AHC/WI: Economically prosperous USSR

Windows95

Banned
As a democratic socialist and traitor to everyone here on the thread:

The Soviet Union had farming that was mainly composed of smallholding/subsistence farmers in comparison with the "Kulaks". I think the Kulaks could be taxed to support the cooperatives that the rest of the smallholders could join in with no income. Just learn from how the Danes did develop their farming cooperatives, extending it to meat processing, food cooperatives, butter, milk, credit, etc. There you go, you have a light industry with credit unions nearby to help start a craft or workshop enterprise. The division of labour exists vital for a cooperative based economy, but equity goal is achieved, farmers are attached to their land. There will be more workshops and light industry which I believe is the rule, not the exception in how the East Asian economies developed decades later, and even how Japan developed itself: Japan was an even more precarious position because rice farming is not the same as wheat farming, the terrain is rough, and they used almost the tools as a Russian farmer. Yet, they used a thing called agricultural policy that no one in the high fever, top-down, modernist dream of collectivization and the Green Revolution would listen to. The farmers were never listened to, they did not give information to what the local government asked for, the people at the top top only made up the information on site. They were only treated as objects and nothing else.

In the book, The Theory of Peasant-Cooperation (published in 1919) is against the Marxist-Leninist/Bolshevik/Trotskyist idea of collectivization precisely because agriculture does not precisely work like an industrial plant does: you can extend an industrial plant much per square area and make it more efficient. But an agricultural land is very different: you need more horsepower, plowing animals and more handmade tools and extend the size of your farming area, but you are a smallholder. So collectivization is a no go in a situation where almost the majority of people are smallholders, lack of education, lack of managerial expertise, etc. So all people should be organized into cooperatives (using carrots and sticks), not just as a way for them to achieve livelihood or division of labour, that would still exist under socialism. And it does not exclude the possibility of the 'artel system of collective farming to continue. Nationalization of farmland/socialization of land are the things that do not work. A lot of the peasantry are part of a cooperative, whether consumer, credit union, rural or a cooperative dealing in a specific product. All the cooperatives would eventually emerge or federate, creating a system of cooperative collectivization.

Pick up examples from how the Japanese would make use of the smallholding families without using machinery, but to increase output/smallholder, agricultural extension systems and educating the rural peasant in how seeds worked, what to plant for the greatest yield, how tools worked, etc. It is called agricultural education, and industrialized countries had that. You also need capital inputs, as said by the posters, but specialized agricultural education too.

Eventually, you would get a cooperative, collective ownership of farmland in a decade or two. But without the capitalistic, cooperative development of farming which both benefit the smallholders and the nation as a whole, collectivization is simply impossible. Criticism of top-down socialism is not unique among the right, it existed among the left. Without the prior developments I just cited, Kibbutzim system would've not existed without the development of agriculture, and therefore industrialization. And the capital accumulation does not have to rely on the premise of labour being exploited, family farms can just be able to do such things without wage labour.

Sources:

Harwood, Jonathan. Development policy and history: Lessons from the Green Revolution, 2013, History & Policy

"Seeing Like A State", James C. Scott.

Chayanov, A, Theory of Peasant-Cooperation.
 
Yeah... but that is not politically possible in the USSR at this point. One thing I'd argue was merely allowing the 'kulaks' [almost all who'd count as a 'poor-ish peasant' by Western or even 1913 Russian standards] to join the collectives would have been good. After all, most of them were kulaks because they were good farmers - the collectives could have really have done with their skills [and due to this, would have gravitated to the more 'senior' positions within the collective].

Between this, not having constant 'sabotage-wrecker' paranoia show-trials and giving regional bosses more flexible plans [so they can adapt to local situations etc] should work better; the '30s may still prove to be a tough decade in the USSR, but it won't be the human catastrophe it was in RL.
Except it’s too large extent a result a rise in living standards, if I was willing to have the same living standard as my grandfather had in the 50ties and 60ties, I could easily run the same farm he had. But I isn’t willing to have annual income of 7-8000$, while working 60 hour a week, when I can make 60.000$ on a 34 hour week. But if the alternative was 50 hour week, where I made 5.000$ it suddenly looked like a better deal...
Well, it's situational to many things, including subsidies, current demands for product(s), marketing systems and so on as well as geographical location. However, here in the UK I've heard many 'family farms' [of the size/capitalisation which would have rated them as 'large/advanced' as late as the 1980s] complain that the margins for their product [such as milk, pork, beef, wheat etc] are so thin they're effectively slowly running down the capital base as they not making enough to replenish it [let alone increase it].

