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How can this scenario happen?

Essentially, the Mongols invade Europe--not just what they invaded in OTL, but they push as far as geography allows. France and Germany and Poland all have crossable plains, and even though the forests were denser then, there are still plenty of areas easy for an army of cavalry to ride across.

In order to make that possible, perhaps the Mongols do not invade, or more easily invade, one of the regions they invaded OTL outside of Europe (especially the costly China). In addition, perhaps religious conflict (anti-popes, internal crusades, etc.) or other conflict (one or two claimants invading an entire kingdom to attempt to take the throne) distracts certain European states.

In any case, at some point between the 1230s and 1290s, the Mongols reach the Atlantic Ocean. Or if they don't, they manage to kill the King of France and cause a succession crisis, and destroy all the states east of that (but north of the Alps and south of the North Sea).

Now, the Mongols are horribly overstretched. And the remaining states in Europe (England, Castile, Navarra, Portugal, Aragon, the Papal State, Venice, Genoa, Milan, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, basically anyone protected by sea or mountains) split up the rest of Europe between themselves. France is split between the Spanish kingdoms and England; Germany is split between the Italian states and Nordic kingdoms; crazy things happen with Poland and the East, and everything east of the Carpathians becomes part of the Golden Horde.

Certain regions with light cavalry traditions (Spain, for example) might be more successful in this 'Pan-European Reconquista'. While, because of the invasions, most of the nobles of the occupied kingdoms either defected irrevocably to the Mongols or died in defense of their homelands.

How could this scenario be made possible? And how would Europe develop from here on? Would the French and German cultures be replaced, due to the influx of nobles from elsewhere and existing devastation? Would the nature of warfare in Europe radically change? What about systems of political organization?
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