine that the american military will be more present in Japan and it could actually cause the war in Vietnam to happen earlier.
 
There are numerous possibilties :
1)Nazi Germany either wins in Russia or at least it is more successfull during Barbarossa, significantly weakening the URSS and allowing the USA to have total control over the entire korean peninsula.
2)The nationalists win in China.
3)Japan simply doesn't surrender after the first two nukes and the URSS and America are forced to invade it. This obviously means that Korea is united under a comunist regime.
4)Japan simply surrenders earlier or at least never allies with Germany, meaning that Stalin has no reason to declare war againt the country ( at least officially).


It depends on who unites it: either it becomes a comunist hellhole like OTL North Korea or it follows the destiny of South Korea. In the last case however it is richer than OTL South Korea because it has more resources.


If it is a capitalist country near Red China , i immagine that Mao will be even more paranoid than OTL and that the border between the two countries will be extremly fortified.
If it is a comunist dictatorship, i immagine that the american military will be more present in Japan and it could actually cause the war in Vietnam to happen earlier.

To be specific, I want a capitalist united neutral Korea, in the Austrian model.
 
To be specific, I want a capitalist united neutral Korea, in the Austrian model.
Well Austria was initially divided between the Russians and the Americans after WW2 before the soviets decided that it wasn't worth it.
If the nationalists win in China, i can see something similar happening with Korea
 
Have KMT win the Civil war and control all of China. This, along with US presence in the South, may cause the Soviets to withdraw from the North and focus on Europe instead. If the Soviets do not leave in this scenario, then no Korean war will happen as the Soviets will not approve a Northern preemptive strike on the South. Korea remains divided until the Soviet collapse and North Korea gradually becomes absorbed by the South.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
It depends on who unites it: either it becomes a comunist hellhole like OTL North Korea or it follows the destiny of South Korea. In the last case however it is richer than OTL South Korea because it has more resources.
It’s pretty ridiculous to assume that Korea can only end up two ways. There’s no particular reason why a communist Korea couldn’t have become a mundane Asian communist state Vietnam or Laos, or a capitalist Korea couldn’t have remained a military dictatorship with a mediocre economy.
 

raharris1973

Gone Fishin'
Donor
Monthly Donor
One thing I wonder about a unified not-communist Republic of Korea. If the unified Korea follows the basic trajectory of OTL's South Korea, reconstruction and eventual growth, and if the PRC continues its OTL trajectory of having messy and destructive campaigns like the Great Leap Forward and Cultural Revolution, might flight/emigration of Korean speakers in northeast China to the unified Korea deplete that population to insignificance?
 
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