Some of these farms will be able to survive by finding product niches [organic, luxury 'heirloom' breeds/types, exotics etc] but for the majority run-of-the-mill stuff, they simply cannot compete. Marx once wrote of a process called 'proletarianisation'; where under the relentless, ever-increasing pressures from the large capitalist concerns the small businesses slowly wither and die; turning the former owner-operators into a form of employee - therefore going from being a 'petit bourgeois' small capitalist to a worker.

That while most of these new workers are clearly alienated from their tasks [or at least less motivated as they're 'feeding the beast that killed me'] the 'efficiency' is higher because of the much large capital plant and market power at the company's command.

https://www.theguardian.com/environ...can-food-giants-swallow-the-family-farms-iowa
...Not really just continue the shift to individual farms and let the farmers produce what they wanted and keep the money, would have increased the output significant. There was no need for mechanization before the 50ties. The only crops large industrialized farms make sense before 1960 are one focusing on productizing cereal, potatoes or beets. So USSR schooldays have decollectizied the communal farms and made the large noble estate into agricultural factories.
[Bolding mine]

With what? Soviet industrial capacity too small to increase mechanisation of the farms, too small to even provide enough consumer goods to tempt the peasantry to produce more [earning more money means nothing if you can't buy anything with it]. I repeat what I've said before; it would work, but very slowly. The USSR would end up going into the 1940s with an industrial plant not much bigger than the one it possessed in 1929 and it's very possible this will lead to the fall of the USSR by foreign invasion. You cannot simply tell folks to 'get on with it' when they're unable to get the tools, know-how and support to do so.

Oh, and in fact, the collective farms did generally focus on the large 'staple crops'; the vast majority of eggs and fruit were from the peasant's smallholdings, while almost all the grain from the collectives.
 

marathag

Banned
commercial production - the Plains grain-farm didn't have to worry about producing meat, for that came in refrigerated rail-cars or in tins, via Chicago's packing yards.
Coming from an old midwestern family that started farming in the late 1840s.
If you wanted fresh meat, you did hunting, or slaughtered a pig. Chickens provided eggs, or soup when they got too old.
Canned goods from a store were a luxury good, you did your own canning to preserve what you harvested for over the winter. You could mill your own grains, but since flour and grits was good for long term storage, you'd get that from the General Store, along with salted or jerked meats, if you didn't smoke your own meats.
Wasn't till my Grandpa was around for more store bought food were purchased(stores were now closer, and a drive into town in the Model T was faster than the Wagon) but then you had the Farm Depression of the '20s, that worked into the Great Depression, and then the Dust Bowl.
Back to eating what you raised on the Farm.
I've said elsewhere, when my Dad joined up in the Army for the War, he was 6'4" but weighed under 140 pounds. He gained a lot of weight in Basic.
Chicago Stockyards fed the towns and cities, but not the rural areas.
That would only change with refrigerators, and electrification.
 
The USSR was economically prosperous, anyone who claims otherwise should really open a history book. BTW there is no indication that planned economies don't inherently work. The Idea that only a "Free Market" and American Style Capitalism is the end-all, is pure propaganda and "End of History" Bs and has been disproven by reality.
 
The USSR was economically prosperous, anyone who claims otherwise should really open a history book.
From my sense of what people are referring to by this, the sense is essentially more like could the Soviet economy have had a much better economic performance than OTL, even by the standards of the official stats (which were not necessarily all that great because of the GIGO syndrome for propaganda purposes). For example, once the basic baseline for industrialization was met by the first couple of five-year plans, one could wonder if the planning system transition towards handling a more advanced, complex economy. Or start from the beginning, when the Soviet Union was still pretty new ad not make the planning system more abrupt/brute-force as it did (I'd go further towards the NEP period, primarily because in it and some of its early policies I could probably see a different way towards handling socialism/industrialization since your average Soviet citizen/government official could not see well into the future to know what would happen).
 

Windows95

Banned
From my sense of what people are referring to by this, the sense is essentially more like could the Soviet economy have had a much better economic performance than OTL, even by the standards of the official stats (which were not necessarily all that great because of the GIGO syndrome for propaganda purposes). For example, once the basic baseline for industrialization was met by the first couple of five-year plans, one could wonder if the planning system transition towards handling a more advanced, complex economy. Or start from the beginning, when the Soviet Union was still pretty new ad not make the planning system more abrupt/brute-force as it did (I'd go further towards the NEP period, primarily because in it and some of its early policies I could probably see a different way towards handling socialism/industrialization since your average Soviet citizen/government official could not see well into the future to know what would happen).
Soviet Union had an industrial policy that was similar to what the Western European countries did to industrialize, but through self-sabotage and Western dislike of communism, they couldn't transition to an advanced economy with protectionism and moderate trade with the world.
 
