Personally, I would say near totally ASB. However, I do have some ideas, but I would like to see more responses first.
If there is no responses, I will give a detailed response.
I see someone's been playing Crusader Kings II.
I'm fairly sure nobody's going to be able to get enough of a critical mass to pull this off.
One of the better timeframes to provide opportunities for this to occur is somewhere during the decline of the Fatimid Caliphate and before/butterflying the Ayyubid dynasty. The Nubian kingdoms were not critically weakened and the civil wars provide an opportunity for them to exploit, but only if they are fully prepared for an intervention northward.
Unification of Nubia and the Upper Nile towards Ethiopia is paramount for a source of retreat or labor. For this reason I would personally choose Alodia as the state for this task. It's southern position leaves it the least vulnerable to attacks from the north compared to Makuria or Nobatia. Alodia also benefits from a more direct trading relation with Ethiopia and other societies southward and westward.
Most importantly, Alodia's heartland is more ecologically lush and vibrant. Nobatia and Makuria's epicenters are considerably more arid than the lands further south and this trend has only exacerbated through the millennium. The savannas south of Nubia can sustain horses and camels that can be used for cavalry and transport, as well as a wetter hinterland that can take greater advantage of irrigation.
Furthermore, Alodia would need a powerful army in order to best the powers that emerge in Egypt. Perhaps a Funj like military as as a framework would help in visualizing what this Alodia led state might look like and adding the appropriate protocols specific to the scenario (such as overcoming logistical hurdles). By creating a sustainable savanna based polity that combines the best atributes of its constituted regions, an intervention into a particularly weakened Egypt could enter the realms of plausibility.
I understand that Alodia is quite obscure even by Nubian standards, so a unification by the other states would prove desirable from a narrative standpoint. However, starting from the south and working northward IMO would allow time and space for the Nubian Nile to build, secure and organize its various resources before conceiving of expanding northward.
Principle rivals might be the Zengids and maybe crusaders? (who might hinder as much as help). Not sure how helpful the Coptic population would be or how quickly they could become helpful to the Nubian bureaucratic/military apparatus after a successful incursion.
Bear in mind though that the Nubian position in Egypt would be quite tenuous, surrounded by powerful rivals both east and west with a readily available reason to attack. After building up their homeland substantially it would be more profitable IMO for Nubia to act as a refuge for other Christian populations as opposed to crusading for them.
I will say that my knowledge of Medieval history is particularly bare outside of Nubia, especially with historical figures, and religious groups. So think of this more as a possible framework to build upon than anything.
Personally, I would say near totally ASB. However, I do have some ideas, but I would like to see more responses first.
If there is no responses, I will give a detailed response.
If there is no responses, I will give a detailed response.
I did it the Coptic Megastomp starting from Makuria.I'm not going to lie. I took Axum and turned it into the Abyssinian Empire in HIP mod for CK2 today but I made sure to leave Alodia and Makuria independent and Makuria even took some of Egypt, though I made sure to cut them off before they got Cairo and Alexandria. I'm just keeping them alive so I can intermarry with them and make sure my characters keep their West African anime portraits.
I think your best bet is to set up a pod that prevents the decline of Meroe/Kingdom of Kush.
Conquering upper Egypt shouldn't be that hard. Lower Egypt however, although maybe conquerable, will be impossible to occupy for long periods of time.
Why did Kush even disappear
Way more improbable things have happened before,like the Arab conquest of Egypt to begin with for instance.So it ain't improbable.Personally, I would say near totally ASB. However, I do have some ideas, but I would like to see more responses first.
If there is no responses, I will give a detailed response.
Way more improbable things have happened before,like the Arab conquest of Egypt to begin with for instance.So it ain't improbable.
Not as few as Manchus/Jurchens probably,and they successfully invaded China,the most populous country of the world TWICE.Point is that no matter how strong a country is compared to the others that surround it,it always has the ability to be conquered if it was corrupt and disunited enough.Arabs where much more numerous than the African tribes of the Sudan....
A even better example for that would be the mongols. Cliche, I know, but meh.Not as few as Manchus/Jurchens probably,and they successfully invaded China,the most populous country of the world TWICE.Point is that no matter how strong a country is compared to the others that surround it,it always has the ability to be conquered if it was corrupt and disunited enough.
The problem with these and similar examples is that a reconquista implies to me something permanent. China and the Christian and Islamic areas conquered by the Mongols remained the same religion. A conquest of Egypt due to some exceptional circumstances will I think have great difficulty sustaining itself. I suspect it will end up like the crusader states. Spain had the advantage of being part of Europe and somewhat cut off from the larger Muslim world.A even better example for that would be the mongols. Cliche, I know, but meh.
Vast areas of Egypt to my understanding shares the same religion at times as the Nubian kingdoms.The problem with these and similar examples is that a reconquista implies to me something permanent. China and the Christian and Islamic areas conquered by the Mongols remained the same religion. A conquest of Egypt due to some exceptional circumstances will I think have great difficulty sustaining itself. I suspect it will end up like the crusader states. Spain had the advantage of being part of Europe and somewhat cut off from the larger Muslim world.
The problem with these and similar examples is that a reconquista implies to me something permanent. China and the Christian and Islamic areas conquered by the Mongols remained the same religion. A conquest of Egypt due to some exceptional circumstances will I think have great difficulty sustaining itself. I suspect it will end up like the crusader states. Spain had the advantage of being part of Europe and somewhat cut off from the larger Muslim world.