AHC/WI: Socialist Revolutionary U.S.A. vs. Reactionary C.S.A.

Hi folks, this is something I've wanted to do for a while now. As it says on the label, with a POD of no later than 1863, make it to where, by 1940(75 years after the end of the Civil War in our reality), a U.S.A. that's undergone a socialist, or at least quasi-socialist, revolution, is facing off against a surviving C.S.A. now dominated by a reactionary(if not necessarily *fascist, per se), party that is becoming increasingly belligerent. For the purposes of this scenario, If (or perhaps when!) a *WW2 analogue does break out here, the U.S.A. would be allied with Britain, France, Italy, Canada(if independent), and Japan, while the C.S.A.'s allies would be Germany and their puppets(Austria-Hungary collapsed prior to this; Austria is now part of Germany and Hungary is a puppet under a Wittelsbach king), and the Ottoman Empire(mainly out of convenience).

In other words, fill in the blanks between the POD and now, however you'd like.

Bonus points awarded if-

1. No Nazi Party analogue actually in power in the Confederacy....so no Jake Featherston.
2. The U.S.A. is organized more along the lines of the UASR in Jello_Biafra's Reds TL, but without eliminating the states, necessarily.
3. The C.S.A. does *not* have Kentucky or the northernmost portions of Virginia(OTL's southern D.C. metro, and a few adjacent places; can be part of West Virginia, or made into it's own state if large enough, a la Union and Liberty.), but does have at least one or two Central American states/territories.
4. The Union still gets Alaska, and Hawa'ii.
5. Canada is not only independent, but republican and not part of the British Commonwealth, and has it's OTL territories(or even more, perhaps).
6. Yugoslavia still exists, or is even Communist(no Tito analogue required).
7. Japan is an emerging democracy(does not have to be *quite* liberal yet)
8. Ireland is independent and also a U.S. ally.
 
Only ways I can see CSA winning with pre-63 POD is Euro intervention of some sort(unlikely), or they somehow win a Napoleonic-style quick victory (which would require a Union idiot ball and massive luck), or Fort Sumter doesn't happen and the situation persists for 4 years+ and they mutually split without shots being fired. (very unlikely)

1) Unlikely to begin with. The CSA would have issues holding itself together.
2) I Could see a socialist revolution through democratic means happening in the North without Southern Dems. The confederacy won't be revanchist, and a Union with political turmoil wouldn't attack the South effectiely enough to win a war.
3) CSA not having Kentucky- very likely. I don't think Virginia itself would be touched in a peace treaty, so that second part is unlikely.
4) Alaska unlikely with a Union defeat. Hawaii is possible, and maybe even more possible
5) Canada with Alaska is possible, republican not very likely, esp given what is happening with the Union. Alaska staying Russian is most likely in this scenario.
6) Would depend on WWI. I suspect in this WWI scenario Italy would be on the other side or neutral against your POD.
7) very possible- just need the militarists to not win, which isn't ASB
8) Unlikely as I don't see Union involvement in WWI if it is in turmoil during that time. A Socialist Union will not want to get involved in WWI. The CSA might get involved due to european entanglement, possibly war with Mexico (how they might gain some Central American territory)
 
Right. *cracks knuckles*

This world's American Civil War is much bloodier and longer, seeing the South reduced to fighting with guerrilla tactics, while the North violates Constitution and Liberty to win. Eventually, a rump CSA in the Deep South is let go. Abraham Lincoln died during the war, and the Republican monopoly of the mid to late 19th century sees Presidents with a military background, and a police state emerges. The CSA by contrast is relatively more liberal, but is heavily armed with every citizen required to own a gun and know how to use it.

In the 1890s, a more put upon union movement in the North calls a general strike. The soldiers join the strikers rather than fire on them, and the Union crumbles, a federation of republics and communes arising in its place. The remaining loyalist troops and Pinkerton agents evacuate the government and set up a government-in-exile in the Confederacy.

In the 1920s, the shaky and isolationist American Social Federation is getting stronger, and the Union government-in-exile is now composed of Confederate-born men. There have been other Red rumblings in Europe and the Federation is flexing its muscles in the Caribbean, where the Confederates have had a relatively free hand since the Union's collapse. The CSA has enjoyed some prosperity since the 1890s when they banned slavery and the Union collapsed, but they remember the hard years before. The New Union Movement is born.

The Union government-in-exile is folded into the New Union Movement, which holds that the CSA was founded because the Union had become misguided and forgotten the sacred vows of the Constitution. But they had remained Americans, both of them. The revolution in the North had overthrown the Constitution (what was left of it) and now the CSA was the only state that governed itself according to the precepts of the Founders.

The New Union party took control of an economically depressed Confederacy in the 1930s, and adjusted their territorial claims to the entirety of the former Union, as well as refusing to recognise the Federation. Many members of the former Union government-in-exile were now in government in the Confederacy. The CSA followed an autarkic economic policy, and like the Union before it, clamped down on civil liberties, though by less official roots, like establishing National Service for young people to indoctrinate them, and clandestinely supporting groups like the Ku Klux Klan, who became an unofficial secret police. Membership of groups like the KKK inevitably made things easier and young people on completing their term of National Service were usually approached to join the Klan.
 
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