FieldMarshal
Banned
This is not my particular area of expertise, so please bear with me and correct me if I'm wrong or deficent in
In 1964, as many members are aware, a right-wing military coup, aided by the US government, toppled the government of left-wing President Joao Goulart in Brazil, sending the country into thirty years of military dictatorship.
How could this have spiraled into a civil war? IOTL, both sides seemed to think that a civil war was a likely outcome. The US, for example, made arrangements to ship 110 tons of ammunition to anti-Goulart forces, as well as deploy a carrier battle group off the Brazilian coast. It is also worth noting that the loyalties of the Brazilian military as a whole during the coup were a matter of much intrigue; Goulart was seen as trying to cultivate support among NCOs against the conservative officer corps in the leadup to the coup, and a number of generals did not sign on to the coup until relatively late in the game.
If the situation had devolved into a full-on civil war, what would be the likely outcome? How do other regional powers respond? Would the US intervene militarily, and if so might that butterfly major deployments in Vietnam post-1964 as IOTL? What of Cuba? Might Che Guevera attempt to aid leftist forces in Brazil?
In 1964, as many members are aware, a right-wing military coup, aided by the US government, toppled the government of left-wing President Joao Goulart in Brazil, sending the country into thirty years of military dictatorship.
How could this have spiraled into a civil war? IOTL, both sides seemed to think that a civil war was a likely outcome. The US, for example, made arrangements to ship 110 tons of ammunition to anti-Goulart forces, as well as deploy a carrier battle group off the Brazilian coast. It is also worth noting that the loyalties of the Brazilian military as a whole during the coup were a matter of much intrigue; Goulart was seen as trying to cultivate support among NCOs against the conservative officer corps in the leadup to the coup, and a number of generals did not sign on to the coup until relatively late in the game.
If the situation had devolved into a full-on civil war, what would be the likely outcome? How do other regional powers respond? Would the US intervene militarily, and if so might that butterfly major deployments in Vietnam post-1964 as IOTL? What of Cuba? Might Che Guevera attempt to aid leftist forces in Brazil?