Soviet Union had an industrial policy that was similar to what the Western European countries did to industrialize, but through self-sabotage and Western dislike of communism, they couldn't transition to an advanced economy with protectionism and moderate trade with the world.
At the same time, there was a period where the Soviet Union did seem open to trading with others (GAZ, the Gorjkovskij avtomobiljnyj zavod, or Gorky Automobile Factory in modern Nizhny Novgorod, was the product of a collaboration with the Ford Motor Company, and so for a period GAZ's vehicles were in tandem with Ford's worldwide production schedules), and some of that eventually rubbed off into areas too (the Lada as a collaboration with FIAT, or some of the various Eastern European vehicles in collaboration with French or Italian automakers). In this sense, it could almost be seen like the Park Chung-hee variant of it, except that until the First Five-Year Plan and the destruction of the korenizatsija process in much of the USSR there wasn't that much suspicion of foreigners (compared with even the Russian Empire) due to ideological grounds. If the NEP period could be recast as what we could ultimately now call (from an OTL point of view) proto-Titoist, instead of just capitalism (however one defines it and how it re-emerged during the 1920s), I think there's potential for taking a market-socialist platform and making it work, even alongside central planning. If it could avoid the self-sabotage and all that.
 

Windows95

Banned
At the same time, there was a period where the Soviet Union did seem open to trading with others (GAZ, the Gorjkovskij avtomobiljnyj zavod, or Gorky Automobile Factory in modern Nizhny Novgorod, was the product of a collaboration with the Ford Motor Company, and so for a period GAZ's vehicles were in tandem with Ford's worldwide production schedules), and some of that eventually rubbed off into areas too (the Lada as a collaboration with FIAT, or some of the various Eastern European vehicles in collaboration with French or Italian automakers). In this sense, it could almost be seen like the Park Chung-hee variant of it, except that until the First Five-Year Plan and the destruction of the korenizatsija process in much of the USSR there wasn't that much suspicion of foreigners (compared with even the Russian Empire) due to ideological grounds. If the NEP period could be recast as what we could ultimately now call (from an OTL point of view) proto-Titoist, instead of just capitalism (however one defines it and how it re-emerged during the 1920s), I think there's potential for taking a market-socialist platform and making it work, even alongside central planning. If it could avoid the self-sabotage and all that.
It wouldn't have sorta worked, because cooperatives should be important in the Soviet economy, with the worker cooperatives, consumer cooperatives, worker stakeholding in nationalized industries. Lenin at one point floated the idea of workers who worked at medium sized enterprises leasing the capital equipment and enterprises and get the profit themselves, while the state owned the enterprises. But by then, it was all too late because the Bolsheviks destroyed the opposition (socialist or otherwise) and by extension, cooperatives. They already have political monopoly with the last holdouts, notably Menshevik Georgia.

You could extend that: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kuzbass_Autonomous_Industrial_Colony
 
It wouldn't have sorta worked, because cooperatives should be important in the Soviet economy, with the worker cooperatives, consumer cooperatives, worker stakeholding in nationalized industries. Lenin at one point floated the idea of workers who worked at medium sized enterprises leasing the capital equipment and enterprises and get the profit themselves, while the state owned the enterprises.
Exactly, and then some. Even when it came to agriculture, there were other means of collectivization that could be used, such as the TOZ, which if done properly could have been scaled up into a network of moshav-like rural settlements. In places like Ukraine, that would have been much preferable as a blend of tradition and modernity.

Hmm, c'est intéressant.
 
But in a land with over 18,000 BT and T-26 Tanks, these could have been Tractors.
Point of order: the BT series began production in 1932, and the first Soviet-made T-26s in 1931. That while the former used the pre-existing plant, it was capable of due to new capacity elsewhere being able to make other desired items, such as tractors.

Also, have some stats.

1917​
1928​
1932​
1937​
1940​
Tractor Production (Thousands)​
165​
1,300​
51,600​
66,500​
66,200​

Next, using Wikpedia as guestimates, my 'fag-packet' tank production upto 1940 [which as you point out, could have been tractors etc]

BT Series*​
7,500​
T-26**​
7,341​
T-27​
2,540​
T-37​
1,200​
T-38​
1,340​
T-28​
500​
KV-1***​
141​
T-18​
126​
T-35​
61​
Total:​
13,249​

* Estimated Pre-1940 production, 85% of total.
** Calculated Pre-1940 production.
*** Only 1939 model.

