AHC/WI: No large-scale Jewish emigration from Eastern Europe

CaliGuy

Banned
Here's the AHC: Figure out a realistic way to butterfly away the large-scale Jewish emigration from Eastern Europe with a PoD of 1840 or later--but the later the better.

Also, what would the consequences of this be? For instance, how much would the lack of Jewish immigrants hurt Western countries such as the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Britain? Also, with a larger Jewish presence in Eastern Europe, would there be even more anti-Semitism and thus even more potential for a rabid anti-Semite to eventually come to power somewhere in Europe and try doing what Hitler did in our TL? :(

Anyway, any thoughts on all of this?
 

CaliGuy

Banned
Also, for reference, here is an 1881 map of Europe's Jewish population:

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bf/Juden_1881.JPG

Juden_1881.JPG


In addition to this, I wonder if the best way to fulfill this AHC would be for a relatively liberal, united Germany to emerge in 1848-1849. Then, this Germany can fight a war with Russia sometime over the next three decades, liberate the Pale of Settlement from Russian rule, and implement pro-Jewish policies there. In turn, this could motivate many--if not most--Jews who were inclined to emigrate in our TL to stay in Eastern Europe instead.
 
Russia turned extremely antisemitic on 1880's. So best way is that not assassination of Alexander II so anybody can't try blame Jews from that. There would be still antisemitism but not such large scale pogroms as in OTL.
 

CaliGuy

Banned
Russia turned extremely antisemitic on 1880's. So best way is that not assassination of Alexander II so anybody can't try blame Jews from that. There would be still antisemitism but not such large scale pogroms as in OTL.
That could work; however, a possible problem with this is that there were numerous attempts on Alexander II's life. Thus, you might end up having Alex II assassinated later on even if he survives in 1881.
 
Even if you manage to make anti-Semitism a non-issue in eastern Europe, there's still the issue of the region's poverty relative to (among other world regions) western Europe, North America, and the other places eastern Europeans emigrated to. Even if Jews are no more likely to emigrate than Poles or Lithuanians, that's still a lot of emigration.
 
That could work; however, a possible problem with this is that there were numerous attempts on Alexander II's life. Thus, you might end up having Alex II assassinated later on even if he survives in 1881.

Maybe have the true culprits exposed very quickly? Preferably someone who would also make a good scapegoat.
 

CaliGuy

Banned
Even if you manage to make anti-Semitism a non-issue in eastern Europe, there's still the issue of the region's poverty relative to (among other world regions) western Europe, North America, and the other places eastern Europeans emigrated to. Even if Jews are no more likely to emigrate than Poles or Lithuanians, that's still a lot of emigration.
Excellent point!

Thus, even in the best-case scenario for this, we end up seeing something like one-third of the world's total Jewish population live outside of Eastern Europe (I'm applying the Polish and Lithuanian percentages for this to the Jews). In turn, if there is a Jewish population of 30 million worldwide right now in this TL (if the Holocaust is completely butterflied away, that is), that means that a whopping 10 million Jews would live outside of Eastern Europe.
 
I can't help but think that the Holocaust would get butterflied away, if you manage to make anti-Semitism a non-issue.

Even in this case, I would be surprised if the proportions of emigrants were that low. Even if anti-Jewish sentiment is no more of an issue than any other ethnic bigotry, is not an overriding priority, I would bet that relatively well-educated Jews would provide a disproportionate number of migrants. Why not simply move west to Germany and France in larger numbers?
 
A
In addition to this, I wonder if the best way to fulfill this AHC would be for a relatively liberal, united Germany to emerge in 1848-1849. Then, this Germany can fight a war with Russia sometime over the next three decades, liberate the Pale of Settlement from Russian rule, and implement pro-Jewish policies there. In turn, this could motivate many--if not most--Jews who were inclined to emigrate in our TL to stay in Eastern Europe instead.
Austrian Jews emigrated too, so Russia is not the only problem. Jews would emigrate to the West as long as they are wanted/tolerated there.
 
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