AHC/WI: Germany, Poland, Japan, Turkey invade the Soviet Union circa 1938

So, here's a world map in 1936.

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Now, let's say that Hitler has just pulled off the Anschluss. In OTL, of course, he soon ended up partitioning Poland with the USSR, triggering World War 2.

What happens in Hitler picks his enemies a bit differently, and tries to court Japan, Turkey, Poland, plus maybe Finland and some of the Baltic states for a war against the USSR?

The goal would be a partition of the Soviet Union as shown in the map below, and expulsion of all ethnic Russians to the rump USSR in Siberia.

earth1936.png


My questions are:

1) Is this plausible, or would some of the nations I mentioned refuse to work with Germany, even against the USSR?
2) Would Turkey even want to expand into central Asia? I don't know how widespread pan-Turkicism is at this time.
3) This scenario assumes that Poland cedes a bit of its northern territory to Germany and Lithuania, but in return it will gain a much larger amount of territory in the east. Would Poland agree to this?
4) I assume the anti-USSR alliance would win, but how long would the war last?
5) Would the USA, France, the UK, or Italy intervene in the war (on either side)?
6) Would a mass deportation of Russians to the rump USSR be logistically feasible? How many deaths would occur as a result?
7) If the anti-USSR alliance achieves their full goals, would further German expansionism into Europe be halted for the foreseeable future, seeing as Germany would now have a massive amount of "Lebensraum" in what was formerly European Russia, now emptied of Russians?
8) Would the Central Asian Turks view Turkey as a liberator or as an occupier?
 
1. It's plausible, Poland was not that unfriendly to Germany in the late 30s, Japan always wanted a bit of Eastern Siberia and Turkey may want puppet buffer states, or even parts of the Caucasus, but this one requires an early POD. Finland and Romania may join the fun, and Italy would send volunteers as well.
2. Requires an early POD that allows Turkey to modernize earlier. Even then, they would be fighting in a horrible mountain terrain, so this POD should allow Turkey to field well trained and equipped mountain troops, not unlike Italy. Their occupation zone would also be smaller, but they would gain access to rich oil fields and prosper with oil money.
3. This is a tricky proposition, I doubt Poland would agree to stay landlocked. This could actually derail negotiations.
4. Less than 2 years. Since this is a 1938 scenario and if we assume that Germany rebuilt it's armed forces earlier (because they will lose if they attack with OTL 1938 forces), it should be over by 1940. Or they will all perish if the war drags on.
5. No, UK at France will breath a sigh of relief at seeing that the rearming Germans are not aiming against them, but may resent loss of influence in Eastern Europe. No one likes Stalin anyway.
6, 7, 8. IMO war aims and occupation zones should change. They should form at least a Great Ukraine and a Central Asia Republic as buffers. Even if Germany wants to gain it's Lebensbraum, the fact that their army was not as powerful as in 1941 will mean higher casualties, and less desire to spend millions of troops in occupation duties (and they may want to save troops for a possible fight against the West). Poland certainly won't care about reaching the Black Sea (especially if Romania also joined), and Turkey won't expand to Central Asia, a territory they have no historical connection to.
 
I think that the germans taking northern Poland are a bit far, I think this map is a bit unrealistic, Poland is not going to give up any land after finally becoming a country and The Turks joining the germans?
A bit far, If Germany was going to take Russia they would do it by funding rebellions.
I'm going to say there would probably be more puppet states honestly, Germany wouldn't have control over them, or maybe they just took Konigsburg and went from there
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If the Germans never demand the corridor, Poles will be noticeably less hostile. Doubly so if Germany isn't seen as threatening the southern neighbors, the Czechs.

As for agreeing to losing the northern part - that's not happening. Ever.
 
Could be a master stroke by the Germans, especially if they can get the poles to do as much of the heavy lifting as possible and then you know turn around and impose border changes on them.
 
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