Plus, a large amount of artillery tractors, armoured cars and so on I can't be arsed to calculate.

If the Five Year Plans had not created the much-enlarged tractor facilities to produce both the tanks and tractors, the USSR would have gone into the 1940s with a tiny capacity to produce such things. How does it plan to resist armoured warfare - bayonets?
 
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Windows95

Banned
Exactly, and then some. Even when it came to agriculture, there were other means of collectivization that could be used, such as the TOZ, which if done properly could have been scaled up into a network of moshav-like rural settlements. In places like Ukraine, that would have been much preferable as a blend of tradition and modernity.
Kibbutzim is not the same situation as Ukraine and Russia: one system involves a smallholder, subsistence farming with basic needs met through farming and small-scale trading within the peasant society. So voluntary, moshav, TOZ settlements may exist but they are few and far between. Kibbutzim's agriculture already has high yield and modern farming techniques applied already, the Soviets do not. But in all countries that want to industrialize, especially Japan, agriculture techniques, inputs, fertilizers, breeding science, education is heavily applied, making the whole enclosure, collectivization unnecessary when you do it with vertical integration as a step for horizontal integration.
 

marathag

Banned
How does it plan to resist armoured warfare - bayonets
Left out the 10,000 T-26 Tanks.
How to plan? Have plants easy to convert over to AFV production.
Like the USA, that made under 100 Tanks before 1940.
Over 50,000 by end of war, and that was building the Detroit Tank Arsenal from dirt.

Now the Soviets didn't have two Oceans, so would have to build a few more.
Use the 'two Nation Standard' build the same number of Tanks that both the Germans and Japanese had, year by year, plus 20%
Meanwhile, build more tractors, as well as 4x4 automobiles.
 
Left out the 10,000 T-26 Tanks.
The 'first' T-28 in stats is actually T-26. Typo, which I've corrected.
How to plan? Have plants easy to convert over to AFV production.
Which is what they did in WW2. However, how can one convert plants that do not exist?
Like the USA, that made under 100 Tanks before 1940.
Over 50,000 by end of war, and that was building the Detroit Tank Arsenal from dirt.
Yes, but one needs the machine tools to produce said objects. And the steel. Even the concrete for the flooring [I feel a little like I'm playing a game of Vicky here]. The USSR was critically short of all of the previous. They had to import much of the 'tools of production' from the capitalist West for the first Five Year Plan. Question; how does one pay for these imports?
 
Use the 'two Nation Standard' build the same number of Tanks that both the Germans and Japanese had, year by year, plus 20%
Which, given Soviet intelligence actually overestimated each countries annual AFV production, would mean the Soviets wind-up having to build even more massive numbers of tanks then they did OTL, at the expense of capacity building. Great job, you've just saddled the USSR with even more massive stocks of obsolete equipment with less capacity to manufacture the actually modern stuff.
 
Plus, the USSR has space. Use current forces to delay enemy while rear converts to mass tank [and other] production.

Though Tukhachevsky's 'Deep Operations' ideas require lots of tanks. And much of USSR clearly conductive to armoured warfare.
 

marathag

Banned
Which, given Soviet intelligence actually overestimated each countries annual AFV production, would mean the Soviets wind-up having to build even more massive numbers of tanks then they did OTL, at the expense of capacity building. Great job, you've just saddled the USSR with even more massive stocks of obsolete equipment with less capacity to manufacture the actually modern stuff.
Like when the Soviets toured the German Krupp factories building Mk IV Panzers, said words to the effect of 'come on, show us your real top line Tanks the IV C was not impressive compared to the KV model 1939.
The Russians still built more light tanks than they needed to, even if they overestimated the Germans by a factor of three.
 
Kibbutzim is not the same situation as Ukraine and Russia: one system involves a smallholder, subsistence farming with basic needs met through farming and small-scale trading within the peasant society. So voluntary, moshav, TOZ settlements may exist but they are few and far between.
Which is why I'm focusing on the moshavim rather than the kibbutzim, but as a more widespread phenomenon. Not only would it accord with the land reform, but could also serve as a better way of negotiating tradition (viz. the obshchina) and modernity, and all that other stuff.

But in all countries that want to industrialize, especially Japan, agriculture techniques, inputs, fertilizers, breeding science, education is heavily applied, making the whole enclosure, collectivization unnecessary when you do it with vertical integration as a step for horizontal integration.
Definitely agree, and I believe that would be important.
 
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